First steps in the development of a water temperature model framework for refining the ecological Reserve in South African rivers
- Rivers-Moore, N A, Hughes, Denis A, Mantel, Sukhmani K, Hill, Trevor R
- Authors: Rivers-Moore, N A , Hughes, Denis A , Mantel, Sukhmani K , Hill, Trevor R
- Date: 2008-10-05
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7092 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012425
- Description: Ecological Reserve determination for rivers in South Africa presently does not include a water temperature component, in spite of its importance in determining species distribution patterns. To achieve this requires an understanding of how lotic thermographs from South African rivers differ from northern hemisphere rivers, to avoid mismanaging rivers based on incorrect regional assumptions. Hourly water temperatures from 20 sites in four river systems, representing a range of latitudes, altitudes and stream orders, were assessed using a range of metrics. These data were analysed using principal component analyses and multiple linear regressions to understand what variables a water temperature model for use in ecoregions within South Africa should include. While temperature data are generally lacking in low- and higher-order South African rivers, data suggest that South African rivers are warmer than northern hemisphere rivers. Water temperatures could be grouped into cool, warm and intermediate types. Based on temperature time series analyses, this paper argues that a suitable water-temperature model for use in ecological Reserve determinations should be dynamic, include flow and air temperature variables, and be adaptive through a heat exchange coefficient term. The inclusion of water temperature in the determination and management of river ecological Reserves would allow for more holistic application of the National Water Act's ecological management provisions. Water temperature guidelines added to the ecological Reserve could be integrated into heuristic aquatic monitoring programmes within priority areas identified in regional conservation plans.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Rivers-Moore, N A , Hughes, Denis A , Mantel, Sukhmani K , Hill, Trevor R
- Date: 2008-10-05
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7092 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012425
- Description: Ecological Reserve determination for rivers in South Africa presently does not include a water temperature component, in spite of its importance in determining species distribution patterns. To achieve this requires an understanding of how lotic thermographs from South African rivers differ from northern hemisphere rivers, to avoid mismanaging rivers based on incorrect regional assumptions. Hourly water temperatures from 20 sites in four river systems, representing a range of latitudes, altitudes and stream orders, were assessed using a range of metrics. These data were analysed using principal component analyses and multiple linear regressions to understand what variables a water temperature model for use in ecoregions within South Africa should include. While temperature data are generally lacking in low- and higher-order South African rivers, data suggest that South African rivers are warmer than northern hemisphere rivers. Water temperatures could be grouped into cool, warm and intermediate types. Based on temperature time series analyses, this paper argues that a suitable water-temperature model for use in ecological Reserve determinations should be dynamic, include flow and air temperature variables, and be adaptive through a heat exchange coefficient term. The inclusion of water temperature in the determination and management of river ecological Reserves would allow for more holistic application of the National Water Act's ecological management provisions. Water temperature guidelines added to the ecological Reserve could be integrated into heuristic aquatic monitoring programmes within priority areas identified in regional conservation plans.
- Full Text:
Application of satellite-derived rainfall estimates to extend water resource simulation modelling in South Africa
- Sawunyama, Tendai, Hughes, Denis A
- Authors: Sawunyama, Tendai , Hughes, Denis A
- Date: 2008
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7089 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012419
- Description: Spatially interpolated rainfall estimates from rain-gauges are widely used as input to hydrological models, but deriving accurate estimates at appropriate space and time scales remain a major problem. In South Africa there has been a gradual decrease in the number of active rain-gauges over time. Satellite-based estimates of spatial rainfall are becoming more readily available and offer a viable substitute. The paper presents the potential of using Climate Prediction Center African daily precipitation climatology (CPCAPC) satellite-based datasets (2001-2006) to drive a Pitman hydrological model which has been calibrated using gauge-based rainfall data (1920-1990). However, if two sources of rainfall data are to be used together, it is necessary to ensure that they are compatible in terms of their statistical properties. A non-linear frequency of exceedance transformation technique was used to correct the satellite data to be more consistent with historical spatial rainfall estimates. The technique generated simulation results for the 2001 to 2006 period that were greatly improved compared to the direct use of the untransformed satellite data. While there remain some further questions about the use of satellite-derived rainfall data in different parts of the country, they do seem to have the potential to contribute to extending water resource modelling into the future.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Sawunyama, Tendai , Hughes, Denis A
- Date: 2008
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7089 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012419
- Description: Spatially interpolated rainfall estimates from rain-gauges are widely used as input to hydrological models, but deriving accurate estimates at appropriate space and time scales remain a major problem. In South Africa there has been a gradual decrease in the number of active rain-gauges over time. Satellite-based estimates of spatial rainfall are becoming more readily available and offer a viable substitute. The paper presents the potential of using Climate Prediction Center African daily precipitation climatology (CPCAPC) satellite-based datasets (2001-2006) to drive a Pitman hydrological model which has been calibrated using gauge-based rainfall data (1920-1990). However, if two sources of rainfall data are to be used together, it is necessary to ensure that they are compatible in terms of their statistical properties. A non-linear frequency of exceedance transformation technique was used to correct the satellite data to be more consistent with historical spatial rainfall estimates. The technique generated simulation results for the 2001 to 2006 period that were greatly improved compared to the direct use of the untransformed satellite data. While there remain some further questions about the use of satellite-derived rainfall data in different parts of the country, they do seem to have the potential to contribute to extending water resource modelling into the future.
- Full Text:
Links between water temperatures, ecological responses and flow rates: a framework for establishing water temperature guidelines for the ecological reserve
- Rivers-Moore, Nick A, Hughes, Denis A, Mantel, Sukhmani K M
- Authors: Rivers-Moore, Nick A , Hughes, Denis A , Mantel, Sukhmani K M
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , report
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438295 , vital:73449 , ISBN 978-1-77005-738-8 , https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/KV214-CONSERVATION.pdf
- Description: Global ecosystems face unprecedented crises in habitat fragmentation, destruction and ultimately extinction (Groves, 2003), and of all the vary-ing ecological systems rivers are the most neglected and endangered (Groves, 2003; Driver, et al., 2005; Roux et al., 2005). The greatest threat to these systems is the loss or degradation of natural habitat and processes (Driver et al., 2005), and water temperatures, after flow vol-umes, are a primary abiotic driver of species patterns within river sys-tems. Stuckenberg (1969) highlighted the links between temperature, topography and faunal assemblages, while Rivers-Moore et al.(2004) highlights the major impacts of water temperatures on organisms, and illustrate how water temperatures are one of the primary environmental drivers structuring fish communities in the Sabie River, arguably the most icthyologically species-rich river in South Africa.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Rivers-Moore, Nick A , Hughes, Denis A , Mantel, Sukhmani K M
- Date: 2008
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , report
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/438295 , vital:73449 , ISBN 978-1-77005-738-8 , https://wrcwebsite.azurewebsites.net/wp-content/uploads/mdocs/KV214-CONSERVATION.pdf
- Description: Global ecosystems face unprecedented crises in habitat fragmentation, destruction and ultimately extinction (Groves, 2003), and of all the vary-ing ecological systems rivers are the most neglected and endangered (Groves, 2003; Driver, et al., 2005; Roux et al., 2005). The greatest threat to these systems is the loss or degradation of natural habitat and processes (Driver et al., 2005), and water temperatures, after flow vol-umes, are a primary abiotic driver of species patterns within river sys-tems. Stuckenberg (1969) highlighted the links between temperature, topography and faunal assemblages, while Rivers-Moore et al.(2004) highlights the major impacts of water temperatures on organisms, and illustrate how water temperatures are one of the primary environmental drivers structuring fish communities in the Sabie River, arguably the most icthyologically species-rich river in South Africa.
- Full Text:
Towards revised physically based parameter estimation methods for the Pitman monthly rainfall-runoff model
- Kapangaziwiri, Evison, Hughes, Denis A
- Authors: Kapangaziwiri, Evison , Hughes, Denis A
- Date: 2008
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7088 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012417
- Description: This paper presents a preliminary stage in the development of an alternative parameterisation procedure for the Pitman monthly rainfall runoff model which enjoys popular use in water resource assessment in Southern Africa. The estimation procedures are based on the premise that it is possible to use physical basin properties directly in the quantification of the soil moisture accounting, runoff, and recharge and infiltration parameters. The results for selected basins show that the revised parameters are at least as good as current regionalised sets or give satisfactory results in areas where no regionalised parameters exist.
- Full Text:
- Authors: Kapangaziwiri, Evison , Hughes, Denis A
- Date: 2008
- Language: English
- Type: text , Article
- Identifier: vital:7088 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1012417
- Description: This paper presents a preliminary stage in the development of an alternative parameterisation procedure for the Pitman monthly rainfall runoff model which enjoys popular use in water resource assessment in Southern Africa. The estimation procedures are based on the premise that it is possible to use physical basin properties directly in the quantification of the soil moisture accounting, runoff, and recharge and infiltration parameters. The results for selected basins show that the revised parameters are at least as good as current regionalised sets or give satisfactory results in areas where no regionalised parameters exist.
- Full Text:
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