Liquidity shocks and capital market efficiency in South Africa
- Authors: Matapuri, Dexter Tinotenda Kushinga
- Date: 2023-10-13
- Subjects: Liquidity (Economics) , Stock exchanges South Africa , Insolvency , Securities South Africa , Capital market South Africa , Investments, Foreign
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/419610 , vital:71659
- Description: Financial markets are dynamic in nature. As such, one way to keep up with their plethora of variables is to conduct research and seek understanding on how they all work together. Understanding financial market mechanics is the key to achieving and maintaining efficient capital markets. The goal of many economies is to have efficient capital markets mainly because they entail economic growth. One of the common avenues here being foreign direct investments. Therefore, over the years, a lot of financial economics research has been conducted on how best to attain financial market development which ultimately yields capital market efficiency. The opposite is also true. This research therefore set out to study the impact of liquidity shocks on capital market efficiency, more specifically stock market efficiency. As such, the overarching research goal was to determine the link between liquidity shocks and stock market efficiency in South Africa. Furthermore, the research also tested whether there is a homogenous impact exerted by liquidity shocks on the JSE Financial 15, JSE Industrial 25 and JSE Resource 20 indices. The arguments and thus conclusions of the research were constructed based on existing theories such as the Efficient Market hypothesis, Behavioural Finance and the Adaptive Market Hypothesis. Literature and existing empirical evidence related to the topic were also analysed and used for the same purpose. Econometric methods used to achieve these research goals include the time series and panel ARDL, impulse response and variance decomposition tests and the Granger Causality tests. The research found that liquidity shocks do impact stock market efficiency in South Africa in both the short run and long run. The direction of the impact was noted to vary with time and dependent on the liquidity shock proxy. Key findings here were that liquidity shocks lower JSE All-Share index efficiency in the short run thus allowing market participants to beat the market in the initial phases of a liquidity shock. Adding on, it was also found that illiquidity shocks lower efficiency for the JSE Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices in the short run. In the long run, stock market efficiency is enhanced no matter the source of the shock. As such, the research recommended that regulatory policies should focus on liquidity shocks in the short run for the JSE All-Share index and on illiquidity shocks in the short run for the Financial 15 and Industrial 25 indices. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2023
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- Date Issued: 2023-10-13
An empirical analysis of the asset price monetary policy transmission channel in South Africa
- Authors: Du Preez, Wilhelmus Petrus
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Monetary policy South Africa , Banks and banking, Central South Africa , Transmission mechanism (Monetary policy) South Africa , Capital assets pricing model , Securities South Africa , Stocks Prices South Africa , Repurchase agreements South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/190318 , vital:44983
- Description: The asset pricing channel of monetary policy transmission breeds an interesting study. There has been an ongoing debate to determine whether monetary policy committees should directly influence the asset pricing channel through changes in the central bank control interest rate or whether monetary policy committees should refrain from targeting the asset pricing channel to meet their policy objectives. The study aims to critically analysis the asset pricing channel, firstly on a global context to set the scene and then to critically focus on the study performed by Muroyiwa et al. (2017) who conducted a study on the South African monetary policy and its interdependence on the stock market through utilisation of an SVAR model. It was concluded that monetary policy does significantly influence stock prices. The purpose of this study is to build on the results which have been formed by Muroyiwa et al. (2017) and to expand on the period under analysis which encapsulates 1999:01 to 2007:12 in order to conclude whether there are conflicting conclusions or conclusions which build on what has already been done. The results from the research shows that when the monetary policy committee decides to influence changes in the repo rate, the repo rate will have a direct effect on the asset markets, the indexes that were used to represent the asset market are the all share index, industrial 15 index and the financial 15 index. Furthermore. The study which has expanded the period under analysis has supplemented and built on the results provided by Muroyiwa et al. (2017). , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2021
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- Date Issued: 2021-10