Financial deepening and economic performance in South African commercial banks
- Authors: Mpongoshe, Nomthandazo
- Date: 2023-12
- Subjects: Economic development , Banks and banking -- South Africa , Performance -- Measurement , Liquidity (Economics)
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/65829 , vital:74271
- Description: Financial deepening and economic growth have received much attention in the literature. However, there remains a significant gap in understanding the relationship between financial deepening, and bank performance especially within the context of South African commercial banks. This research aims to investigate the empirical relationship between financial deepening and the performance of all South African commercial banks from 1987 to 2019. The research adopts a descriptive research design and utilizes secondary data along with time series analysis techniques. The research empirically investigates the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance, using financial deepening indicators such as Market Capitalisation (MC), Credit to the private sector (CR), Money Stock (MS), and Bank liquidity (BL). Control variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation rate (IF), and Lending interest rate (LR) are also considered. The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing (ARDL) method is employed to test the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance. The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing (ARDL) method is employed to test the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance of South African commercial banks. The findings indicate that financial deepening has both short-term and long-term impacts on bank performance. Each component of the financial deepening indicators demonstrates a strong and statistically significant relationship with bank performance. This empirical evidence suggests that financial deepening has made a positive contribution to the profitability of South African commercial banks. Furthermore, the analysis reveals a long-run equilibrium relationship between financial deepening and the economic performance of the South African banking sector. This research addresses the gap between theoretical beliefs and empirical evidence by establishing a robust and positive contribution of financial deepening to the profitability of South African commercial banks. The findings highlight the significance of financial deepening in enhancing bank performance in South Africa. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences, School of Economics, Development and Tourism, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-12
- Authors: Mpongoshe, Nomthandazo
- Date: 2023-12
- Subjects: Economic development , Banks and banking -- South Africa , Performance -- Measurement , Liquidity (Economics)
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10948/65829 , vital:74271
- Description: Financial deepening and economic growth have received much attention in the literature. However, there remains a significant gap in understanding the relationship between financial deepening, and bank performance especially within the context of South African commercial banks. This research aims to investigate the empirical relationship between financial deepening and the performance of all South African commercial banks from 1987 to 2019. The research adopts a descriptive research design and utilizes secondary data along with time series analysis techniques. The research empirically investigates the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance, using financial deepening indicators such as Market Capitalisation (MC), Credit to the private sector (CR), Money Stock (MS), and Bank liquidity (BL). Control variables such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Inflation rate (IF), and Lending interest rate (LR) are also considered. The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing (ARDL) method is employed to test the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance. The autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing (ARDL) method is employed to test the relationship between financial deepening and bank performance of South African commercial banks. The findings indicate that financial deepening has both short-term and long-term impacts on bank performance. Each component of the financial deepening indicators demonstrates a strong and statistically significant relationship with bank performance. This empirical evidence suggests that financial deepening has made a positive contribution to the profitability of South African commercial banks. Furthermore, the analysis reveals a long-run equilibrium relationship between financial deepening and the economic performance of the South African banking sector. This research addresses the gap between theoretical beliefs and empirical evidence by establishing a robust and positive contribution of financial deepening to the profitability of South African commercial banks. The findings highlight the significance of financial deepening in enhancing bank performance in South Africa. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Business and Economic Sciences, School of Economics, Development and Tourism, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-12
Liquidity shocks and capital market efficiency in South Africa
- Matapuri, Dexter Tinotenda Kushinga
- Authors: Matapuri, Dexter Tinotenda Kushinga
- Date: 2023-10-13
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Stock exchanges South Africa , Insolvency , Securities South Africa , Capital market South Africa , Investments, Foreign
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419610 , vital:71659
- Description: Financial markets are dynamic in nature. As such, one way to keep up with their plethora of variables is to conduct research and seek understanding on how they all work together. Understanding financial market mechanics is the key to achieving and maintaining efficient capital markets. The goal of many economies is to have efficient capital markets mainly because they entail economic growth. One of the common avenues here being foreign direct investments. Therefore, over the years, a lot of financial economics research has been conducted on how best to attain financial market development which ultimately yields capital market efficiency. The opposite is also true. This research therefore set out to study the impact of liquidity shocks on capital market efficiency, more specifically stock market efficiency. As such, the overarching research goal was to determine the link between liquidity shocks and stock market efficiency in South Africa. Furthermore, the research also tested whether there is a homogenous impact exerted by liquidity shocks on the JSE Financial 15, JSE Industrial 25 and JSE Resource 20 indices. The arguments and thus conclusions of the research were constructed based on existing theories such as the Efficient Market hypothesis, Behavioural Finance and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis. Literature and existing empirical evidence related to the topic were also analysed and used for the same purpose. Econometric methods used to achieve these research goals include the time series and panel ARDL, impulse response and variance decomposition tests and the Granger Causality tests. The research found that liquidity shocks do impact stock market efficiency in South Africa in both the short run and long run. The direction of the impact was noted to vary with time and dependent on the liquidity shock proxy. Key findings here were that liquidity shocks lower JSE All-Share index efficiency in the short run thus allowing market participants to beat the market in the initial phases of a liquidity shock. Adding on, it was also found that illiquidity shocks lower efficiency for the JSE Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices in the short run. In the long run, stock market efficiency is enhanced no matter the source of the shock. As such, the research recommended that regulatory policies should focus on liquidity shocks in the short run for the JSE All-Share index and on illiquidity shocks in the short run for the Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-10-13
- Authors: Matapuri, Dexter Tinotenda Kushinga
- Date: 2023-10-13
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Stock exchanges South Africa , Insolvency , Securities South Africa , Capital market South Africa , Investments, Foreign
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419610 , vital:71659
- Description: Financial markets are dynamic in nature. As such, one way to keep up with their plethora of variables is to conduct research and seek understanding on how they all work together. Understanding financial market mechanics is the key to achieving and maintaining efficient capital markets. The goal of many economies is to have efficient capital markets mainly because they entail economic growth. One of the common avenues here being foreign direct investments. Therefore, over the years, a lot of financial economics research has been conducted on how best to attain financial market development which ultimately yields capital market efficiency. The opposite is also true. This research therefore set out to study the impact of liquidity shocks on capital market efficiency, more specifically stock market efficiency. As such, the overarching research goal was to determine the link between liquidity shocks and stock market efficiency in South Africa. Furthermore, the research also tested whether there is a homogenous impact exerted by liquidity shocks on the JSE Financial 15, JSE Industrial 25 and JSE Resource 20 indices. The arguments and thus conclusions of the research were constructed based on existing theories such as the Efficient Market hypothesis, Behavioural Finance and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis. Literature and existing empirical evidence related to the topic were also analysed and used for the same purpose. Econometric methods used to achieve these research goals include the time series and panel ARDL, impulse response and variance decomposition tests and the Granger Causality tests. The research found that liquidity shocks do impact stock market efficiency in South Africa in both the short run and long run. The direction of the impact was noted to vary with time and dependent on the liquidity shock proxy. Key findings here were that liquidity shocks lower JSE All-Share index efficiency in the short run thus allowing market participants to beat the market in the initial phases of a liquidity shock. Adding on, it was also found that illiquidity shocks lower efficiency for the JSE Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices in the short run. In the long run, stock market efficiency is enhanced no matter the source of the shock. As such, the research recommended that regulatory policies should focus on liquidity shocks in the short run for the JSE All-Share index and on illiquidity shocks in the short run for the Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2023
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2023-10-13
Recent developments in banking supervision and the soundness of the financial system : a comparative study of South Africa, Brazil and China
- Authors: Gutu, Taurai Fortune
- Date: 2015
- Subjects: Basel III (2010) , Bank management -- South Africa , Bank management -- Brazil , Bank management -- China , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , Ratio analysis , Liquidity (Economics)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MCom
- Identifier: vital:1130 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1020892
- Description: While the 2008 financial crisis has come and gone, its effects on the global financial sector still show. Globalisation has since changed the way that banks do business, and increased competitiveness and with it the level of risk within the international banking community. Therefore, because of these prolonged effects of the financial crisis and the rise in the level of risk in banking, regulators deemed it fit to make the global financial sector safer and sounder. As a result, the BASEL III Capital Accord was introduced with tighter capital adequacy and liquidity ratio requirements; as well as also introducing the leverage ratio. In this paper, through the study of the rules and regulations on banks in South Africa, Brazil and China, it was discovered that all three countries have since begun the implementation of the new Accord as from January 2013. While preparatory measures may be different, there is a general sense of regulatory alignment among the three countries. By analysing the capital adequacy, liquidity and leverage ratios of the three countries, it was also established that these ratios are interconnected, with the capital adequacy ratio being the most important one. The study concludes that, with proper implementation of these ratios and effective management, countries implementing the BASEL III regulations would be in a stronger position to achieve soundness in their banking systems. , Gutu, Taurai Fortunate
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2015
- Authors: Gutu, Taurai Fortune
- Date: 2015
- Subjects: Basel III (2010) , Bank management -- South Africa , Bank management -- Brazil , Bank management -- China , Global Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 , Ratio analysis , Liquidity (Economics)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MCom
- Identifier: vital:1130 , http://hdl.handle.net/10962/d1020892
- Description: While the 2008 financial crisis has come and gone, its effects on the global financial sector still show. Globalisation has since changed the way that banks do business, and increased competitiveness and with it the level of risk within the international banking community. Therefore, because of these prolonged effects of the financial crisis and the rise in the level of risk in banking, regulators deemed it fit to make the global financial sector safer and sounder. As a result, the BASEL III Capital Accord was introduced with tighter capital adequacy and liquidity ratio requirements; as well as also introducing the leverage ratio. In this paper, through the study of the rules and regulations on banks in South Africa, Brazil and China, it was discovered that all three countries have since begun the implementation of the new Accord as from January 2013. While preparatory measures may be different, there is a general sense of regulatory alignment among the three countries. By analysing the capital adequacy, liquidity and leverage ratios of the three countries, it was also established that these ratios are interconnected, with the capital adequacy ratio being the most important one. The study concludes that, with proper implementation of these ratios and effective management, countries implementing the BASEL III regulations would be in a stronger position to achieve soundness in their banking systems. , Gutu, Taurai Fortunate
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2015
An analysis of the liquidity positions of South African companies by means of traditional liquidity and cash flow ratios
- Authors: Kemp, Renier
- Date: 2012
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Cash flow -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MTech
- Identifier: vital:8942 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1010599 , Liquidity (Economics) , Cash flow -- South Africa
- Description: The first objective of the study is to determine the differences that exist between the two classes of ratios used to measure liquidity of a business entity. A comparison will then be made between these liquidity ratios. The second objective is to illustrate that cash flow ratios are a better indication of liquidity of an entity than the traditional ratios. The traditional and cash flow ratios will illustrate the position of liquidity with information utilised from the various bankrupt companies’ financial statements, including the statement of financial position and statement of cash flows. Four years’ financial statement data will be used to illustrate the deteriorating liquidity positions of the companies.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2012
- Authors: Kemp, Renier
- Date: 2012
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Cash flow -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MTech
- Identifier: vital:8942 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1010599 , Liquidity (Economics) , Cash flow -- South Africa
- Description: The first objective of the study is to determine the differences that exist between the two classes of ratios used to measure liquidity of a business entity. A comparison will then be made between these liquidity ratios. The second objective is to illustrate that cash flow ratios are a better indication of liquidity of an entity than the traditional ratios. The traditional and cash flow ratios will illustrate the position of liquidity with information utilised from the various bankrupt companies’ financial statements, including the statement of financial position and statement of cash flows. Four years’ financial statement data will be used to illustrate the deteriorating liquidity positions of the companies.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2012
Liquidity risk management by Zimbabwean commercial banks
- Authors: Chikoko, Laurine
- Date: 2012
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Banks and banking -- Zimbabwe
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:9027 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020344
- Description: Macroeconomic and financial market developments in Zimbabwe since 2000 have led to an increase in many banks‟ overall exposure to liquidity risk. The thesis highlights the importance of understanding and building comprehensive liquidity frameworks as defenses against liquidity stress. This study explores liquidity and liquidity risk management practices as well as the linkages and factors that affected different types of liquidity in the Zimbabwean banking sector during the Zimbabwean dollar and multiple currency eras. The research sought to present a comprehensive analysis of Zimbabwean commercial banks‟ liquidity risk management in challenging operating environments. Two periods were selected: January 2000 to December 2008 (the Zimbabwean dollar era) and March 2009 to June 2011 (the multiple currency era). Explanatory and survey research designs were used. The study applied econometric modeling using panel regression analysis to identify the major determinants of liquidity risk for 15 commercial banks in Zimbabwe. The financing gap ratio was used as the proxy for liquidity risk. The first investigation was on liquidity risk determinants in the Zimbabwean dollar era. The econometric investigations revealed that an increase in capital adequacy reduced liquidity risk and that there was a positive relationship between size and bank illiquidity. Liquidity risk was also explained by spreads. Inflation was positively related to liquidity risk and was a significant explanatory variable. Non-performing loans were not significant in explaining commercial banks‟ illiquidity, which is contrary to expectations. The second investigation was on commercial banks‟ liquidity risk determinants in the multiple currency era by using panel monthly data. The results showed that capital adequacy had a significant negative relationship with liquidity risk. The size of the bank was significant and positively related to bank illiquidity. Unlike in the Zimbabwean dollar era, spreads were negatively related to bank liquidity risk. Again, non-performing loans were a significant explanatory variable. The reserve requirements ratio and inflation also influenced bank illiquidity in the multiple currency regime. In both investigations, robustness tests for the main findings were done with an alternative dependent variable to the financing gap ratio. To complement the econometric analysis, a survey was conducted using questionnaires and interviews for the same 15 commercial banks. Empirical analysis in this research showed that during the 2000-2008 era; (i) no liquidity risk management guidelines were issued by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe until 2007. Banks relied on internal efforts in managing liquidity risk (ii) Liquidity was managed daily by treasury (iii) The operating environment was challenging with high inflation rates, which led to high demand for cash withdrawals by depositors (iv) Locally owned banks were more exposed to liquidity risk as compared to the foreign owned banks (v) Major sources of funds were new deposits, retention of maturities, shareholders, interbank borrowings, offshore lines of credit and also banks relied on the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe as the lender of last resort (vi) Financial markets were active and banks offered a wide range of products (vii) To manage liquidity from depositors, banks relied on cash reserves, calculating and analysing the withdrawal patterns. When faced with cash shortages, banks relied on the daily limits set by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (viii) Banks were lending but when the challenges deepened, they lent less in advances and increased investment in government securities. (ix) Inflation had major effects on liquidity risk management as it affected demand deposit tenors, fixed term products, corporate sector deposit mobilisation, cost of funds and investment portfolios (x) The regulatory environment was not favourable with RBZ policy measures designed to arrest inflation having negative repercussions on banks` liquidity management (xi) Banks had no liquidity crisis management frameworks. During the multiple currency exchange rate system (i) Commercial banks had problems in sourcing funds. They were mainly funded by transitory deposits with little coming in from treasury activities, interbank activities and offshore lines of credit. There was no lender of last resort function by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. (ii) Some banks were still struggling to raise the minimum capital requirements (iii) Commercial banks offered narrow product ranges to clients (iv) To manage liquidity demand from clients, banks relied on the cash reserve ratio, and calculated the patterns of withdrawal, while some banks communicated with corporate clients on withdrawal schedules. (v) Zimbabwe commercial banks resumed the lending activity after dollarisation. Locally owned banks were aggressive, while foreign owned banks took a passive stance. There were problems with non-performing loans, especially from corporate clients, which exposed many banks to liquidity risk. (vi) Liquidity risk management in Zimbabwe was still guided by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Risk Management Guideline BSD-04, 2007. All banks had liquidity risk management policies and procedure manuals but some banks were not adhering to them. Banks also had liquidity risk limits in place but some violated them. Furthermore, some banks were not conducting stress tests. Although all banks had contingency plans in place, none were testing them. Specifically, the research study highlighted the potential sources of liquidity risk in the Zimbabwean dollar and multiple currency periods. Based on the results, the study recommends survival strategies for banks in managing liquidity risk in such environments. It proposes a comprehensive liquidity management framework that clearly identifies, measures and control liquidity risk consistent with bank-specific and the country‟s macroeconomic developments. The envisaged framework would assist banks in dealing with illiquidity in a manner that would be less disruptive and that could render any future crisis less painful. Of importance is the recommendation that the central bank might not need to be too strict or too relaxed, but be moderate in ensuring an enabling regulatory environment. This would help banks to manage liquidity risk and at the same time protect depositors in any challenging operating environment. In both the studied time periods, there were transitory deposits. Generally there is need to inculcate a savings culture in Zimbabwe.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2012
- Authors: Chikoko, Laurine
- Date: 2012
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Banks and banking -- Zimbabwe
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Doctoral , PhD
- Identifier: vital:9027 , http://hdl.handle.net/10948/d1020344
- Description: Macroeconomic and financial market developments in Zimbabwe since 2000 have led to an increase in many banks‟ overall exposure to liquidity risk. The thesis highlights the importance of understanding and building comprehensive liquidity frameworks as defenses against liquidity stress. This study explores liquidity and liquidity risk management practices as well as the linkages and factors that affected different types of liquidity in the Zimbabwean banking sector during the Zimbabwean dollar and multiple currency eras. The research sought to present a comprehensive analysis of Zimbabwean commercial banks‟ liquidity risk management in challenging operating environments. Two periods were selected: January 2000 to December 2008 (the Zimbabwean dollar era) and March 2009 to June 2011 (the multiple currency era). Explanatory and survey research designs were used. The study applied econometric modeling using panel regression analysis to identify the major determinants of liquidity risk for 15 commercial banks in Zimbabwe. The financing gap ratio was used as the proxy for liquidity risk. The first investigation was on liquidity risk determinants in the Zimbabwean dollar era. The econometric investigations revealed that an increase in capital adequacy reduced liquidity risk and that there was a positive relationship between size and bank illiquidity. Liquidity risk was also explained by spreads. Inflation was positively related to liquidity risk and was a significant explanatory variable. Non-performing loans were not significant in explaining commercial banks‟ illiquidity, which is contrary to expectations. The second investigation was on commercial banks‟ liquidity risk determinants in the multiple currency era by using panel monthly data. The results showed that capital adequacy had a significant negative relationship with liquidity risk. The size of the bank was significant and positively related to bank illiquidity. Unlike in the Zimbabwean dollar era, spreads were negatively related to bank liquidity risk. Again, non-performing loans were a significant explanatory variable. The reserve requirements ratio and inflation also influenced bank illiquidity in the multiple currency regime. In both investigations, robustness tests for the main findings were done with an alternative dependent variable to the financing gap ratio. To complement the econometric analysis, a survey was conducted using questionnaires and interviews for the same 15 commercial banks. Empirical analysis in this research showed that during the 2000-2008 era; (i) no liquidity risk management guidelines were issued by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe until 2007. Banks relied on internal efforts in managing liquidity risk (ii) Liquidity was managed daily by treasury (iii) The operating environment was challenging with high inflation rates, which led to high demand for cash withdrawals by depositors (iv) Locally owned banks were more exposed to liquidity risk as compared to the foreign owned banks (v) Major sources of funds were new deposits, retention of maturities, shareholders, interbank borrowings, offshore lines of credit and also banks relied on the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe as the lender of last resort (vi) Financial markets were active and banks offered a wide range of products (vii) To manage liquidity from depositors, banks relied on cash reserves, calculating and analysing the withdrawal patterns. When faced with cash shortages, banks relied on the daily limits set by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (viii) Banks were lending but when the challenges deepened, they lent less in advances and increased investment in government securities. (ix) Inflation had major effects on liquidity risk management as it affected demand deposit tenors, fixed term products, corporate sector deposit mobilisation, cost of funds and investment portfolios (x) The regulatory environment was not favourable with RBZ policy measures designed to arrest inflation having negative repercussions on banks` liquidity management (xi) Banks had no liquidity crisis management frameworks. During the multiple currency exchange rate system (i) Commercial banks had problems in sourcing funds. They were mainly funded by transitory deposits with little coming in from treasury activities, interbank activities and offshore lines of credit. There was no lender of last resort function by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. (ii) Some banks were still struggling to raise the minimum capital requirements (iii) Commercial banks offered narrow product ranges to clients (iv) To manage liquidity demand from clients, banks relied on the cash reserve ratio, and calculated the patterns of withdrawal, while some banks communicated with corporate clients on withdrawal schedules. (v) Zimbabwe commercial banks resumed the lending activity after dollarisation. Locally owned banks were aggressive, while foreign owned banks took a passive stance. There were problems with non-performing loans, especially from corporate clients, which exposed many banks to liquidity risk. (vi) Liquidity risk management in Zimbabwe was still guided by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe Risk Management Guideline BSD-04, 2007. All banks had liquidity risk management policies and procedure manuals but some banks were not adhering to them. Banks also had liquidity risk limits in place but some violated them. Furthermore, some banks were not conducting stress tests. Although all banks had contingency plans in place, none were testing them. Specifically, the research study highlighted the potential sources of liquidity risk in the Zimbabwean dollar and multiple currency periods. Based on the results, the study recommends survival strategies for banks in managing liquidity risk in such environments. It proposes a comprehensive liquidity management framework that clearly identifies, measures and control liquidity risk consistent with bank-specific and the country‟s macroeconomic developments. The envisaged framework would assist banks in dealing with illiquidity in a manner that would be less disruptive and that could render any future crisis less painful. Of importance is the recommendation that the central bank might not need to be too strict or too relaxed, but be moderate in ensuring an enabling regulatory environment. This would help banks to manage liquidity risk and at the same time protect depositors in any challenging operating environment. In both the studied time periods, there were transitory deposits. Generally there is need to inculcate a savings culture in Zimbabwe.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2012
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