Agent-Based Modeling and Simulation for Transmission Dynamics and Surveillance of Dengue: Conceptual and Design Model
- Authors: Pascoe, Luba , Nyambo, Devotha G , Bradshaw, Karen L , Clemen, Thomas
- Date: 2023
- Subjects: To be catalogued
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/440200 , vital:73756 , xlink:href="https://doi.org/10.1109/AFRICON55910.2023.10293299"
- Description: African countries need to strengthen surveillance and control of arboviral diseases such as dengue due to increased outbreaks and spread of arboviruses. Climatic, socio-environment, and ecological variables influence the spread of dengue fever in Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper presents an Agent-Based conceptual and design model for dengue fever developed using the Multi-Agent Research and Simulation (MARS) framework. The study analyzes dengue fever's spatial distribution and identifies the causal relationship between the disease and its climatic and environmental variables. Agent-based modeling (ABM) was used to comprehend the spatial patterns of variation to determine the ecological association between the observed spatio-temporal variations in dengue fever. The domain and design model of an ABM for the surveillance of dengue fever is presented based on the Overview, Design Concepts, and Details (ODD) protocol. Model input parameters and input data for the study area are also presented. The dengue ABM can be adopted and reused for modeling other diseases and other complex problems from different domains while ensuring that their unique characteristics and appropriate modifications are considered to ensure the model's validity and relevance to the new context.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023
Major security incidents since 2014: an African perspective
- Authors: Van Heerden, Renier , Von Solms, Sune , Vorster, Johannes
- Date: 2018
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/68291 , vital:29234 , https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/abstract/document/8417326/
- Description: Publisher version , The integration of technology in the modern society provides many benefits, but with increased connectivity comes increased risk where governments, businesses and individuals are vulnerable to a variety of cyber-attacks. Many of the large information security attacks of the last decade can be seen as an attack on 'foreign” systems or individuals when viewed from an African perspective, with no direct impact on an individual in Africa. However, information security experts in Africa states that although some of these attacks might not have had a direct impact of the African individual, but never the less should not be ignored as it does indirectly influence the African individual. The experts state that even if the individuals or businesses are not directly influenced by an attack, it should not be ignored as similar attacks might influence them in the future. They emphasise that these attacks should improve their cybersecurity awareness and behaviour, in order to prevent similar attacks from impacting them.
- Full Text: false
- Date Issued: 2018
The pattern-richness of graphical passwords
- Authors: Vorster, Johannes , Van Heerden, Renier , Irwin, Barry V W
- Date: 2016
- Language: English
- Type: text , article
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/68322 , vital:29238 , https://doi.org/10.1109/ISSA.2016.7802931
- Description: Publisher version , Conventional (text-based) passwords have shown patterns such as variations on the username, or known passwords such as “password”, “admin” or “12345”. Patterns may similarly be detected in the use of Graphical passwords (GPs). The most significant such pattern - reported by many researchers - is hotspot clustering. This paper qualitatively analyses more than 200 graphical passwords for patterns other than the classically reported hotspots. The qualitative analysis finds that a significant percentage of passwords fall into a small set of patterns; patterns that can be used to form attack models against GPs. In counter action, these patterns can also be used to educate users so that future password selection is more secure. It is the hope that the outcome from this research will lead to improved behaviour and an enhancement in graphical password security.
- Full Text: false
- Date Issued: 2016