Mainstreaming equitable decision-making under uncertainty at the Water User Association level using a reallocation model in the Western Cape, South Africa
- Authors: Xoxo, Beauten Sinetemba
- Date: 2025-04-03
- Subjects: Water-supply Management , Water-supply South Africa Western Cape , Right to water South Africa Western Cape , Water Distribution , Water resources development South Africa Western Cape , Uncertainty (Information theory) , Hydrology Statistical methods
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/479963 , vital:78384 , DOI 10.21504/10962/479963
- Description: This thesis demonstrates how uncertainty can be explicitly incorporated into equitable decision-making in ungauged basins to support fair water reallocation strategies among conflicting uses and reduce vulnerability to water shortages. First, a methodological framework is developed to collect the required socio-economic data. Second, a role-playing game (RPG) is developed in collaboration with stakeholders to increase awareness and assess the implications of different allocation strategies and stakeholder actions. Thirdly, a reallocation decision-support system (Water-Sharing Tool) with dam storage and uncertainty is tested to inform strategic water planning under dry conditions. The study was carried out in collaboration with stakeholders in the upper reaches of the Koue Bokkeveld, Western Cape, South Africa. The study area is a winter rainfall area with commercial farming activities targeting the domestic and cross-border markets. Irrigation from numerous farm dams and run-of-river extraction compete with in-stream environmental protection targets for streamflow. The study area can be described as resource-poor in terms of institutional capacity, with water management decisions taken individually at a farm level. The key water users are the environment, farmers, lifestyle farmers (residents), and weekenders. The farmer group has three sub-groups: corporate-owned farms, family-owned commercial farms, and downstream less well-resourced farmers. Results from the user risk profiles show that the least influential actors reside downstream and are more vulnerable to water shortages, which could be attributed to upstream developments and their productivity-driven nature. The thesis pulls together the socio-economic data, the information contributed by the stakeholders during the RPG, uncertain natural runoff estimates, and water demands. It evaluates these using the Water Sharing Model to map water users’ vulnerability under four different management strategies and assesses equitable reallocation outcomes of the proposed strategies to different users. The magnitude and frequency of decision risks and the underlying uncertainty in the water supply are quantified. As expected, results suggest peak risks during months with the lowest streamflow, with negative implications for fruit production in the catchment. Results also showed the negative supply effects of upstream infrastructure development on downstream users and ecosystems. Game results with the farmers suggested different crop choices in dry periods between upstream and downstream farmers. Downstream farmers were surprisingly more willing to forego their dry season entitlements under water-sharing strategies that resulted in serious production losses upstream, prioritising social stability over their own profits. Farmers reflected on the game as an educational tool to enhance system understanding. The study confirms that decision-makers' understanding of the implications of water allocation decisions and the surrounding uncertainty is critical to meeting justice/fairness objectives. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2025
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2025-04-03
- Authors: Xoxo, Beauten Sinetemba
- Date: 2025-04-03
- Subjects: Water-supply Management , Water-supply South Africa Western Cape , Right to water South Africa Western Cape , Water Distribution , Water resources development South Africa Western Cape , Uncertainty (Information theory) , Hydrology Statistical methods
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/479963 , vital:78384 , DOI 10.21504/10962/479963
- Description: This thesis demonstrates how uncertainty can be explicitly incorporated into equitable decision-making in ungauged basins to support fair water reallocation strategies among conflicting uses and reduce vulnerability to water shortages. First, a methodological framework is developed to collect the required socio-economic data. Second, a role-playing game (RPG) is developed in collaboration with stakeholders to increase awareness and assess the implications of different allocation strategies and stakeholder actions. Thirdly, a reallocation decision-support system (Water-Sharing Tool) with dam storage and uncertainty is tested to inform strategic water planning under dry conditions. The study was carried out in collaboration with stakeholders in the upper reaches of the Koue Bokkeveld, Western Cape, South Africa. The study area is a winter rainfall area with commercial farming activities targeting the domestic and cross-border markets. Irrigation from numerous farm dams and run-of-river extraction compete with in-stream environmental protection targets for streamflow. The study area can be described as resource-poor in terms of institutional capacity, with water management decisions taken individually at a farm level. The key water users are the environment, farmers, lifestyle farmers (residents), and weekenders. The farmer group has three sub-groups: corporate-owned farms, family-owned commercial farms, and downstream less well-resourced farmers. Results from the user risk profiles show that the least influential actors reside downstream and are more vulnerable to water shortages, which could be attributed to upstream developments and their productivity-driven nature. The thesis pulls together the socio-economic data, the information contributed by the stakeholders during the RPG, uncertain natural runoff estimates, and water demands. It evaluates these using the Water Sharing Model to map water users’ vulnerability under four different management strategies and assesses equitable reallocation outcomes of the proposed strategies to different users. The magnitude and frequency of decision risks and the underlying uncertainty in the water supply are quantified. As expected, results suggest peak risks during months with the lowest streamflow, with negative implications for fruit production in the catchment. Results also showed the negative supply effects of upstream infrastructure development on downstream users and ecosystems. Game results with the farmers suggested different crop choices in dry periods between upstream and downstream farmers. Downstream farmers were surprisingly more willing to forego their dry season entitlements under water-sharing strategies that resulted in serious production losses upstream, prioritising social stability over their own profits. Farmers reflected on the game as an educational tool to enhance system understanding. The study confirms that decision-makers' understanding of the implications of water allocation decisions and the surrounding uncertainty is critical to meeting justice/fairness objectives. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2025
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2025-04-03
Application of SWAT+ model to assess the hydrology of irrigated agricultural catchments in Western Cape, South Africa
- Authors: Mabohlo, Sakikhaya
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Soil and Water Assessment Tool , Agricultural hydrology , Hydrologic models , Irrigation , Reservoirs , Water-supply, Agricultural South Africa Western Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/464986 , vital:76563
- Description: Agricultural activities can modify hydrological processes in catchments. An in-depth investigation of the impact of agriculture on hydrological processes is thus crucial for sustainable water management and utilisation planning in agricultural catchments. Hydrological models are widely used as practical tools to estimate and understand hydrological processes at various scales in catchments. However, it is often challenging to represent hydrological processes accurately in agriculture-dominated areas due to their complexity and the structural inadequacy of models. Complexities driven by agricultural developments such as reservoirs, cultivation irrigation, and water transfers are often intricate and difficult to represent in detail. The current study applied the SWAT+ hydrological model to the agriculture-dominated Twee and Leeu catchments in the Western Cape Province of South Africa. The SWAT+ model was preferred because it is versatile in representing multiple reservoirs and irrigation from multiple sources. The model application aimed to enhance the understanding of hydrological processes and the impact of agricultural water use on catchment hydrology, explore the capabilities and performance of this relatively new version of the SWAT in a complex catchment and provide baseline hydrology input for systems models that were used to formulate a water management plan for the catchment. The SWAT+ model was able to represent the significant number of reservoirs in the catchment. In some cases, small farm dams had to be lumped together to deal with the model's structural inadequacy. The model performed well in terms of observed and simulated streamflow comparison. NSE and R2 values above the standard of 0.5 were obtained for both catchments. Moreover, an NSE of 0.7 at a daily time-step simulation was obtained for the Leeu Catchment validation period, indicating a generally impressive SWAT+ performance. The model indicated that hydrological processes in the area were largely dominated by evapotranspiration, which is expected of semi-arid regions. 55% of the total water input into the Twee quaternary catchment is lost through evapotranspiration, while 22% is converted into surface runoff. Interflow and groundwater flow account for 9% and 9% of the catchment water, respectively. The remaining 5% is distributed to soil moisture and groundwater storage. For the Leeu, the model simulated a loss of 67% of the precipitation through evapotranspiration. Interflow and surface runoff were estimated to be 25% and 24%, respectively. Groundwater contribution to the stream accounts for 7%. Therefore, evapotranspiration and surface runoff are the dominant processes from a water balance perspective, whereas groundwater flow is also significant. Agricultural activities impacted the hydrological system significantly, and this is mainly attributed to the construction of numerous reservoirs and the subsequent intensive irrigation in the dry summer periods. The model simulation revealed that the reservoir and irrigation reduced the annual average streamflow by 71% in the Twee Catchment. In the Leeu Catchment, reservoirs and irrigation resulted in an annual average streamflow reduction of 77%. Therefore, agriculture has significantly altered flow patterns in the catchment, particularly downstream areas, during drier years. In conclusion, understanding of hydrological processes, reservoir and irrigation impact on catchment flow dynamics are the key outcomes that support decision-making regarding sustainable water management and utilisation planning. The broader outcomes, including spatially distributed flows and irrigation demand for different crop types, were used as baseline inputs for systems models that explored various water management options. SWAT+ thus played a crucial role in developing a water management plan for the area. Although the model exhibited some structural deficiencies in representing some catchment complexities, it fairly represented and enhanced our understanding of the hydrological dynamics of the Twee and Leeu Catchments. Additionally, the model has proven to be a versatile tool that can be applied for practical catchment water management in the agriculture-dominated catchments of South Africa. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
- Authors: Mabohlo, Sakikhaya
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Soil and Water Assessment Tool , Agricultural hydrology , Hydrologic models , Irrigation , Reservoirs , Water-supply, Agricultural South Africa Western Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/464986 , vital:76563
- Description: Agricultural activities can modify hydrological processes in catchments. An in-depth investigation of the impact of agriculture on hydrological processes is thus crucial for sustainable water management and utilisation planning in agricultural catchments. Hydrological models are widely used as practical tools to estimate and understand hydrological processes at various scales in catchments. However, it is often challenging to represent hydrological processes accurately in agriculture-dominated areas due to their complexity and the structural inadequacy of models. Complexities driven by agricultural developments such as reservoirs, cultivation irrigation, and water transfers are often intricate and difficult to represent in detail. The current study applied the SWAT+ hydrological model to the agriculture-dominated Twee and Leeu catchments in the Western Cape Province of South Africa. The SWAT+ model was preferred because it is versatile in representing multiple reservoirs and irrigation from multiple sources. The model application aimed to enhance the understanding of hydrological processes and the impact of agricultural water use on catchment hydrology, explore the capabilities and performance of this relatively new version of the SWAT in a complex catchment and provide baseline hydrology input for systems models that were used to formulate a water management plan for the catchment. The SWAT+ model was able to represent the significant number of reservoirs in the catchment. In some cases, small farm dams had to be lumped together to deal with the model's structural inadequacy. The model performed well in terms of observed and simulated streamflow comparison. NSE and R2 values above the standard of 0.5 were obtained for both catchments. Moreover, an NSE of 0.7 at a daily time-step simulation was obtained for the Leeu Catchment validation period, indicating a generally impressive SWAT+ performance. The model indicated that hydrological processes in the area were largely dominated by evapotranspiration, which is expected of semi-arid regions. 55% of the total water input into the Twee quaternary catchment is lost through evapotranspiration, while 22% is converted into surface runoff. Interflow and groundwater flow account for 9% and 9% of the catchment water, respectively. The remaining 5% is distributed to soil moisture and groundwater storage. For the Leeu, the model simulated a loss of 67% of the precipitation through evapotranspiration. Interflow and surface runoff were estimated to be 25% and 24%, respectively. Groundwater contribution to the stream accounts for 7%. Therefore, evapotranspiration and surface runoff are the dominant processes from a water balance perspective, whereas groundwater flow is also significant. Agricultural activities impacted the hydrological system significantly, and this is mainly attributed to the construction of numerous reservoirs and the subsequent intensive irrigation in the dry summer periods. The model simulation revealed that the reservoir and irrigation reduced the annual average streamflow by 71% in the Twee Catchment. In the Leeu Catchment, reservoirs and irrigation resulted in an annual average streamflow reduction of 77%. Therefore, agriculture has significantly altered flow patterns in the catchment, particularly downstream areas, during drier years. In conclusion, understanding of hydrological processes, reservoir and irrigation impact on catchment flow dynamics are the key outcomes that support decision-making regarding sustainable water management and utilisation planning. The broader outcomes, including spatially distributed flows and irrigation demand for different crop types, were used as baseline inputs for systems models that explored various water management options. SWAT+ thus played a crucial role in developing a water management plan for the area. Although the model exhibited some structural deficiencies in representing some catchment complexities, it fairly represented and enhanced our understanding of the hydrological dynamics of the Twee and Leeu Catchments. Additionally, the model has proven to be a versatile tool that can be applied for practical catchment water management in the agriculture-dominated catchments of South Africa. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
Aspects of the water use of Cannabis sativa L. under dryland cultivation in the Eastern Cape
- Authors: Zenani, Kamva Trevor Songo
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Cannabis , Water consumption , Large aperture scintillometer , Cannabis Water requirements , Dry farming South Africa Eastern Cape , Evapotranspiration
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/465035 , vital:76567
- Description: Cannabis spp is one of the oldest cultivated plants, with its origin in Asia. It has two species, namely C. indica and C. sativa. This research focuses on C. sativa, which is widely cultivated locally and globally. C. sativa has a wide range of uses, including industrial, medicinal, religious, and recreational. This study will be focusing on the water use of medicinal and recreational C. sativa grown under dryland conditions. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in increasing its cultivation, but there are reports of it having high water usage. The global interest has led many governments to review the laws governing this plant as it is a controlled substance in many countries. Due to its legal status, there is a dearth of knowledge about its growth and water use. It is against this backdrop that the Water Research Commission (WRC) commissioned this study into the water use of this plant. This will provide evidence-based support for the issuing of water use licenses by the Department of Water and Sanitation. The Eastern Cape and KwaZulu Natal have many small-scale legacy farmers who have been growing C. sativa illegally for decades. The findings of this research will seek to fill some of these knowledge gaps and assist legacy farmers in the cultivation of this plant. This research had four approaches, which include 1) planting the crop in a dryland location that will mimic the conditions experienced by legacy growers, 2) the collection of plant biophysical variables in the study site in order to gain a better understanding of the plant’s health, growth, progress, and to use these variables to parameterize a mechanistic eco-physiological model, 3) the installing of a large aperture scintillometer (LAS) together with a micro-meteorological station to measure the evapotranspiration (ET) and meteorological parameters over a crop cycle, 4) to use MEDRUSH evapotranspiration model to predict the ET and compare these results against that of the LAS. The results show that water provision had a significant impact on plant biophysical variables and water use. The plants received 154 mm (2 mm day-1) of rain during the crop cycle. The large aperture scintillometer recorded a total ET of 126.8 mm (1.76 mm day-1) during the same period. The MEDRUSH model (2.5 mm day-1) overestimated the LAS ET (1.79 mm day-1), and the results from the daily ET revealed that C. sativa had higher daily ET when compared to the local grass Eragrostis plana. These results confirm that at this location in the Eastern Cape, C. sativa requires regular irrigation during the growing season to grow and secure a crop. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
- Authors: Zenani, Kamva Trevor Songo
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Cannabis , Water consumption , Large aperture scintillometer , Cannabis Water requirements , Dry farming South Africa Eastern Cape , Evapotranspiration
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/465035 , vital:76567
- Description: Cannabis spp is one of the oldest cultivated plants, with its origin in Asia. It has two species, namely C. indica and C. sativa. This research focuses on C. sativa, which is widely cultivated locally and globally. C. sativa has a wide range of uses, including industrial, medicinal, religious, and recreational. This study will be focusing on the water use of medicinal and recreational C. sativa grown under dryland conditions. In recent years, there has been a growing interest in increasing its cultivation, but there are reports of it having high water usage. The global interest has led many governments to review the laws governing this plant as it is a controlled substance in many countries. Due to its legal status, there is a dearth of knowledge about its growth and water use. It is against this backdrop that the Water Research Commission (WRC) commissioned this study into the water use of this plant. This will provide evidence-based support for the issuing of water use licenses by the Department of Water and Sanitation. The Eastern Cape and KwaZulu Natal have many small-scale legacy farmers who have been growing C. sativa illegally for decades. The findings of this research will seek to fill some of these knowledge gaps and assist legacy farmers in the cultivation of this plant. This research had four approaches, which include 1) planting the crop in a dryland location that will mimic the conditions experienced by legacy growers, 2) the collection of plant biophysical variables in the study site in order to gain a better understanding of the plant’s health, growth, progress, and to use these variables to parameterize a mechanistic eco-physiological model, 3) the installing of a large aperture scintillometer (LAS) together with a micro-meteorological station to measure the evapotranspiration (ET) and meteorological parameters over a crop cycle, 4) to use MEDRUSH evapotranspiration model to predict the ET and compare these results against that of the LAS. The results show that water provision had a significant impact on plant biophysical variables and water use. The plants received 154 mm (2 mm day-1) of rain during the crop cycle. The large aperture scintillometer recorded a total ET of 126.8 mm (1.76 mm day-1) during the same period. The MEDRUSH model (2.5 mm day-1) overestimated the LAS ET (1.79 mm day-1), and the results from the daily ET revealed that C. sativa had higher daily ET when compared to the local grass Eragrostis plana. These results confirm that at this location in the Eastern Cape, C. sativa requires regular irrigation during the growing season to grow and secure a crop. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
Sediment and associated phosphorus dynamics in meandering floodplain wetlands in the Tsitsa River catchment
- Authors: Schlegel, Philippa Kirsten
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Sediments (Geology) , Phosphorus , Sedimentation and deposition , Ecosystem services Law and legislation South Africa , Arid regions South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/466860 , vital:76793 , DOI https://doi.org/10.21504/10962/466860
- Description: A key function of floodplain wetlands systems is their ability to remove and store sediments and associated particulates (such as nutrients, organic carbon, and contaminants) from water, thus improving water quality for downstream ecosystems and water users. Increases in sediment and nutrient inputs to drainage networks pose a serious challenge to integrated resource management. These issues can be partly mitigated through natural buffering solutions along drainage networks, such as preserving essential wetland systems like floodplains. However, their trapping efficiency and storage timescales are uncertain. Although a large body of international knowledge and literature has advanced our understanding of river-floodplain systems and the ecosystem services that they provide, the factors determining their likelihood and effectiveness in supplying those regulatory ecosystem services have not been extensively and scientifically tested in floodplain systems in South Africa. This research aimed to describe and quantify the regulatory ecosystem services related to sediment and phosphorus buffering dynamics of two meandering floodplain systems in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. The study examined the geomorphology, sedimentology, and historical rates of sediment and associated phosphorus accumulation and release in the two floodplain systems. These systems varied in their morphometric features, size, catchment location, and predominant land use, providing a diverse range of characteristics. A comparative analysis was conducted between the two systems to understand the influence of local and catchment-scale factors. Time-averaged suspended sediment samples from the two wetlands were used to compare suspended sediment and associated total phosphorous fluxes over annual scales. Although both floodplains were net depositional during the study period, contemporary suspended sediment mass balance calculations suggested that the relatively larger Minnehaha floodplain system (~1.5 km²) situated in a significantly smaller catchment (~40 km²) had notably higher sediment and associated phosphorus trapping efficiencies of 44 % and 49 % respectively, compared to 16 % and 8 % for the relatively small Gatberg floodplain system (~0.3 km2) situated in a much larger catchment (~135 km²). This variability is attributed to the interaction between annual rainfall regimes, sediment supply, sediment composition, relative wetland size to catchment area and wetland geomorphic character. To test the hypothesis that the suspended sediments and associated total phosphorus were retained by the adjacent floodplain system and to determine which parts of the two floodplains were most effective for retaining suspended sediments and phosphorus, concurrent measurements of sediment accretion were made at 6 sites in different geomorphic features in each of the floodplains. This was achieved using Cesium-137 and Lead-210 (Hereinafter referred to as ¹³⁷Cs and ²¹⁰Pb) dating techniques. In-field observations suggested that all geomorphic units are still active and are frequently inundated during overbank flood flows. The average overbank sediment deposition and total phosphorus accumulation rates were 9376.9 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.8 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain and 11802.8 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha floodplain. Deposition rates were temporally and spatially highly variable and dependent on the sediment supply, microtopographic relief, sinuosity, distance from the channel, the mode of inundation, and the extent of retention pondage. Overall, high average deposition rates were associated closest to the channel within the proximal floodplain zone (9712.1 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain; 13541.1 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha floodplain) where the highest D₅₀ particle sizes (25.4 μm for the Gatberg and 32.8 μm for the Minnehaha) and percentage sand fractions (15 % and 21 %, respectively) were found. This may reflect the coarse nature of the sediment and the frequent connectivity to the channel, suggesting rapid accumulation is linked to a larger particle size which was deposited more readily in this zone. In the Gatberg system, the backswamp zone had one of the highest sedimentation rates and second highest phosphorus accumulation rates (13806.8 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.9 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹). This was attributed to the additional coarse sediment inputs from the uncapped gravel forestry road that runs adjacent to the floodplain margin. In contrast, the backswamp zone within the Minnehaha River floodplain system had the lowest sedimentation rates (2005.9 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.1 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹, which is what would be expected for the zone furthest away from the channel. In both floodplains, oxbows were important fine-sediment and phosphorus retention features (7126.0 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.6 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain; 10101.0 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.1 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹). Phosphorus distribution patterns were mainly attributed to variations in organic matter content and iron concentrations in fine-grained sediment deposits, while particle size distributions were less important. Using a mass balance approach the trapping efficiencies of the two floodplain systems were estimated. The average trapping efficiency for the Gatberg River floodplain accounts for 16 % of the suspended sediment yield (1317.5 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹) and 8 % of the suspended sediment-associated total phosphorus yield (0.093 tonnes-TP yr¯¹). Deposition on the Minnehaha floodplain accounts for an average of 44 % (1073.6 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹) and 49 % of the suspended sediment-associated total phosphorus yield (0.098 tonnes-TP yr¯¹). Within the Gatberg and Minnehaha River floodplain systems, the sediment sinks (oxbow and backswamp geomorphic zones) accounted for 13 % and 6 % (1070.6 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.069 tonnes-TP yr¯¹); and 28 % and 33 % (683.2 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.066 tonnes-TP yr¯¹), respectively, of the mean proportion of the total sediment and associated phosphorus yield. The zone of potential exchange (the proximal floodplain geomorphic zone) within the Gatberg floodplain system was calculated to trap 3 % (247.1 tonnes-yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of the total sediment yield and 2 % (0.023-tonnes yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of the total associated-phosphorus yield. Within the Minnehaha floodplain, this zone was estimated to trap 16 % (390.4 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.032 tonnes-TP yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of both the total sediment and associated total phosphorus yield. These results indicate the importance of the distal floodplain reaches and oxbows as sediment and phosphorus storage hotspots. While floodplains mainly result from the accumulation of sediment, they're often modified and altered by erosion processes. Channel erosion and avulsions (e.g. meander bend cutoff events) are natural dynamic processes and form two of the principal processes of meandering river migration. During two wet seasons, both Gatberg and Minnehaha River floodplain areas experienced a mix of deposition and erosion, with slightly higher erosion observed in the Gatberg River reach. Channel bed scouring was prevalent in most cross-sections, suggesting limited sediment accumulation within the main channel beds. Volumetric estimates of sediment loss from meander migration were calculated by analysing cross-sectional data from 2019 and 2021 surveys to determine median and maximum eroded volumes, which were then converted to mass and scaled to tonnes per year for each river's eroded meander bends. The eroded sediment volumes were estimated as 520 tonnes yr¯¹ for the Gatberg and 360 tonnes yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha. The time sequence analysis using historical aerial images (between 1958, 1966, 1993, and 2015) revealed a few channel planform changes due to meander bend cutoff events in both river reaches. These events influence river morphology, increasing local channel slope, reducing sinuosity, and limiting floodplain access while impacting sediment and phosphorus flux. In the Gatberg system, changes in land use, such as increased road density from commercial forestry activities, likely drove channel straightening to accommodate higher sediment and bed loads. In the Minnehaha system, agricultural practices and livestock tracks likely increased sediment loads and hillslope-channel connectivity, driving channel changes. The results from the geochronology of two nested oxbows on the Gatberg floodplain estimated lateral migration rates of ~0.03 m yr¯¹. The floodplain reworking rates of the Gatberg River floodplain are low compared to other systems in humid regions around the world, although, the Gatberg system compares well with migration rates of rivers in dryland regions. This study highlights the potential for floodplains undergoing regular flooding to be effective natural buffers along the sediment and phosphorus cascade in dryland landscapes. It enhances our comprehension of how sediment accumulates over time on floodplains within South African river systems, shedding light on both spatial and temporal patterns. These insights can contribute to better methodologies for evaluating the services provided by floodplain wetlands. These results can inform management decisions by offering a deeper understanding and allowing for the quantification of the cost-benefit of floodplain restoration and preservation actions in South Africa. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Faculty of Science, Geography, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
- Authors: Schlegel, Philippa Kirsten
- Date: 2024-10-11
- Subjects: Sediments (Geology) , Phosphorus , Sedimentation and deposition , Ecosystem services Law and legislation South Africa , Arid regions South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/466860 , vital:76793 , DOI https://doi.org/10.21504/10962/466860
- Description: A key function of floodplain wetlands systems is their ability to remove and store sediments and associated particulates (such as nutrients, organic carbon, and contaminants) from water, thus improving water quality for downstream ecosystems and water users. Increases in sediment and nutrient inputs to drainage networks pose a serious challenge to integrated resource management. These issues can be partly mitigated through natural buffering solutions along drainage networks, such as preserving essential wetland systems like floodplains. However, their trapping efficiency and storage timescales are uncertain. Although a large body of international knowledge and literature has advanced our understanding of river-floodplain systems and the ecosystem services that they provide, the factors determining their likelihood and effectiveness in supplying those regulatory ecosystem services have not been extensively and scientifically tested in floodplain systems in South Africa. This research aimed to describe and quantify the regulatory ecosystem services related to sediment and phosphorus buffering dynamics of two meandering floodplain systems in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. The study examined the geomorphology, sedimentology, and historical rates of sediment and associated phosphorus accumulation and release in the two floodplain systems. These systems varied in their morphometric features, size, catchment location, and predominant land use, providing a diverse range of characteristics. A comparative analysis was conducted between the two systems to understand the influence of local and catchment-scale factors. Time-averaged suspended sediment samples from the two wetlands were used to compare suspended sediment and associated total phosphorous fluxes over annual scales. Although both floodplains were net depositional during the study period, contemporary suspended sediment mass balance calculations suggested that the relatively larger Minnehaha floodplain system (~1.5 km²) situated in a significantly smaller catchment (~40 km²) had notably higher sediment and associated phosphorus trapping efficiencies of 44 % and 49 % respectively, compared to 16 % and 8 % for the relatively small Gatberg floodplain system (~0.3 km2) situated in a much larger catchment (~135 km²). This variability is attributed to the interaction between annual rainfall regimes, sediment supply, sediment composition, relative wetland size to catchment area and wetland geomorphic character. To test the hypothesis that the suspended sediments and associated total phosphorus were retained by the adjacent floodplain system and to determine which parts of the two floodplains were most effective for retaining suspended sediments and phosphorus, concurrent measurements of sediment accretion were made at 6 sites in different geomorphic features in each of the floodplains. This was achieved using Cesium-137 and Lead-210 (Hereinafter referred to as ¹³⁷Cs and ²¹⁰Pb) dating techniques. In-field observations suggested that all geomorphic units are still active and are frequently inundated during overbank flood flows. The average overbank sediment deposition and total phosphorus accumulation rates were 9376.9 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.8 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain and 11802.8 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha floodplain. Deposition rates were temporally and spatially highly variable and dependent on the sediment supply, microtopographic relief, sinuosity, distance from the channel, the mode of inundation, and the extent of retention pondage. Overall, high average deposition rates were associated closest to the channel within the proximal floodplain zone (9712.1 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain; 13541.1 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.0 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha floodplain) where the highest D₅₀ particle sizes (25.4 μm for the Gatberg and 32.8 μm for the Minnehaha) and percentage sand fractions (15 % and 21 %, respectively) were found. This may reflect the coarse nature of the sediment and the frequent connectivity to the channel, suggesting rapid accumulation is linked to a larger particle size which was deposited more readily in this zone. In the Gatberg system, the backswamp zone had one of the highest sedimentation rates and second highest phosphorus accumulation rates (13806.8 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.9 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹). This was attributed to the additional coarse sediment inputs from the uncapped gravel forestry road that runs adjacent to the floodplain margin. In contrast, the backswamp zone within the Minnehaha River floodplain system had the lowest sedimentation rates (2005.9 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.1 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹, which is what would be expected for the zone furthest away from the channel. In both floodplains, oxbows were important fine-sediment and phosphorus retention features (7126.0 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 0.6 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹ for the Gatberg floodplain; 10101.0 g-sediment m¯² yr¯¹, 1.1 g-TP m¯² yr¯¹). Phosphorus distribution patterns were mainly attributed to variations in organic matter content and iron concentrations in fine-grained sediment deposits, while particle size distributions were less important. Using a mass balance approach the trapping efficiencies of the two floodplain systems were estimated. The average trapping efficiency for the Gatberg River floodplain accounts for 16 % of the suspended sediment yield (1317.5 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹) and 8 % of the suspended sediment-associated total phosphorus yield (0.093 tonnes-TP yr¯¹). Deposition on the Minnehaha floodplain accounts for an average of 44 % (1073.6 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹) and 49 % of the suspended sediment-associated total phosphorus yield (0.098 tonnes-TP yr¯¹). Within the Gatberg and Minnehaha River floodplain systems, the sediment sinks (oxbow and backswamp geomorphic zones) accounted for 13 % and 6 % (1070.6 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.069 tonnes-TP yr¯¹); and 28 % and 33 % (683.2 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.066 tonnes-TP yr¯¹), respectively, of the mean proportion of the total sediment and associated phosphorus yield. The zone of potential exchange (the proximal floodplain geomorphic zone) within the Gatberg floodplain system was calculated to trap 3 % (247.1 tonnes-yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of the total sediment yield and 2 % (0.023-tonnes yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of the total associated-phosphorus yield. Within the Minnehaha floodplain, this zone was estimated to trap 16 % (390.4 tonnes-sediment yr¯¹ and 0.032 tonnes-TP yr¯¹) of the mean proportion of both the total sediment and associated total phosphorus yield. These results indicate the importance of the distal floodplain reaches and oxbows as sediment and phosphorus storage hotspots. While floodplains mainly result from the accumulation of sediment, they're often modified and altered by erosion processes. Channel erosion and avulsions (e.g. meander bend cutoff events) are natural dynamic processes and form two of the principal processes of meandering river migration. During two wet seasons, both Gatberg and Minnehaha River floodplain areas experienced a mix of deposition and erosion, with slightly higher erosion observed in the Gatberg River reach. Channel bed scouring was prevalent in most cross-sections, suggesting limited sediment accumulation within the main channel beds. Volumetric estimates of sediment loss from meander migration were calculated by analysing cross-sectional data from 2019 and 2021 surveys to determine median and maximum eroded volumes, which were then converted to mass and scaled to tonnes per year for each river's eroded meander bends. The eroded sediment volumes were estimated as 520 tonnes yr¯¹ for the Gatberg and 360 tonnes yr¯¹ for the Minnehaha. The time sequence analysis using historical aerial images (between 1958, 1966, 1993, and 2015) revealed a few channel planform changes due to meander bend cutoff events in both river reaches. These events influence river morphology, increasing local channel slope, reducing sinuosity, and limiting floodplain access while impacting sediment and phosphorus flux. In the Gatberg system, changes in land use, such as increased road density from commercial forestry activities, likely drove channel straightening to accommodate higher sediment and bed loads. In the Minnehaha system, agricultural practices and livestock tracks likely increased sediment loads and hillslope-channel connectivity, driving channel changes. The results from the geochronology of two nested oxbows on the Gatberg floodplain estimated lateral migration rates of ~0.03 m yr¯¹. The floodplain reworking rates of the Gatberg River floodplain are low compared to other systems in humid regions around the world, although, the Gatberg system compares well with migration rates of rivers in dryland regions. This study highlights the potential for floodplains undergoing regular flooding to be effective natural buffers along the sediment and phosphorus cascade in dryland landscapes. It enhances our comprehension of how sediment accumulates over time on floodplains within South African river systems, shedding light on both spatial and temporal patterns. These insights can contribute to better methodologies for evaluating the services provided by floodplain wetlands. These results can inform management decisions by offering a deeper understanding and allowing for the quantification of the cost-benefit of floodplain restoration and preservation actions in South Africa. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Faculty of Science, Geography, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-10-11
Application of the modified pitman and swat models for groundwater recharge estimation in the upstream area of the Uitenhage artesian basin, South Africa
- Authors: Wasswa, Peter
- Date: 2024-04-04
- Subjects: Hydrologic models , Groundwater recharge , Runoff Mathematical models , Rain and rainfall Mathematical models , Water-supply Management , Artesian basins South Africa Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/435400 , vital:73154
- Description: The world's most plentiful source of freshwater is thought to be groundwater. During extended dry times, it serves as an essential storage component and guards against environmental catastrophes. Despite its critical functions in the aforementioned scenarios, it is often insufficiently understood and inadequately managed. As a result, it calls for the adoption of integrated methods to comprehend the dynamics of groundwater recharge. Thus, the current study evaluated the applicability and suitability of the Modified Pitman and SWAT models for groundwater recharge estimation in the upstream area of UAB for the period that spanned from 1993 to 2021. It was achieved by using a qualitative conceptual-perceptual model to inform the two hydrological models, Modified Pitman, and SWAT. The developed qualitative conceptual-perceptual model depicted the dominancy of irregularly folded and fractured TMG rock outcrops coupled with fault systems in the upstream area. In the downward section, TMG is overlaid by the aquiclude from the Uitenhage Group which is responsible for the artesian conditions. Groundwater potential zones were classified as Poor, Fair, Good, and Excellent, with 65.4% and 8.7% of the upstream area attributed to Good and Excellent zones respectively. Both Modified Pitman and SWAT predicted decreasing rates of groundwater recharge in the upstream area over time, though Mann-Kendal trend tests done at 5% signifance level depicted significant decreasing rates in SWAT predicted recharge compared to Modified Pitman predicted recharge. The two models did also predict recharge and other water balance components with differing peaks, lows and timings. Modified Pitman predicted mean annual recharge of 63.3-92.8 mm where as SWAT predicted mean annual recharge of 14.4-182.8 mm. In reference to earlier findings within TMG areas, estimated percentages of groundwater recharge were close to those simulated by both Pitman and SWAT models. Modified Pitman and SWAT models appear to both be reasonable tools to estimate recharge in TMG setting, producing relatively similar results to one another and to other regional estimates. Since the current study estimated low recharge rates (Modified Pitman; ~9.3-13.6% MAP), (SWAT; ~2.1-26.7% MAP) which are close to those predicted in other TMG areas, the study recommends exercising caution when developing a water supply strategy in the current study area. The recharge rates within the pertinent recharging areas should be considered when designing and sitting abstraction points such as boreholes and a sustainable abstraction rate in any one borehole for improved sustainable management of groundwater resources. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-04-04
- Authors: Wasswa, Peter
- Date: 2024-04-04
- Subjects: Hydrologic models , Groundwater recharge , Runoff Mathematical models , Rain and rainfall Mathematical models , Water-supply Management , Artesian basins South Africa Eastern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/435400 , vital:73154
- Description: The world's most plentiful source of freshwater is thought to be groundwater. During extended dry times, it serves as an essential storage component and guards against environmental catastrophes. Despite its critical functions in the aforementioned scenarios, it is often insufficiently understood and inadequately managed. As a result, it calls for the adoption of integrated methods to comprehend the dynamics of groundwater recharge. Thus, the current study evaluated the applicability and suitability of the Modified Pitman and SWAT models for groundwater recharge estimation in the upstream area of UAB for the period that spanned from 1993 to 2021. It was achieved by using a qualitative conceptual-perceptual model to inform the two hydrological models, Modified Pitman, and SWAT. The developed qualitative conceptual-perceptual model depicted the dominancy of irregularly folded and fractured TMG rock outcrops coupled with fault systems in the upstream area. In the downward section, TMG is overlaid by the aquiclude from the Uitenhage Group which is responsible for the artesian conditions. Groundwater potential zones were classified as Poor, Fair, Good, and Excellent, with 65.4% and 8.7% of the upstream area attributed to Good and Excellent zones respectively. Both Modified Pitman and SWAT predicted decreasing rates of groundwater recharge in the upstream area over time, though Mann-Kendal trend tests done at 5% signifance level depicted significant decreasing rates in SWAT predicted recharge compared to Modified Pitman predicted recharge. The two models did also predict recharge and other water balance components with differing peaks, lows and timings. Modified Pitman predicted mean annual recharge of 63.3-92.8 mm where as SWAT predicted mean annual recharge of 14.4-182.8 mm. In reference to earlier findings within TMG areas, estimated percentages of groundwater recharge were close to those simulated by both Pitman and SWAT models. Modified Pitman and SWAT models appear to both be reasonable tools to estimate recharge in TMG setting, producing relatively similar results to one another and to other regional estimates. Since the current study estimated low recharge rates (Modified Pitman; ~9.3-13.6% MAP), (SWAT; ~2.1-26.7% MAP) which are close to those predicted in other TMG areas, the study recommends exercising caution when developing a water supply strategy in the current study area. The recharge rates within the pertinent recharging areas should be considered when designing and sitting abstraction points such as boreholes and a sustainable abstraction rate in any one borehole for improved sustainable management of groundwater resources. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2024
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2024-04-04
Assessment of Pitman Model Capabilities in Modelling Surface Water-Groundwater Interactions in the Lake Sibaya Catchment, South Africa
- Authors: Ramatsabana, Phatsimo Pearl
- Date: 2023-10-13
- Subjects: Hydrologic models South Africa Sibayi, Lake , Groundwater Management , Surface water management , Groundwater flow , Watershed management South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/424188 , vital:72131
- Description: Difficulties arising from data scarcity, input data error or uncertainty, heterogeneous environments, lack of process understanding, and model structural uncertainty frequently constrain hydrological assessments of South African catchments. This research aimed to assess the usefulness of a “simpler” conceptual model for the conjunctive management of surface water and groundwater. The idea is that, to leverage the limited available data and information, a compromise between model complexity and data availability is required, which improves the use of models to produce reliable hydrological systems assessments. The research methodology focused on catchment-scale lake-groundwater dynamics to explore the limits of the groundwater components of the modified Pitman model (Hughes, 2004) in this type of environment, thus, determining the potential for using this model for integrated water assessments in South Africa. The Pitman model (Pitman, 1973; Hughes, 2013) is one of the most widely accepted models regarding surface water hydrology in South Africa; however, the newly incorporated groundwater components (Hughes, 2004) have not been applied as extensively as the surface water components. There remains uncertainty regarding their capability to adequately simulate groundwater processes and accurately represent surface and groundwater interactions in some environments. The model was assessed based on how well simulated water balance variables accurately reflected available evidence and expected catchment response (objective 1). Secondly, the research identified and addressed uncertainties as regards the structure and application of the model’s groundwater interaction components (objective 2). The model was set up for the Lake Sibaya catchment, which is a predominantly groundwater-driven system and, thus, provides an important opportunity to interrogate different aspects of uncertainty in both the conceptualizing and quantifying interaction processes. The study’s overall conclusion is that the model performed satisfactorily as it was able to simulate the lake’s water balance correctly enough such that the influences of dominating components were sensibly reflected in variations in streamflow and lake volumes. The following key findings were noted; (i) the lake volume shows a continuous decline, (ii) the lake volume decreased with increasing development (forestry and abstractions) in the lake catchment, (iii) there is significant rainfall uncertainty in the study area and the model showed high sensitivity to rainfall differences, (iv) robust conceptual knowledge of local catchment conditions was valuable for reducing some of the data related uncertainty in the study area and for producing realistic model simulations, (v) the Pitman model (Hughes, 2013) updated GW components can provide a valuable tool for modelling integrated hydrological processes; nevertheless, when applying the model to specific environments, implicit approaches may be necessary to account for processes that are not fully represented in the model. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-10-13
- Authors: Ramatsabana, Phatsimo Pearl
- Date: 2023-10-13
- Subjects: Hydrologic models South Africa Sibayi, Lake , Groundwater Management , Surface water management , Groundwater flow , Watershed management South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/424188 , vital:72131
- Description: Difficulties arising from data scarcity, input data error or uncertainty, heterogeneous environments, lack of process understanding, and model structural uncertainty frequently constrain hydrological assessments of South African catchments. This research aimed to assess the usefulness of a “simpler” conceptual model for the conjunctive management of surface water and groundwater. The idea is that, to leverage the limited available data and information, a compromise between model complexity and data availability is required, which improves the use of models to produce reliable hydrological systems assessments. The research methodology focused on catchment-scale lake-groundwater dynamics to explore the limits of the groundwater components of the modified Pitman model (Hughes, 2004) in this type of environment, thus, determining the potential for using this model for integrated water assessments in South Africa. The Pitman model (Pitman, 1973; Hughes, 2013) is one of the most widely accepted models regarding surface water hydrology in South Africa; however, the newly incorporated groundwater components (Hughes, 2004) have not been applied as extensively as the surface water components. There remains uncertainty regarding their capability to adequately simulate groundwater processes and accurately represent surface and groundwater interactions in some environments. The model was assessed based on how well simulated water balance variables accurately reflected available evidence and expected catchment response (objective 1). Secondly, the research identified and addressed uncertainties as regards the structure and application of the model’s groundwater interaction components (objective 2). The model was set up for the Lake Sibaya catchment, which is a predominantly groundwater-driven system and, thus, provides an important opportunity to interrogate different aspects of uncertainty in both the conceptualizing and quantifying interaction processes. The study’s overall conclusion is that the model performed satisfactorily as it was able to simulate the lake’s water balance correctly enough such that the influences of dominating components were sensibly reflected in variations in streamflow and lake volumes. The following key findings were noted; (i) the lake volume shows a continuous decline, (ii) the lake volume decreased with increasing development (forestry and abstractions) in the lake catchment, (iii) there is significant rainfall uncertainty in the study area and the model showed high sensitivity to rainfall differences, (iv) robust conceptual knowledge of local catchment conditions was valuable for reducing some of the data related uncertainty in the study area and for producing realistic model simulations, (v) the Pitman model (Hughes, 2013) updated GW components can provide a valuable tool for modelling integrated hydrological processes; nevertheless, when applying the model to specific environments, implicit approaches may be necessary to account for processes that are not fully represented in the model. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-10-13
Establishing a water resources assessment system for Eswatini (Swaziland) incorporating data and modelling uncertainty
- Authors: Ndzabandzaba, Coli
- Date: 2021-10-29
- Subjects: Water resources development Eswatini , Water-supply Eswatini Management , Hydrologic models Eswatini , Runoff Mathematical models , Rain and rainfall Mathematical models , Pitman model
- Language: English
- Type: Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/189009 , vital:44806 , 10.21504/10962/189009
- Description: The uneven distribution of water resources availability globally puts pressure on environmental and human or socio-economic systems and has complex implications for the interactions within these systems. The natural environment and water resources are increasingly threatened by development, and water management crises are still occurring. This is exacerbated by the lack of accurate and adequate information on these systems. In Eswatini, for example, the pressure on the available water resources is mounting due to increasing water demand for irrigation while information about natural hydrological conditions and levels of water resources developments are uncertain. In addition, the practical application of hydrological models for water resources assessments that incorporate uncertainty in Eswatini has yet to be realised. The aim of the study, therefore, was to develop a water resource assessment system that is based on both observed and simulated information and that includes uncertainty. This study focusses on a regional water resource assessment using an uncertainty version of the Pitman monthly rainfall-runoff model whose outputs are constrained by six indices of natural hydrological response (i.e., mean monthly runoff, mean monthly groundwater recharge, Q10, Q50 and Q90 percentage points of the flow duration curve and % time of zero flows) for each of the 122 sub-basins of the transboundary catchments of Eswatini. A 2-step uncertainty modelling approach was tested, validated and then applied to all the sub-basins of Eswatini. The first step of the model run establishes behavioural, but uncertain model parameter ranges for natural incremental sub-basin hydrological responses and the model is typically run 100 000 times for each sub-basin. The parameter space that defines the uncertainty in parameter estimation is sampled based on simple Monte Carlo approach. The second step links all the sub-basin outputs and allows for water use parameters to be incorporated, where necessary, in order to generate cumulative sub-basin outflows. The results from the constraint index analysis have proved to be useful in constraining the model outputs. Generally, the behavioural model outputs produced realistic uncertainty estimates as well as acceptable simulations based on the assessment of the flow duration curves. The modelling results indicated that there is some degree of uncertainty that cannot be easily accounted for due to some identified data issues. The results also showed that there is still a possibility to improve the simulations provided such issues are resolved. The issues about the simulation of stream flow that were detected are mainly related to availability of data to estimate water use parameters. Another challenge in setting up the model was associated with establishing constraints that match the parameters for natural hydrological conditions for specific sub-basins and maintaining consistency in the adjustment of the model output constraints for other sub-basins. In an attempt to overcome this problem, the study recommends additional hydrological response constraints to be used with the Pitman model. Another main recommendation relates to the strong cooperation of relevant catchment management authorities and stakeholders including scientists in order to make information more available to users. The new hydrological insight is derived from the analysis of hydrological indices which highlighted the regional variations in hydrological processes and sub-basin response across the transboundary basins of Eswatini. The adopted modelling approach provides further insight into all the uncertainties associated with quantifying the available water resources of the country. The study has provided further understanding of the spatial variability of the hydrological response and existing development impacts than was previously available. It is envisaged that these new insights will provide an improved basis for future water management in Eswatini. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10-29
- Authors: Ndzabandzaba, Coli
- Date: 2021-10-29
- Subjects: Water resources development Eswatini , Water-supply Eswatini Management , Hydrologic models Eswatini , Runoff Mathematical models , Rain and rainfall Mathematical models , Pitman model
- Language: English
- Type: Doctoral theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/189009 , vital:44806 , 10.21504/10962/189009
- Description: The uneven distribution of water resources availability globally puts pressure on environmental and human or socio-economic systems and has complex implications for the interactions within these systems. The natural environment and water resources are increasingly threatened by development, and water management crises are still occurring. This is exacerbated by the lack of accurate and adequate information on these systems. In Eswatini, for example, the pressure on the available water resources is mounting due to increasing water demand for irrigation while information about natural hydrological conditions and levels of water resources developments are uncertain. In addition, the practical application of hydrological models for water resources assessments that incorporate uncertainty in Eswatini has yet to be realised. The aim of the study, therefore, was to develop a water resource assessment system that is based on both observed and simulated information and that includes uncertainty. This study focusses on a regional water resource assessment using an uncertainty version of the Pitman monthly rainfall-runoff model whose outputs are constrained by six indices of natural hydrological response (i.e., mean monthly runoff, mean monthly groundwater recharge, Q10, Q50 and Q90 percentage points of the flow duration curve and % time of zero flows) for each of the 122 sub-basins of the transboundary catchments of Eswatini. A 2-step uncertainty modelling approach was tested, validated and then applied to all the sub-basins of Eswatini. The first step of the model run establishes behavioural, but uncertain model parameter ranges for natural incremental sub-basin hydrological responses and the model is typically run 100 000 times for each sub-basin. The parameter space that defines the uncertainty in parameter estimation is sampled based on simple Monte Carlo approach. The second step links all the sub-basin outputs and allows for water use parameters to be incorporated, where necessary, in order to generate cumulative sub-basin outflows. The results from the constraint index analysis have proved to be useful in constraining the model outputs. Generally, the behavioural model outputs produced realistic uncertainty estimates as well as acceptable simulations based on the assessment of the flow duration curves. The modelling results indicated that there is some degree of uncertainty that cannot be easily accounted for due to some identified data issues. The results also showed that there is still a possibility to improve the simulations provided such issues are resolved. The issues about the simulation of stream flow that were detected are mainly related to availability of data to estimate water use parameters. Another challenge in setting up the model was associated with establishing constraints that match the parameters for natural hydrological conditions for specific sub-basins and maintaining consistency in the adjustment of the model output constraints for other sub-basins. In an attempt to overcome this problem, the study recommends additional hydrological response constraints to be used with the Pitman model. Another main recommendation relates to the strong cooperation of relevant catchment management authorities and stakeholders including scientists in order to make information more available to users. The new hydrological insight is derived from the analysis of hydrological indices which highlighted the regional variations in hydrological processes and sub-basin response across the transboundary basins of Eswatini. The adopted modelling approach provides further insight into all the uncertainties associated with quantifying the available water resources of the country. The study has provided further understanding of the spatial variability of the hydrological response and existing development impacts than was previously available. It is envisaged that these new insights will provide an improved basis for future water management in Eswatini. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10-29
Ecological infrastructure importance for drought mitigation in rural South African catchments: the Cacadu Catchment case example
- Authors: Xoxo, Beauten Sinetemba
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Sustainable Development Goals , Water security South Africa , Remote sensing , Watershed restoration South Africa , Restoration ecology South Africa , Ecosystem services South Africa , SDG 15.3.1
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/191203 , vital:45070
- Description: Water scarcity is recognised as one of the significant challenges facing many countries, including South Africa. The threat of water scarcity is exacerbated by the coupled impacts of climate and anthropogenic drivers. Ongoing droughts and continued land cover change and degradation influence the ability of catchments to partition rainwater runoff, thereby affecting streamflow returns. However, quantifying land degradation accurately remains a challenge. This thesis used the theoretical lens of investing in ecological infrastructure to improve the drought mitigation function in rural catchments. This theoretical framework allows for a social-ecological systems approach to understand and facilitate science-based strategies for promoting ecosystem recovery. Specifically, this study aimed to explore the role and benefit of ecological infrastructure for improving drought mitigation, and consequently, water security for rural communities. Thus, this study sought to assess the consequences of human actions to catchment health status using the 15th Sustainable Development Goal indicator for the proportion of degraded land over the total land area as a surrogate. Secondly, hydrological modelling was used to describe how different land covers influence catchment hydrology, which related to how ecological infrastructure enables drought risk-reduction for mitigation regulation. Finally, this study developed a spatial prioritisation plan for restoration to improve drought mitigation for four focal ecological infrastructure (EI) categories (i.e. wetlands, riparian margins, abandoned agricultural fields and grasslands). The focal EI categories were selected for their importance in delivering water-related ecosystem services when sustainably managed. Chapter 1 sets the scene (i.e. provides the study background) and Chapter 2 provides a review of the literature. In Chapter 3, the recently released global GIS toolbox (TRENDS.EARTH) was used for tracking land change and for assessing the SDG 15.3.1 degradation indicator of i.e. Cacadu catchment over 15 years at a 300 m resolution. The results showed a declining trend in biomass productivity within the Cacadu catchment led to moderate degradation, with 16.79% of the total landscape degraded, which was determined by the pugin using the one-out, all-out rule. The incidence of degradation was detected in middle reaches of the catchment (i.e. S10F-J), while some improvement was detected in upper reaches (S10A-C) and lower reaches (S10J). In Chapter 4, a GIS-based Analytic Hierarchical Process (AHP) based on community stakeholder priorities, open-access spatial datasets and expert opinions, was used to identify EI focal areas that are best suitable for restoration to increase the drought mitigation capacity of the Cacadu catchment. The collected datasets provided three broad criteria (ecosystem health, water provision and social benefit) for establishing the AHP model using 12 spatial attributes. Prioritisation results show that up to 89% of the Cacadu catchment is suitable for restoration to improve drought mitigation. Catchments S10B-D, and S10F, S10G and S10J were highly prioritised while S10A, S10E and S10H received low priority, due to improving environmental conditions and low hydrological potential. Areas that were prioritised with consideration for local livelihoods overlap the areas for drought mitigation and form a network of villages from the middle to lower catchment reaches. Prioritised restoration areas with a consideration of societal benefit made up 0.56% of wetlands, 4.27% of riparian margins, 92.06% of abandoned croplands, and 51.86% of grasslands. Chapter 5 reports on use of the Pitman groundwater model to help understand the influence of land modification on catchment hydrology, and highlight the role of restoration interventions. The Cacadu catchment is ungauged, therefore the neighbouring Indwe catchment was used for parameter transfer through a spatial regionalisation technique. Results suggest that degradation increases surface runoff and aggravates recharge reduction, thereby reducing streamflow during low flow periods. In areas where there is natural land cover recovery, the Pitman Model simulated similar dry season streamflow to the natural land cover. Combining the outcomes from the three assessments allowed the study to highlight the role and benefits of ecological infrastructure in terms of drought mitigation. Study findings were interpreted to make recommendations for the role and benefit of ecological infrastructure for drought mitigation at a landscape scale and tertiary catchment level, within the context of available management options. The results support the notion that multiple science data sources can promote investments in ecological infrastructure. However, better spatial and temporal resolution datasets at a national level are still needed to improve the accuracy of studies such as the one outlined in this thesis. The study recommends adopting better ecosystem protection approaches and collaborative governance at multiple levels to reduce the vulnerability of rural communities to drought impacts. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10
- Authors: Xoxo, Beauten Sinetemba
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Sustainable Development Goals , Water security South Africa , Remote sensing , Watershed restoration South Africa , Restoration ecology South Africa , Ecosystem services South Africa , SDG 15.3.1
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/191203 , vital:45070
- Description: Water scarcity is recognised as one of the significant challenges facing many countries, including South Africa. The threat of water scarcity is exacerbated by the coupled impacts of climate and anthropogenic drivers. Ongoing droughts and continued land cover change and degradation influence the ability of catchments to partition rainwater runoff, thereby affecting streamflow returns. However, quantifying land degradation accurately remains a challenge. This thesis used the theoretical lens of investing in ecological infrastructure to improve the drought mitigation function in rural catchments. This theoretical framework allows for a social-ecological systems approach to understand and facilitate science-based strategies for promoting ecosystem recovery. Specifically, this study aimed to explore the role and benefit of ecological infrastructure for improving drought mitigation, and consequently, water security for rural communities. Thus, this study sought to assess the consequences of human actions to catchment health status using the 15th Sustainable Development Goal indicator for the proportion of degraded land over the total land area as a surrogate. Secondly, hydrological modelling was used to describe how different land covers influence catchment hydrology, which related to how ecological infrastructure enables drought risk-reduction for mitigation regulation. Finally, this study developed a spatial prioritisation plan for restoration to improve drought mitigation for four focal ecological infrastructure (EI) categories (i.e. wetlands, riparian margins, abandoned agricultural fields and grasslands). The focal EI categories were selected for their importance in delivering water-related ecosystem services when sustainably managed. Chapter 1 sets the scene (i.e. provides the study background) and Chapter 2 provides a review of the literature. In Chapter 3, the recently released global GIS toolbox (TRENDS.EARTH) was used for tracking land change and for assessing the SDG 15.3.1 degradation indicator of i.e. Cacadu catchment over 15 years at a 300 m resolution. The results showed a declining trend in biomass productivity within the Cacadu catchment led to moderate degradation, with 16.79% of the total landscape degraded, which was determined by the pugin using the one-out, all-out rule. The incidence of degradation was detected in middle reaches of the catchment (i.e. S10F-J), while some improvement was detected in upper reaches (S10A-C) and lower reaches (S10J). In Chapter 4, a GIS-based Analytic Hierarchical Process (AHP) based on community stakeholder priorities, open-access spatial datasets and expert opinions, was used to identify EI focal areas that are best suitable for restoration to increase the drought mitigation capacity of the Cacadu catchment. The collected datasets provided three broad criteria (ecosystem health, water provision and social benefit) for establishing the AHP model using 12 spatial attributes. Prioritisation results show that up to 89% of the Cacadu catchment is suitable for restoration to improve drought mitigation. Catchments S10B-D, and S10F, S10G and S10J were highly prioritised while S10A, S10E and S10H received low priority, due to improving environmental conditions and low hydrological potential. Areas that were prioritised with consideration for local livelihoods overlap the areas for drought mitigation and form a network of villages from the middle to lower catchment reaches. Prioritised restoration areas with a consideration of societal benefit made up 0.56% of wetlands, 4.27% of riparian margins, 92.06% of abandoned croplands, and 51.86% of grasslands. Chapter 5 reports on use of the Pitman groundwater model to help understand the influence of land modification on catchment hydrology, and highlight the role of restoration interventions. The Cacadu catchment is ungauged, therefore the neighbouring Indwe catchment was used for parameter transfer through a spatial regionalisation technique. Results suggest that degradation increases surface runoff and aggravates recharge reduction, thereby reducing streamflow during low flow periods. In areas where there is natural land cover recovery, the Pitman Model simulated similar dry season streamflow to the natural land cover. Combining the outcomes from the three assessments allowed the study to highlight the role and benefits of ecological infrastructure in terms of drought mitigation. Study findings were interpreted to make recommendations for the role and benefit of ecological infrastructure for drought mitigation at a landscape scale and tertiary catchment level, within the context of available management options. The results support the notion that multiple science data sources can promote investments in ecological infrastructure. However, better spatial and temporal resolution datasets at a national level are still needed to improve the accuracy of studies such as the one outlined in this thesis. The study recommends adopting better ecosystem protection approaches and collaborative governance at multiple levels to reduce the vulnerability of rural communities to drought impacts. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Institute for Water Research, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10
Investigation of sediment buffering function of the Gatberg Floodplain Wetland in the upper Tsitsa River Catchment, South Africa
- Pakati, Sibuyisele Sweetness
- Authors: Pakati, Sibuyisele Sweetness
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Sedimentation and deposition South Africa Eastern Cape , Sediment transport South Africa Eastern Cape , Floodplain morphology South Africa Eastern Cape , Wetlands South Africa Eastern Cape , Suspended sediments South Africa Eastern Cape , Floods South Africa Eastern Cape , Fluvial geomorphology South Africa Eastern Cape , Floodplain plants South Africa Eastern Cape , Inundation depth
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/190792 , vital:45028
- Description: Floodplain wetlands are important components of river systems that provide various ecosystem services such as sediment buffering. These wide and often expansive storage areas have a substantial impact on downstream water quality by trapping sediment and storing ‘contaminants’ adhered to sediment thus improving water quality. The planned construction of the Ntabelanga and Lalini Dams in the Tsitsa River Catchment has been proposed; however, due to the steep landscapes and erodible soils, this promotes high erosion rates that can potentially reduce the lifespan of the proposed dams. The existing wetlands in the Tsitsa River Catchment have therefore been identified as key sediment buffers that can reduce sediment transport, but the effectiveness of these buffers is poorly researched. This study attempts to investigate the current sediment buffering function of the Gatberg Floodplain Wetland over one wet season (August 2019 to August 2020). Time integrated samplers were installed above and below the wetland to determine relative sediment volume and character coming in and out of the wetland. Five transects were surveyed across the wetland width to evaluate the topography and vegetation characteristics. Surface sediment samples on the floodplain were taken at key morphological features along each transect and along the river longitudinal profile to determine organic content, particle size, and type of stored sediment. Astro turf mats were deployed on targeted transects and on key floodplain features to determine sediment accumulation rates. Field measurements of vegetation parameters (height, density, and stem diameter) were taken to calculate vegetation-induced hydraulic roughness to understand possible sedimentation feedbacks. The relative sediment volume coming into the wetland was greater than that leaving the wetland. This implies that some of the sediment is buffered within the wetland. An approximate proportion of 73% trapping efficiency of the incoming sediment was buffered within the floodplain wetland during the wet season. This accumulated approximately 4 tons within the wetland over the monitoring frame. Bed particle size in the longitudinal profile increased with distance downstream, this was due to localized tributary and hillslope inputs. Inundation depth varied across the floodplain wetland with deeper inundation depths at the head of the wetland than at the bottom; where particle size was larger with an increase in water level depth. This may be linked to both high stream velocities and variability of the floodplain topography. However, the observed trends were inconclusive and uncertain. Stronger correlations with particle size were shown by vegetation roughness (b* = 0.41) and distance from the channel (b* = -0.38). Flood benches and banks had a coarser D50 particle size than back swamps and oxbows. Coarser sediment in flood benches are associated with proximity to the sediment-laden water that experiences abrupt flow velocity changes, while finer material in oxbows are due to minimal flow velocities which reduce with distance from the channel. Finer particles remain in suspension and are carried aloft for longer periods at very low velocities. Therefore, particle size decreased with distance from the channel due to longer travel distances and high surface area relative to weight. Further results showed that finer surface sediment particle size was associated with high vegetation roughness whilst coarser material was associated with low roughness. This was due to vegetation geometry and type or changes in flow velocity and energy. Grassy vegetation induced finer particle size than shrubby vegetation that has a greater line spacing. Furthermore, vegetation roughness varied over the wet season; roughness was highest in late summer and low in early summer. Low roughness was due to fire occurrence in the study area which resulted in a decrease in biomass. Increasing vegetation roughness can be due to increased flood events, and the introduction of non-perennial species; which can increase sediment accumulation rates. Although studies have shown that vegetation density is the most essential factor affecting flow resistance and sedimentation processes; vegetation height and stem diameter for this study area seem to contrast these observations and rather may be the most significant contributing factors in sedimentation. This concluded that vegetation density may not always be the most essential component in sedimentation processes. Sediment particle size was inversely proportional to organic content; finer particle size are more cohesive and more capable of carrying organics. Regions further away from the channel such as oxbows with stable moisture conditions favour plant growth and soil formation thus are susceptible to high organic content. Flood benches are closer to the channel, thus have coarser material and fluctuating moisture conditions that have unstable high water flow velocities. High sediment accumulation rates on flood benches and oxbows is due to high connectivity to sediment-laden water and high hydroperiods or high residence time for sediment accumulation in oxbows. Sediment accumulation rate was shown to be a function of particle size itself (b* = 0.67) rather than the expected vegetation roughness. Although a true representation of sediment accumulation rates in the Gatberg Wetland was limited by the disturbance of astro turf mats by animals and possibly by high flooding events; the wetland can be regarded as a good sediment buffer as some sediment was stored (e.g. up to 48,04 kg/m2 in flood benches) within the wetland over the monitoring period. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Geography, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10
- Authors: Pakati, Sibuyisele Sweetness
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Sedimentation and deposition South Africa Eastern Cape , Sediment transport South Africa Eastern Cape , Floodplain morphology South Africa Eastern Cape , Wetlands South Africa Eastern Cape , Suspended sediments South Africa Eastern Cape , Floods South Africa Eastern Cape , Fluvial geomorphology South Africa Eastern Cape , Floodplain plants South Africa Eastern Cape , Inundation depth
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/190792 , vital:45028
- Description: Floodplain wetlands are important components of river systems that provide various ecosystem services such as sediment buffering. These wide and often expansive storage areas have a substantial impact on downstream water quality by trapping sediment and storing ‘contaminants’ adhered to sediment thus improving water quality. The planned construction of the Ntabelanga and Lalini Dams in the Tsitsa River Catchment has been proposed; however, due to the steep landscapes and erodible soils, this promotes high erosion rates that can potentially reduce the lifespan of the proposed dams. The existing wetlands in the Tsitsa River Catchment have therefore been identified as key sediment buffers that can reduce sediment transport, but the effectiveness of these buffers is poorly researched. This study attempts to investigate the current sediment buffering function of the Gatberg Floodplain Wetland over one wet season (August 2019 to August 2020). Time integrated samplers were installed above and below the wetland to determine relative sediment volume and character coming in and out of the wetland. Five transects were surveyed across the wetland width to evaluate the topography and vegetation characteristics. Surface sediment samples on the floodplain were taken at key morphological features along each transect and along the river longitudinal profile to determine organic content, particle size, and type of stored sediment. Astro turf mats were deployed on targeted transects and on key floodplain features to determine sediment accumulation rates. Field measurements of vegetation parameters (height, density, and stem diameter) were taken to calculate vegetation-induced hydraulic roughness to understand possible sedimentation feedbacks. The relative sediment volume coming into the wetland was greater than that leaving the wetland. This implies that some of the sediment is buffered within the wetland. An approximate proportion of 73% trapping efficiency of the incoming sediment was buffered within the floodplain wetland during the wet season. This accumulated approximately 4 tons within the wetland over the monitoring frame. Bed particle size in the longitudinal profile increased with distance downstream, this was due to localized tributary and hillslope inputs. Inundation depth varied across the floodplain wetland with deeper inundation depths at the head of the wetland than at the bottom; where particle size was larger with an increase in water level depth. This may be linked to both high stream velocities and variability of the floodplain topography. However, the observed trends were inconclusive and uncertain. Stronger correlations with particle size were shown by vegetation roughness (b* = 0.41) and distance from the channel (b* = -0.38). Flood benches and banks had a coarser D50 particle size than back swamps and oxbows. Coarser sediment in flood benches are associated with proximity to the sediment-laden water that experiences abrupt flow velocity changes, while finer material in oxbows are due to minimal flow velocities which reduce with distance from the channel. Finer particles remain in suspension and are carried aloft for longer periods at very low velocities. Therefore, particle size decreased with distance from the channel due to longer travel distances and high surface area relative to weight. Further results showed that finer surface sediment particle size was associated with high vegetation roughness whilst coarser material was associated with low roughness. This was due to vegetation geometry and type or changes in flow velocity and energy. Grassy vegetation induced finer particle size than shrubby vegetation that has a greater line spacing. Furthermore, vegetation roughness varied over the wet season; roughness was highest in late summer and low in early summer. Low roughness was due to fire occurrence in the study area which resulted in a decrease in biomass. Increasing vegetation roughness can be due to increased flood events, and the introduction of non-perennial species; which can increase sediment accumulation rates. Although studies have shown that vegetation density is the most essential factor affecting flow resistance and sedimentation processes; vegetation height and stem diameter for this study area seem to contrast these observations and rather may be the most significant contributing factors in sedimentation. This concluded that vegetation density may not always be the most essential component in sedimentation processes. Sediment particle size was inversely proportional to organic content; finer particle size are more cohesive and more capable of carrying organics. Regions further away from the channel such as oxbows with stable moisture conditions favour plant growth and soil formation thus are susceptible to high organic content. Flood benches are closer to the channel, thus have coarser material and fluctuating moisture conditions that have unstable high water flow velocities. High sediment accumulation rates on flood benches and oxbows is due to high connectivity to sediment-laden water and high hydroperiods or high residence time for sediment accumulation in oxbows. Sediment accumulation rate was shown to be a function of particle size itself (b* = 0.67) rather than the expected vegetation roughness. Although a true representation of sediment accumulation rates in the Gatberg Wetland was limited by the disturbance of astro turf mats by animals and possibly by high flooding events; the wetland can be regarded as a good sediment buffer as some sediment was stored (e.g. up to 48,04 kg/m2 in flood benches) within the wetland over the monitoring period. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Geography, 2021
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2021-10
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