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Spatial pattern analysis of thicket expansion in a semi-arid savanna

- Putzier, Rachel Rayne

Authors: Putzier, Rachel Rayne
Date: 2024-10-11
Subjects: Arid regions South Africa Eastern Cape , Spatial analysis (Statistics) , Thicket , Lidar , Cluster analysis , Trees Mortality , Scrub encroachment
Language: English
Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/464484 , vital:76515
Description: Woody thickening has negative economic and ecological impacts in savannas globally. While the increase of savanna trees as a form of bush encroachment has been well studied, less is known about the increase of thicket species in savannas, which is an important phenomenon resulting in the formation of closed-canopy clumps which may exclude the grass layer over time. The early stage of thicket expansion is often initiated by a nucleating savanna species which facilitates the establishment of woody thicket pioneer species, and as the thicket clump formation expands, bush clumps increase in dominance, thereby increasing the frequency of competitive interactions and leading to a possible switch from facilitative to competitive interactions. Spatial point pattern analysis provides a useful tool to elucidate these underlying patterns and ecological processes. I used high resolution LiDAR data combined with spatial point pattern analysis to understand tree-tree interactions in a semi-arid savanna in the Eastern Cape Province of South Africa. I conducted a cluster analysis based on vegetation structural variables to distinguish different stages of woody plant encroachment from open savanna to closed canopy thicket. Using the canopy height model, I quantified the change in the grass height from open savanna to closed canopy thicket clumps as an indicator of a possible biome shift. Additionally, I used spatial point pattern analyses to investigate the effect of thicket clump formation on the composition of savanna and thicket species, the overall patterns of trees, and the associations of small thicket species with large Vachellia karroo trees, which serve as clump initiators. Finally, I examined the mortality of savanna trees across increasing stages of thicket expansion using second order spatial statistics, namely the Mark- and Pair-Correlation Functions. Results confirmed that three vegetation states, influenced by elevation, are present at the study site, representing open canopy savanna (early-stage thicket encroachment), encroached savanna with low thicket dominance (intermediate-stage thicket encroachment), and highly encroached with dominant thicket clumps (late-stage thicket encroachment). These stages showed increasing tree height, canopy cover and canopy height density, as well as decreased (but not completely absent grass layer) as thicket encroachment progresses. Spatial point pattern analysis showed, as predicted, that there was an overall aggregation of trees at small-scales within early thicket clump formation, from which I inferred that facilitative relationships may exist between trees. Contrary to my predictions, at later stages of thicket clump formation I found dominant independent patterns between savanna adults and juvenile thicket species, which may result from a combination of facilitative and competitive effects. Lastly, as expected, I found that the density of V. karroo mortality increased as thicket encroachment increased, with an overall random spatial pattern of dead V. karroo across encroachment stages. As predicted, tree mortality was randomly distributed in space in the open savanna state, and as thicket clump formation increases, tree competitive mortality became more evident, as well as decreased tree performance. Overall, the study highlights the interplay between facilitation and competition in semiarid savanna where thicket clumps are expanding. Intervention strategies are suggested to target areas of intermediate thicket clump formation, as these areas provide an opportunity to remove V. karroo before the nucleation process has enabled the establishment and increase of thicket species and to ensure the grass layer is kept productive. I conclude that the use of remote sensing and LiDAR technology holds a wide range of possibilities for monitoring and managing woody encroachment in savanna systems, however these methods need to be further refined for effective use within African savanna and thicket context, which displays high spatial aggregation making typical segmentation methods difficult. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Botany, 2024
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Enhancing the use of large-scale assessment data in South Africa: Multidimensional Item Response Theory

- Lahoud, Tamlyn Ann

Authors: Lahoud, Tamlyn Ann
Date: 2023-03-29
Subjects: Differential item functioning , Item response theory , Mathematical ability Testing , Educational tests and measurements , Multidimensional scaling
Language: English
Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/422389 , vital:71938
Description: This research aims to enhance the use of large-scale assessment data in South Africa by evaluating assessment validity by means of multidimensional item response theory and its associated statistical techniques, which have been severely underutilised. Data from the 2014 administration of the grade 6 Mathematics annual national assessment was used in this study and all analyses were conducted using the mirt package in R. A two parameter logistic item response theory model was developed which indicated a clear alignment between the model parameters and difficulty specifications of the test. The test was found to favour learners within the central band on the ability scale. An exploratory five dimensional item response theory model was then developed to investigate the alignment with the test specifications as evidence for construct validity. Significant discrepancies between the factor structure and the specifications of the test were identified. Notably, the results suggest that some items measured an ability that was not purely mathematical, such as reading ability, which would distort the test’s representation of Mathematics ability, disadvantage learners with lower English literacy, and reduce the construct validity of the test. Further validity evidence was obtained by differential item functioning analyses which revealed that fourteen items function differently for learners from different provinces. Although possible reasons for the presence of differential item functioning among provinces were not discussed, its presence provided sufficient evidence against the validity of the test. In conclusion, multidimensional item response theory provided an effective and rigorous approach to establishing the validity of a large-scale assessment. To avoid the pitfalls of the annual national assessments, it is recommended that this multidimensional item and differential item functioning techniques are utilised for the development and evaluation of future national assessment instruments in South Africa. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Statistics, 2023
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A decision-making model to guide securing blockchain deployments

- Cronje, Gerhard Roets

Authors: Cronje, Gerhard Roets
Date: 2021-10-29
Subjects: Blockchains (Databases) , Bitcoin , Cryptocurrencies , Distributed databases , Computer networks Security measures , Computer networks Security measures Decision making , Ethereum
Language: English
Type: Masters theses , text
Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/188865 , vital:44793
Description: Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudo-identity accredit with the paper that sparked the implementation of Bitcoin, is famously quoted as remarking, electronically of course, that “If you don’t believe it or don’t get it, I don’t have time to try and convince you, sorry” (Tsapis, 2019, p. 1). What is noticeable, 12 years after the famed Satoshi paper that initiated Bitcoin (Nakamoto, 2008), is that blockchain at the very least has staying power and potentially wide application. A lesser known figure Marc Kenisberg, founder of Bitcoin Chaser which is one of the many companies formed around the Bitcoin ecosystem, summarised it well saying “…Blockchain is the tech - Bitcoin is merely the first mainstream manifestation of its potential” (Tsapis, 2019, p. 1). With blockchain still trying to reach its potential and still maturing on its way towards a mainstream technology the main question that arises for security professionals is how do I ensure we do it securely? This research seeks to address that question by proposing a decision-making model that can be used by a security professional to guide them through ensuring appropriate security for blockchain deployments. This research is certainly not the first attempt at discussing the security of the blockchain and will not be the last, as the technology around blockchain and distributed ledger technology is still rapidly evolving. What this research does try to achieve is not to delve into extremely specific areas of blockchain security, or get bogged down in technical details, but to provide a reference framework that aims to cover all the major areas to be considered. The approach followed was to review the literature regarding blockchain and to identify the main security areas to be addressed. It then proposes a decision-making model and tests the model against a fictitious but relevant real-world example. It concludes with learnings from this research. The reader can be the judge, but the model aims to be a practical valuable resource to be used by any security professional, to navigate the security aspects logically and understandably when being involved in a blockchain deployment. In contrast to the Satoshi quote, this research tries to convince the reader and assist him/her in understanding the security choices related to every blockchain deployment. , Thesis (MSc) -- Faculty of Science, Computer Science, 2021
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Reactor development and process optimisation for the bioremediation of phenolic wastewaters by trametes species

- Ryan, Daniel Reginald

Authors: Ryan, Daniel Reginald
Date: 2004-04
Subjects: Uncatalogued
Language: English
Type: Doctoral theses , text
Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/191487 , vital:45103
Description: In many service industries, the source of a company’s value has shifted from capital to knowledge and ideas, the quality of which is dependent on its employees (Wooldridge, 2006). In fact, human resources can be considered part of factor conditions which can positively impact on a firm’s competitive context. This impact can ultimately translate into improved financial results (Porter and Kramer, 2002). There is therefore a growing interest in ways to attract and retain talent. According to the managers of many big companies, well communicated corporate responsibility practices can improve staff attraction as well as retention rates by improving morale (CSRwire, 2002). To explore this, a small, creative company in Johannesburg which engages in charity work was selected as a case study, with the goal being to understand whether their culture of good deeds has a positive impact on staff wellbeing. While the owner of the company actively attempts to make the company an enjoyable place to work at, he appears to have initiated the philanthropic activities in a true spirit of giving, rather than with the motive of engaging staff in order to make more money. Nevertheless, the researcher’s investigative stance is that of an enlightened egoist, and the study focuses on the business case of giving being beneficial to the giver (ultimately the company) in the long term, as well as to the recipient. While the danger of suggesting that philanthropy could be instrumentalised is acknowledged (Morton, 2004), the investigation explores the possibility because such evidence could persuade other companies to become more socially concerned. Through a qualitative approach involving interviews, observation and analysis of video footage, it becomes apparent that there is clearly value for the staff in the charity work they do. Unfortunately the multiple initiatives undertaken to keep staff morale high at the company make it impossible to establish a clear link between the philanthropy and overall wellbeing, but as the study was conducted in the phenomenological paradigm the main concern was with understanding the experience of participants. However, an unexpected finding was that the employees derive great satisfaction from using their professional skills for charity work rather than just donating money to the charity. They feel that their skills uniquely position them to make significant changes to the lives of others, which gives them a sense of pride and achievement that they don’t necessarily experience in their ordinary activities at work. On the basis of this, it is recommended that companies look to involve staff with projects that require their specific expertise when evaluating philanthropic initiatives. , Thesis (PhD) -- Faculty of Science, Biochemistry, Microbiology and Biotechnology, 2004
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