High road or common neoliberal trajectory? Collective bargaining, wage share, and varieties of capitalism
- Mpuku, Mutale Natasha Muchule
- Authors: Mpuku, Mutale Natasha Muchule
- Date: 2022-10-14
- Subjects: Collective bargaining , Globalization , Labor union members , Wages Statistics , Income distribution , Economic development , Neoliberalism , Capitalism
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/357611 , vital:64760
- Description: Wage shares have been falling since the 1980s across developing and developed countries. There has also been a downward trend with labour market institutions in these countries, with a few exceptions. This thesis analyzes these trends using firstly an extended literature review and secondly an econometrics analysis of a panel of 36 countries over 39 years. The extended literature review identified two broad competing narratives surrounding this topic: the mainstream and the alternative growth narratives. They both focus on two different growth regimes, the former, posits that growth is profit-led and the latter that growth is wage-led. Both are not ‘zero sum’ processes and seem to offer the same end result (growth and development). However, profit-led growth seems to have two problems. First, at least in the medium run, there is a trade-off between growth and income distribution. And secondly, profit-led growth is contradictory at the global level. Wage-led growth, which offers a ‘high road’ approach, seems far more appealing. Furthermore, several authors, including in South Africa, have claimed that regime-switching (to wage-led growth), is possible, and it seems that labour market institutions may play an important role in facilitating such a switch. However, the empirical literature, especially regarding middle- and low-income countries, is sparse and inconclusive. The panel data analysis provided by this thesis was not conclusive in establishing whether the wage-led, high road path is still viable for countries like South Africa. However, it did not find strong evidence of the contrary. The thesis concluded that there is scope for further research in this field and makes certain suggestions in this regard. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2022
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- Authors: Mpuku, Mutale Natasha Muchule
- Date: 2022-10-14
- Subjects: Collective bargaining , Globalization , Labor union members , Wages Statistics , Income distribution , Economic development , Neoliberalism , Capitalism
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/357611 , vital:64760
- Description: Wage shares have been falling since the 1980s across developing and developed countries. There has also been a downward trend with labour market institutions in these countries, with a few exceptions. This thesis analyzes these trends using firstly an extended literature review and secondly an econometrics analysis of a panel of 36 countries over 39 years. The extended literature review identified two broad competing narratives surrounding this topic: the mainstream and the alternative growth narratives. They both focus on two different growth regimes, the former, posits that growth is profit-led and the latter that growth is wage-led. Both are not ‘zero sum’ processes and seem to offer the same end result (growth and development). However, profit-led growth seems to have two problems. First, at least in the medium run, there is a trade-off between growth and income distribution. And secondly, profit-led growth is contradictory at the global level. Wage-led growth, which offers a ‘high road’ approach, seems far more appealing. Furthermore, several authors, including in South Africa, have claimed that regime-switching (to wage-led growth), is possible, and it seems that labour market institutions may play an important role in facilitating such a switch. However, the empirical literature, especially regarding middle- and low-income countries, is sparse and inconclusive. The panel data analysis provided by this thesis was not conclusive in establishing whether the wage-led, high road path is still viable for countries like South Africa. However, it did not find strong evidence of the contrary. The thesis concluded that there is scope for further research in this field and makes certain suggestions in this regard. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2022
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Bond market integration in the Common Monetary Area (CMA)
- Ramoriting, Retšelisitsoe Silvia
- Authors: Ramoriting, Retšelisitsoe Silvia
- Date: 2022-04-06
- Subjects: Globalization , Globalization Economic aspects , Bond market , Rand area , Africa, Southern Economic integration , Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/284592 , vital:56077
- Description: The study reviews the phenomenon of financial integration. During the late 1980s and 1990s, financial market integration around the world increased due to globalisation of investments and the need for higher returns and international risk diversification. The increase was accompanied by a significant increase in private capital flows into developing countries from developed countries. The main goal of the study is to examine bond market integration in the common monetary area The study therefore investigates the co-movement of government bond returns within the CMA using data from Eswatini, Namibia, and South Africa. The study attempts to find the short-run and long-run relationship of these government bond returns using the ARDL cointegration technique. The study uses daily data of 10-year government bond yields spanning from August 2014 to September 2019. The empirical results reveal that there exists a short-run and long-run relationship between South Africa and Eswatini. Between South Africa and Namibia, there only exist a short-run relationship. Just like the previously mentioned studies, the short-run relationship is a result of policy convergence. The lack of long-run relationship between South and Namibia was due to poor institutional developments and limited investment opportunities. In this case, policy measures (or reforms) and a review of the union are necessary to increase integration of these bond markets. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2022
- Full Text:
- Authors: Ramoriting, Retšelisitsoe Silvia
- Date: 2022-04-06
- Subjects: Globalization , Globalization Economic aspects , Bond market , Rand area , Africa, Southern Economic integration , Autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model
- Language: English
- Type: Academic theses , Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/284592 , vital:56077
- Description: The study reviews the phenomenon of financial integration. During the late 1980s and 1990s, financial market integration around the world increased due to globalisation of investments and the need for higher returns and international risk diversification. The increase was accompanied by a significant increase in private capital flows into developing countries from developed countries. The main goal of the study is to examine bond market integration in the common monetary area The study therefore investigates the co-movement of government bond returns within the CMA using data from Eswatini, Namibia, and South Africa. The study attempts to find the short-run and long-run relationship of these government bond returns using the ARDL cointegration technique. The study uses daily data of 10-year government bond yields spanning from August 2014 to September 2019. The empirical results reveal that there exists a short-run and long-run relationship between South Africa and Eswatini. Between South Africa and Namibia, there only exist a short-run relationship. Just like the previously mentioned studies, the short-run relationship is a result of policy convergence. The lack of long-run relationship between South and Namibia was due to poor institutional developments and limited investment opportunities. In this case, policy measures (or reforms) and a review of the union are necessary to increase integration of these bond markets. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2022
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Is there an inverse-u relationship between financialisation and investment?: South Africa’s stock market capitalisation in comparative perspective
- Authors: Owen, Michael Robert
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Monetary policy South Africa , Globalization , Economics South Africa , Capital movements South Africa , Stock exchanges South Africa , Investments South Africa , Economic development South Africa , South Africa Economic conditions 1991-
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/191084 , vital:45058
- Description: In recent decades, the growth and fluctuations in the financial sector have become increasingly disjointed from events in the real economy. There has been a dramatic increase in global market integration and globalisation since the 2008 financial crisis. The argument presented in the thesis shows perspective from the two general debates in Economics. The Orthodox view, which suggests there is an efficient flow of resources between people and institutions over time, supports the argument that there is a positive relationship between financialisation and economic growth. Alternatively, the Heterodox view argues that financial liberalisation fails to anticipate market effects and requires intervention in order to limit negative consequences. More recent studies have proposed an inverse-U theory between financialisation and investment, which suggests that there is a threshold, above which further financial development and financial globalisation has detrimental effects on the real economy. With South Africa being a developing country that is highly reliant on capital inflows to finance the economy, there is space for more acute research to investigate whether South Africa has surpassed this threshold. This study focusses on one aspect of this relationship, namely the relationship between Stock Market Capitalisation and Investment. It uses panel data analysis and other methods to explore whether such an inverse-U relationship exists internationally, and whether South Africa is suffering from the effects of financialisation. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2021
- Full Text:
- Authors: Owen, Michael Robert
- Date: 2021-10
- Subjects: Monetary policy South Africa , Globalization , Economics South Africa , Capital movements South Africa , Stock exchanges South Africa , Investments South Africa , Economic development South Africa , South Africa Economic conditions 1991-
- Language: English
- Type: Master's theses , text
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/191084 , vital:45058
- Description: In recent decades, the growth and fluctuations in the financial sector have become increasingly disjointed from events in the real economy. There has been a dramatic increase in global market integration and globalisation since the 2008 financial crisis. The argument presented in the thesis shows perspective from the two general debates in Economics. The Orthodox view, which suggests there is an efficient flow of resources between people and institutions over time, supports the argument that there is a positive relationship between financialisation and economic growth. Alternatively, the Heterodox view argues that financial liberalisation fails to anticipate market effects and requires intervention in order to limit negative consequences. More recent studies have proposed an inverse-U theory between financialisation and investment, which suggests that there is a threshold, above which further financial development and financial globalisation has detrimental effects on the real economy. With South Africa being a developing country that is highly reliant on capital inflows to finance the economy, there is space for more acute research to investigate whether South Africa has surpassed this threshold. This study focusses on one aspect of this relationship, namely the relationship between Stock Market Capitalisation and Investment. It uses panel data analysis and other methods to explore whether such an inverse-U relationship exists internationally, and whether South Africa is suffering from the effects of financialisation. , Thesis (MCom) -- Faculty of Commerce, Economics and Economic History, 2021
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