Early stage ichthyofauna from shallow water habitats of the Angola-Benguela frontal zone
- Authors: Farthing, Matthew William
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fishes -- Larvae -- South Africa -- Atlantic coast , Fishes -- Larvae -- Angola -- Atlantic coast , Striped mullet -- Angola -- Atlantic coast
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/50442 , vital:25988
- Description: Early stage fishes (larvae and early juveniles) were collected from an array of shallow water (±1.5m) habitats on the warm-temperate southern Angolan coastline between June 2014 and June 2015. This study, the first assessment of the early stages of coastal fishes in Angola, provides important new understanding of non-estuarine shallow water nursery habitat use by coastal fishes from the region. In total, 51 species from 18 teleost families were observed. The exposed surf zone was dominated by postflexion larvae, while the moderately exposed beach and sheltered bay were dominated by early juveniles. Both fish density and diversity peaked in the wet season (Feb – Apr 2015) for all habitats, attributed to the influx of summer spawning species. Diplodus sargus dominated catches from the exposed surf zone, and the timing of observations supports the growing consensus that sparid spawning is dictated by temperature, not season. The similitude of the observed species to those observed in warm temperate South Africa highlights the historical connection of the warm-temperate study area with warm-temperate South Africa, prior to the formation of the Benguela Current as a vicariant barrier. The classification of the study assemblage into established estuarine utilization categories showed that the surf zone hosted more exclusively marine species than comparable surf zones in South Africa, attributed to the absence of estuaries in southern Angola. However, the observation of the marine estuarine dependent Mugil cephalus in this study area devoid of estuaries suggests that estuarine dependency may be regionally specific for some taxa. It appears that the warm, sheltered, nutrient rich waters of Tombua Bay provide typically estuarine associated taxa with a suitable alternative, non-estuarine nursery habitat. This study provides evidence that the importance of estuaries as critical nursery habitats has been overemphasized for some warm-temperate coastal fishes. However, the absence of other marine estuarine dependent species from the study area suggests that some warm-temperate taxa do intrinsically rely on estuarine function for survival.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Farthing, Matthew William
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fishes -- Larvae -- South Africa -- Atlantic coast , Fishes -- Larvae -- Angola -- Atlantic coast , Striped mullet -- Angola -- Atlantic coast
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/50442 , vital:25988
- Description: Early stage fishes (larvae and early juveniles) were collected from an array of shallow water (±1.5m) habitats on the warm-temperate southern Angolan coastline between June 2014 and June 2015. This study, the first assessment of the early stages of coastal fishes in Angola, provides important new understanding of non-estuarine shallow water nursery habitat use by coastal fishes from the region. In total, 51 species from 18 teleost families were observed. The exposed surf zone was dominated by postflexion larvae, while the moderately exposed beach and sheltered bay were dominated by early juveniles. Both fish density and diversity peaked in the wet season (Feb – Apr 2015) for all habitats, attributed to the influx of summer spawning species. Diplodus sargus dominated catches from the exposed surf zone, and the timing of observations supports the growing consensus that sparid spawning is dictated by temperature, not season. The similitude of the observed species to those observed in warm temperate South Africa highlights the historical connection of the warm-temperate study area with warm-temperate South Africa, prior to the formation of the Benguela Current as a vicariant barrier. The classification of the study assemblage into established estuarine utilization categories showed that the surf zone hosted more exclusively marine species than comparable surf zones in South Africa, attributed to the absence of estuaries in southern Angola. However, the observation of the marine estuarine dependent Mugil cephalus in this study area devoid of estuaries suggests that estuarine dependency may be regionally specific for some taxa. It appears that the warm, sheltered, nutrient rich waters of Tombua Bay provide typically estuarine associated taxa with a suitable alternative, non-estuarine nursery habitat. This study provides evidence that the importance of estuaries as critical nursery habitats has been overemphasized for some warm-temperate coastal fishes. However, the absence of other marine estuarine dependent species from the study area suggests that some warm-temperate taxa do intrinsically rely on estuarine function for survival.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Stochastic models in finance
- Authors: Mazengera, Hassan
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Finance -- Mathematical models , C++ (Computer program language) , GARCH model , Lebesgue-Radon-Nikodym theorems , Radon measures , Stochastic models , Stochastic processes , Stochastic processes -- Computer programs , Martingales (Mathematics) , Pricing -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/162724 , vital:40976
- Description: Stochastic models for pricing financial securities are developed. First, we consider the Black Scholes model, which is a classic example of a complete market model and finally focus on Lévy driven models. Jumps may render the market incomplete and are induced in a model by inclusion of a Poisson process. Lévy driven models are more realistic in modelling of asset price dynamics than the Black Scholes model. Martingales are central in pricing, especially of derivatives and we give them the desired attention in the context of pricing. There are an increasing number of important pricing models where analytical solutions are not available hence computational methods come in handy, see Broadie and Glasserman (1997). It is also important to note that computational methods are also applicable to models with analytical solutions. We computationally value selected stochastic financial models using C++. Computational methods are also used to value or price complex financial instruments such as path dependent derivatives. This pricing procedure is applied in the computational valuation of a stochastic (revenue based) loan contract. Derivatives with simple pay of functions and models with analytical solutions are considered for illustrative purposes. The Black-Scholes P.D.E is complex to solve analytically and finite difference methods are widely used. Explicit finite difference scheme is considered in this thesis for computational valuation of derivatives that are modelled by the Black-Scholes P.D.E. Stochastic modelling of asset prices is important for the valuation of derivatives: Gaussian, exponential and gamma variates are simulated for the valuation purposes.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mazengera, Hassan
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Finance -- Mathematical models , C++ (Computer program language) , GARCH model , Lebesgue-Radon-Nikodym theorems , Radon measures , Stochastic models , Stochastic processes , Stochastic processes -- Computer programs , Martingales (Mathematics) , Pricing -- Mathematical models
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/162724 , vital:40976
- Description: Stochastic models for pricing financial securities are developed. First, we consider the Black Scholes model, which is a classic example of a complete market model and finally focus on Lévy driven models. Jumps may render the market incomplete and are induced in a model by inclusion of a Poisson process. Lévy driven models are more realistic in modelling of asset price dynamics than the Black Scholes model. Martingales are central in pricing, especially of derivatives and we give them the desired attention in the context of pricing. There are an increasing number of important pricing models where analytical solutions are not available hence computational methods come in handy, see Broadie and Glasserman (1997). It is also important to note that computational methods are also applicable to models with analytical solutions. We computationally value selected stochastic financial models using C++. Computational methods are also used to value or price complex financial instruments such as path dependent derivatives. This pricing procedure is applied in the computational valuation of a stochastic (revenue based) loan contract. Derivatives with simple pay of functions and models with analytical solutions are considered for illustrative purposes. The Black-Scholes P.D.E is complex to solve analytically and finite difference methods are widely used. Explicit finite difference scheme is considered in this thesis for computational valuation of derivatives that are modelled by the Black-Scholes P.D.E. Stochastic modelling of asset prices is important for the valuation of derivatives: Gaussian, exponential and gamma variates are simulated for the valuation purposes.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Chemical composition of leaf essential oils of Lantana camara varieties in South Africa and their effect on the behavioural preference of Falconia intermedia
- Authors: Ngxande-Koza, Samella W
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4877 , vital:20739
- Description: Lantana camara L. (Verbenaceae) is one the most problematic invaders in South Africa invading forest edges, sand dunes, and shorelines by forming impenetrable thickets. Lantana camara invasions degrade natural biodiversity, reduce the value of land and consequently it has been a target for biological control, over the last 50 years in South Africa. Studies that have reported on chemical profile of Lantana camara have been conducted around the world but not in South Africa. Hence, the first aim of the current study was to identify the chemical baseline of L. camara varieties in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Recent studies have shown that feeding by one of the agents released against L. camara, Falconia intermedia (Distant) (Hemiptera: Miridae), induces anti-herbivory response through increased leaf toughness and trichome density. A preliminary study conducted also reported the production of volatile chemicals by one variety, Whitney Farm, due to feeding by the mirids. Therefore, the second aim was to determine the induced changes in chemical compounds of L. camara varieties after feeding by F. intermedia. A third aim was to determine the effect these chemical compounds have on the behaviour of F. intermedia. To identify the chemical baseline of L. camara varieties, the essential oils of four L. camara varieties (East London, Port Alfred, Whitney Farm and Heather Glen) were analysed using gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS) and that resulted to the identification of 163 constitutive and 75 induced chemicals across the varieties tested. Lantana camara varieties showed different chemical classes but were highly dominated by terpenes. A great variation in the number of constitutive chemical compounds was found in all the varieties. There were 56 constitutive chemical compounds in the Whitney Farm variety, 41 in the East London variety, 36 in the Heather Glen variety and 30 in the Port Alfred variety. The Whitney Farm variety had the highest number (22) of unique constitutive chemicals identified when compared with other varieties. This indicates the chemical distinctiveness of the Whitney Farm variety from the other varieties. In the varieties tested, there were common chemical compounds identified in constitutive and induced (discussed below) states of the plants such as caryophyllene, hexane, naphthalene, copaene and a-caryophyllene. Besides naphthalene, the majority of chemical compounds in South African L. camara varieties were similar to compounds that have been identified across the world, suggesting that they are closely related. The expression of naphthalene in these varieties may be due to changes in the chemicals expressed over evolutionary time as predicted by the Novel Weapons Hypothesis. Amongst the varieties, a great variation in chemical compounds and their concentrations was shown in the induced states of the plants. The concentration of constitutive caryophyllene ranged from (3.13 - 15.7) %, to (4.02 - 11.10) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive hexane ranged from (6.13 - 71.19) %, to (33.3 - 75.8) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive naphthalene ranged from (0.21 - 4.79) %, to (0.92 - 2.11) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive copaene ranged from (0.57 - 1.57) %, to (1.20 - 2.72) %. Lastly, the concentration of constitutive a-caryophyllene ranged from (1.18 - 9.03) %, to (0.78 - 5.48) % after feeding. The changes in chemical concentrations in lantana varieties indicated that feeding by the mirid on L. camara varieties causes an induction by either reducing or increasing the chemical concentrations. To determine the effect of the identified compounds on the behaviour of F. intermedia adults, olfactometer bioassays were conducted using a Y-tube technique. A significantly higher proportion of F. intermedia were attracted to undamaged leaves over damaged leaves and purified air. Undamaged leaves attracted 52 % of F. intermedia from the East London variety, 62.5 % from the Port Alfred variety, 56 % from the Whitney Farm variety, 58 % from the Lyndhurst variety and 54.5 % from the Heather Glen variety in dual choice trials versus damaged leaves. Furthermore, a significantly higher proportion of F. intermedia were attracted to damaged leaves over purified air. Damaged leaves attracted 67 % of F. intermedia from the East London variety, 67 % from the Port Alfred variety, 65.9 % from the Whitney Farm variety, 65.3 % from the Heather Glen variety and 64.5 % from the Lyndhurst variety. Olfactometer bioassays were also conducted using purified standard compounds of four chemical compounds identified from essential oils, hexane was used as a positive control as it is reported to be an insect attractant in literature. Hexane was highly attractive to the mirids compared to three standard compounds caryophyllene, caryophyllene oxide and naphthalene at the rate of 80 %, 73 % and 80 %, respectively. The standard compounds tested against F. intermedia are major compounds contained by L. camara varieties and they have proven to have a repellent effect. This may indicate that after feeding by F. intermedia, the major compounds expressed by the plant varieties repel F. intermedia contributing to the invasiveness of this weed. The increased expression of hexane and caryophyllene after feeding may also indicate increased attraction to some insects, opening up the potential for third trophic level interactions in varieties where this is the case. This is the first study on the chemical composition of essential oils of L. camara in South Africa. Therefore, we recommend that where appropriate chemical profile studies of the invasive alien plants should be considered during host specificity testing, and the vital role of chemical compounds on agent-weed interactions must be taken into consideration with other factors before and after the biological control agents are released.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Ngxande-Koza, Samella W
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4877 , vital:20739
- Description: Lantana camara L. (Verbenaceae) is one the most problematic invaders in South Africa invading forest edges, sand dunes, and shorelines by forming impenetrable thickets. Lantana camara invasions degrade natural biodiversity, reduce the value of land and consequently it has been a target for biological control, over the last 50 years in South Africa. Studies that have reported on chemical profile of Lantana camara have been conducted around the world but not in South Africa. Hence, the first aim of the current study was to identify the chemical baseline of L. camara varieties in the Eastern Cape, South Africa. Recent studies have shown that feeding by one of the agents released against L. camara, Falconia intermedia (Distant) (Hemiptera: Miridae), induces anti-herbivory response through increased leaf toughness and trichome density. A preliminary study conducted also reported the production of volatile chemicals by one variety, Whitney Farm, due to feeding by the mirids. Therefore, the second aim was to determine the induced changes in chemical compounds of L. camara varieties after feeding by F. intermedia. A third aim was to determine the effect these chemical compounds have on the behaviour of F. intermedia. To identify the chemical baseline of L. camara varieties, the essential oils of four L. camara varieties (East London, Port Alfred, Whitney Farm and Heather Glen) were analysed using gas chromatography mass spectrometry (GC-MS) and that resulted to the identification of 163 constitutive and 75 induced chemicals across the varieties tested. Lantana camara varieties showed different chemical classes but were highly dominated by terpenes. A great variation in the number of constitutive chemical compounds was found in all the varieties. There were 56 constitutive chemical compounds in the Whitney Farm variety, 41 in the East London variety, 36 in the Heather Glen variety and 30 in the Port Alfred variety. The Whitney Farm variety had the highest number (22) of unique constitutive chemicals identified when compared with other varieties. This indicates the chemical distinctiveness of the Whitney Farm variety from the other varieties. In the varieties tested, there were common chemical compounds identified in constitutive and induced (discussed below) states of the plants such as caryophyllene, hexane, naphthalene, copaene and a-caryophyllene. Besides naphthalene, the majority of chemical compounds in South African L. camara varieties were similar to compounds that have been identified across the world, suggesting that they are closely related. The expression of naphthalene in these varieties may be due to changes in the chemicals expressed over evolutionary time as predicted by the Novel Weapons Hypothesis. Amongst the varieties, a great variation in chemical compounds and their concentrations was shown in the induced states of the plants. The concentration of constitutive caryophyllene ranged from (3.13 - 15.7) %, to (4.02 - 11.10) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive hexane ranged from (6.13 - 71.19) %, to (33.3 - 75.8) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive naphthalene ranged from (0.21 - 4.79) %, to (0.92 - 2.11) % after feeding. The concentration of constitutive copaene ranged from (0.57 - 1.57) %, to (1.20 - 2.72) %. Lastly, the concentration of constitutive a-caryophyllene ranged from (1.18 - 9.03) %, to (0.78 - 5.48) % after feeding. The changes in chemical concentrations in lantana varieties indicated that feeding by the mirid on L. camara varieties causes an induction by either reducing or increasing the chemical concentrations. To determine the effect of the identified compounds on the behaviour of F. intermedia adults, olfactometer bioassays were conducted using a Y-tube technique. A significantly higher proportion of F. intermedia were attracted to undamaged leaves over damaged leaves and purified air. Undamaged leaves attracted 52 % of F. intermedia from the East London variety, 62.5 % from the Port Alfred variety, 56 % from the Whitney Farm variety, 58 % from the Lyndhurst variety and 54.5 % from the Heather Glen variety in dual choice trials versus damaged leaves. Furthermore, a significantly higher proportion of F. intermedia were attracted to damaged leaves over purified air. Damaged leaves attracted 67 % of F. intermedia from the East London variety, 67 % from the Port Alfred variety, 65.9 % from the Whitney Farm variety, 65.3 % from the Heather Glen variety and 64.5 % from the Lyndhurst variety. Olfactometer bioassays were also conducted using purified standard compounds of four chemical compounds identified from essential oils, hexane was used as a positive control as it is reported to be an insect attractant in literature. Hexane was highly attractive to the mirids compared to three standard compounds caryophyllene, caryophyllene oxide and naphthalene at the rate of 80 %, 73 % and 80 %, respectively. The standard compounds tested against F. intermedia are major compounds contained by L. camara varieties and they have proven to have a repellent effect. This may indicate that after feeding by F. intermedia, the major compounds expressed by the plant varieties repel F. intermedia contributing to the invasiveness of this weed. The increased expression of hexane and caryophyllene after feeding may also indicate increased attraction to some insects, opening up the potential for third trophic level interactions in varieties where this is the case. This is the first study on the chemical composition of essential oils of L. camara in South Africa. Therefore, we recommend that where appropriate chemical profile studies of the invasive alien plants should be considered during host specificity testing, and the vital role of chemical compounds on agent-weed interactions must be taken into consideration with other factors before and after the biological control agents are released.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
An analysis of flood activity over the past century based on the sedimentary deposits in the Mfolozi floodplain
- Authors: Mbao, Chabala
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Floodplain morphology -- South Africa -- Mfolozi River , Floodplains -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Sedimentation and deposition -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Floods -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal -- Measurement , Hydrology -- Research -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Stream measurements -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/53711 , vital:26312
- Description: Floods are natural phenomena that are of widespread interest to the scientific community, particularly in the context of understanding the impact of climate change as well as changing land use patterns and the security of infrastructure such as towns and roads. In northern KwaZulu-Natal, large flood events have been a reoccurring feature over the past century. The geographical position and extent of the region means that is affected by both inland and coastal weather phenomena, each with the potential to cause large flood events. While information pertaining to large floods in the region in the form of flow data is readily available, flow data is often incomplete and limited in terms of how far back in time the records extend. The Mfolozi River floodplain itself also houses a record of flood activity in the region in the form of sedimentary deposits, which have the potential to reveal flood activity over a much longer timescale, even when monitoring of flood activity in the region was not present. Establishing a link between the hydrological and sedimentary features of floods may be useful in establishing a record of flood activity extending beyond the limits of historical records. The aim of this project was to construct a record of major flood events on the Mfolozi River floodplain over the last century and determine their source. The first objective involved establishing the history of flood events in the Mfolozi River catchment utilising hydrological data recorded throughout the catchment. Thirty nine different large floods (defined as being over 800 m3.s-1) were recorded on the floodplain over the past century. The data also highlighted differences in the extent of known coastal and inland systems (tropical cyclones and cut-off lows respectively), allowing for inferences to be made about the area of the catchment most likely affected by each event; some flood events were identified as having mostly affected the upper reaches of the catchment, while others mostly affected the lower reaches, closer to the coast. The second objective was to identify the various physical, mineralogical and geochemical features of the sediment deposited on the Mfolozi floodplain. Multiple individual flood deposits were identified in the sedimentary record, with sediment tracing analysis providing insight into the source of the deposits within the catchment; no traces of igneous or metamorphic material could be found within the sediment. The source rocks were identified as mostly quartzite, with minor shale and sandstone deposits as well. This put the source of the sediment in the upper to middle reaches of the catchment. The sedimentary analysis was combined with the hydrological records to establish a chronology of flood events extending back to the 1960's. Unfortunately, this record could not be extended further due to the limited amount of sediment collected as well the limits of readily available analytical techniques; radionuclide dating methods were unsuccessful due to the low amounts of fallout radionuclides present in the sediment. The study has however successfully established a history of flood events in the region, as well as providing a link between the hydrological and sedimentary features of flood events that could potentially be useful for current and future research.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mbao, Chabala
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Floodplain morphology -- South Africa -- Mfolozi River , Floodplains -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Sedimentation and deposition -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Floods -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal -- Measurement , Hydrology -- Research -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal , Stream measurements -- South Africa -- Kwazulu-Natal
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/53711 , vital:26312
- Description: Floods are natural phenomena that are of widespread interest to the scientific community, particularly in the context of understanding the impact of climate change as well as changing land use patterns and the security of infrastructure such as towns and roads. In northern KwaZulu-Natal, large flood events have been a reoccurring feature over the past century. The geographical position and extent of the region means that is affected by both inland and coastal weather phenomena, each with the potential to cause large flood events. While information pertaining to large floods in the region in the form of flow data is readily available, flow data is often incomplete and limited in terms of how far back in time the records extend. The Mfolozi River floodplain itself also houses a record of flood activity in the region in the form of sedimentary deposits, which have the potential to reveal flood activity over a much longer timescale, even when monitoring of flood activity in the region was not present. Establishing a link between the hydrological and sedimentary features of floods may be useful in establishing a record of flood activity extending beyond the limits of historical records. The aim of this project was to construct a record of major flood events on the Mfolozi River floodplain over the last century and determine their source. The first objective involved establishing the history of flood events in the Mfolozi River catchment utilising hydrological data recorded throughout the catchment. Thirty nine different large floods (defined as being over 800 m3.s-1) were recorded on the floodplain over the past century. The data also highlighted differences in the extent of known coastal and inland systems (tropical cyclones and cut-off lows respectively), allowing for inferences to be made about the area of the catchment most likely affected by each event; some flood events were identified as having mostly affected the upper reaches of the catchment, while others mostly affected the lower reaches, closer to the coast. The second objective was to identify the various physical, mineralogical and geochemical features of the sediment deposited on the Mfolozi floodplain. Multiple individual flood deposits were identified in the sedimentary record, with sediment tracing analysis providing insight into the source of the deposits within the catchment; no traces of igneous or metamorphic material could be found within the sediment. The source rocks were identified as mostly quartzite, with minor shale and sandstone deposits as well. This put the source of the sediment in the upper to middle reaches of the catchment. The sedimentary analysis was combined with the hydrological records to establish a chronology of flood events extending back to the 1960's. Unfortunately, this record could not be extended further due to the limited amount of sediment collected as well the limits of readily available analytical techniques; radionuclide dating methods were unsuccessful due to the low amounts of fallout radionuclides present in the sediment. The study has however successfully established a history of flood events in the region, as well as providing a link between the hydrological and sedimentary features of flood events that could potentially be useful for current and future research.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Browsing as a demographic bottleneck in a semi-arid savanna: the effect of size and age on compensatory responses of Vachellia karroo seedlings after simulated herbivory
- Authors: Perumal, Lavinia
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4899 , vital:20741
- Description: Savannas are characterised by a continuous grass layer with scattered trees at varying densities. This vegetation structure is determined by several interacting factors, including fire, herbivory, resource competition and atmospheric CO2 concentration. The preservation of savanna biomes is important and a shift towards a woody biome threatens savanna globally. Bush encroachment which describes the shift towards domination of savannas by C3 woody plants, is especially acute in southern Africa. In semi-arid rangelands, encroachment progresses to dense thickets dominated by thorny and unpalatable bushes and trees. There is evidence that bush encroachment is driven by a reduction in fire and browsing events as well as their interaction. Despite browsing having strong effects on African savannas its isolated role in maintaining tree-grass coexistence has not received as much attention as the role of fire. Therefore the overall aim of this study was to examine the effects of browsing on seedlings of a commonly encroaching species, Vachellia karroo. Browsing was hypothesized to be a demographic release bottleneck for bush encroachment in a semiarid (MAP ~550mm) savanna in the Eastern Cape of South Africa, where fire has been historically rare. In a single study I explored the fate of V. karroo seedlings (less than a year old) following browsing in sub canopy and inter canopy microhabitats. Additionally, I explored how the fate of a seedling changed under high and low tree cover. Firstly, I investigated the type, intensity and frequency of herbivory, from both small and large herbivores, which seedlings were subjected to. Results revealed that browsing was severe and frequent with the majority of seedlings browsed more than twice over a 12 month period. Large browsers such as kudu and impala caused high seedling mortality (46%) while smaller browsers such as invertebrates were more effective at suppressing growth. Microhabitat had little impact on seedling survival, but significantly influenced plant compensatory growth. Reduced seedling growth following browsing was observed in the sub-canopy in comparison to seedling growth in full sunlight in the intercanopy, suggesting V.karroo may be shade intolerant. Secondly, the effect of tree cover on browsed seedlings was determined by quantifying browsing frequency and intensity at high and low tree cover. No differences in browsing intensity and frequency were observed between high and low tree cover. However, high tree cover due to bush encroachment limited seedling above ground growth. The aim of the second study was to investigate how V.karroo survival and growth were influenced by its age and size following simulated browsing. I explored this aim through field and greenhouse experiments. I was particularly interested in testing how plant sensitivity to varying defoliation intensities of repeated browsing varied with plant age (known ages of 6, 12, 16 and 30 weeks). There were large differences in mortality between the different age groups. Furthermore, age interacted with repeated browsing and negatively influenced seedling survival and regrowth. Older seedlings (16 and 30 week old) had greater survival and higher browsing frequencies resulted in greater mortality and reduced growth. The threshold age after which seedlings become more tolerant to herbivory occurs at an age of 28 weeks. Seedlings less than six weeks old experiencing intense (100 % defoliation)browsing had a very low probability (33%) of survival following just a single defoliation. Interestingly, all 16 week old seedlings regrew most of their foliage following a moderate (50%) defoliation with some plants overcompensating for leaf loss. The field study revealed two distinct demographic stages based on age and size (seedlings< 9 mm and saplings >9 mm in stem basal diameter (SBD)). Browsing had a strong negative effect on seedlings, resulting in reduced investment in leaf biomass. These findings suggest plant size and age can be used as robust predictors of a plants vulnerability to browsing. An increase in tree cover requires successful transitions of seedlings to saplings (also known as release). The results of this study suggest that in semi-arid savannas, browsing can impact tree cover through imposing a release bottleneck for tree seedlings and to lesser extent saplings. By limiting tree growth plants are kept in a disturbance trap and will therefore be exposed to not only browsers but fire. These findings also have important implications for tree-grass coexistence dynamics, suggesting that specific size and browsing thresholds should be considered in savanna management.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Perumal, Lavinia
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4899 , vital:20741
- Description: Savannas are characterised by a continuous grass layer with scattered trees at varying densities. This vegetation structure is determined by several interacting factors, including fire, herbivory, resource competition and atmospheric CO2 concentration. The preservation of savanna biomes is important and a shift towards a woody biome threatens savanna globally. Bush encroachment which describes the shift towards domination of savannas by C3 woody plants, is especially acute in southern Africa. In semi-arid rangelands, encroachment progresses to dense thickets dominated by thorny and unpalatable bushes and trees. There is evidence that bush encroachment is driven by a reduction in fire and browsing events as well as their interaction. Despite browsing having strong effects on African savannas its isolated role in maintaining tree-grass coexistence has not received as much attention as the role of fire. Therefore the overall aim of this study was to examine the effects of browsing on seedlings of a commonly encroaching species, Vachellia karroo. Browsing was hypothesized to be a demographic release bottleneck for bush encroachment in a semiarid (MAP ~550mm) savanna in the Eastern Cape of South Africa, where fire has been historically rare. In a single study I explored the fate of V. karroo seedlings (less than a year old) following browsing in sub canopy and inter canopy microhabitats. Additionally, I explored how the fate of a seedling changed under high and low tree cover. Firstly, I investigated the type, intensity and frequency of herbivory, from both small and large herbivores, which seedlings were subjected to. Results revealed that browsing was severe and frequent with the majority of seedlings browsed more than twice over a 12 month period. Large browsers such as kudu and impala caused high seedling mortality (46%) while smaller browsers such as invertebrates were more effective at suppressing growth. Microhabitat had little impact on seedling survival, but significantly influenced plant compensatory growth. Reduced seedling growth following browsing was observed in the sub-canopy in comparison to seedling growth in full sunlight in the intercanopy, suggesting V.karroo may be shade intolerant. Secondly, the effect of tree cover on browsed seedlings was determined by quantifying browsing frequency and intensity at high and low tree cover. No differences in browsing intensity and frequency were observed between high and low tree cover. However, high tree cover due to bush encroachment limited seedling above ground growth. The aim of the second study was to investigate how V.karroo survival and growth were influenced by its age and size following simulated browsing. I explored this aim through field and greenhouse experiments. I was particularly interested in testing how plant sensitivity to varying defoliation intensities of repeated browsing varied with plant age (known ages of 6, 12, 16 and 30 weeks). There were large differences in mortality between the different age groups. Furthermore, age interacted with repeated browsing and negatively influenced seedling survival and regrowth. Older seedlings (16 and 30 week old) had greater survival and higher browsing frequencies resulted in greater mortality and reduced growth. The threshold age after which seedlings become more tolerant to herbivory occurs at an age of 28 weeks. Seedlings less than six weeks old experiencing intense (100 % defoliation)browsing had a very low probability (33%) of survival following just a single defoliation. Interestingly, all 16 week old seedlings regrew most of their foliage following a moderate (50%) defoliation with some plants overcompensating for leaf loss. The field study revealed two distinct demographic stages based on age and size (seedlings< 9 mm and saplings >9 mm in stem basal diameter (SBD)). Browsing had a strong negative effect on seedlings, resulting in reduced investment in leaf biomass. These findings suggest plant size and age can be used as robust predictors of a plants vulnerability to browsing. An increase in tree cover requires successful transitions of seedlings to saplings (also known as release). The results of this study suggest that in semi-arid savannas, browsing can impact tree cover through imposing a release bottleneck for tree seedlings and to lesser extent saplings. By limiting tree growth plants are kept in a disturbance trap and will therefore be exposed to not only browsers but fire. These findings also have important implications for tree-grass coexistence dynamics, suggesting that specific size and browsing thresholds should be considered in savanna management.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
The socio-economic contribution of non-timber forest product trade to households in four villages in Zomba and Machinga Districts, Malawi
- Authors: Mahonya, Sophie Manchichi
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4787 , vital:20724
- Description: The principal aim of this study was to assess the socio-economic contribution of nontimber forest product (NTFP) trade to households in Zomba and Machinga, southern Malawi. Quantitative and qualitative data were collected through several methods, including a household survey using questionnaire interviews, focus group discussions, key informant interviews with individual traders, direct observations, and literature review. The quantitative data were analysed statistically using SPPS version 16.0 while the qualitative data were analysed thematically. NTFP trade was the third important source of cash income for 15% of the households, although the level of use, buying and selling of NTFPs varied across the four study villages. All households in all the study villages used firewood (100%), and most used thatch grass (94%), bamboo (96%), wood for building (92%), largely as construction materials. However, the percentage of households buying NTFPs was lower, with the maximum percentage of households being 50%. The percent of households engaged in selling at least one NTFP was lower still at 39%. Substantial cash incomes were generated from firewood and edible orchids sales which provided up to a maximum of Mk180,000, equivalent to US$456, per year. Households joined the trade mostly for an alternative source of cash income due to poverty and to meet basic needs when other options were not available or feasible. Cash income generated from NTFP trade acted as a safety net and a coping strategy when other avenues supporting livelihoods were not accessible. The socio-economic benefits derived from NTFP trade were associated with the quantities collected, sold, market forces influenced by the law of demand and supply. The small amounts of cash income generated by most households were important as they supplemented household cash needs. There was a strong association between NTFP trade as one of the important sources of cash income and the number of months a household had food from their own garden in a year. There was a significant relationship though weak between ranking of NTFP trade and livestock ownership by households. Value chain analysis was used as an analytical tool to understand the processes involved in NTFP trade. The value chains for the products under study were short, dominated by traders and some intermediaries. Most of the products were sold in local markets with little value addition. This study recommends that policy makers should integrate NTFPs into their development plans, emphasizing the establishment of management strategies that will enhance availability and sustainability of the resource. NTFPs contributed to the livelihoods of the households socially and economically through provision of food, cash income, energy for cooking, medicine and construction materials.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mahonya, Sophie Manchichi
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4787 , vital:20724
- Description: The principal aim of this study was to assess the socio-economic contribution of nontimber forest product (NTFP) trade to households in Zomba and Machinga, southern Malawi. Quantitative and qualitative data were collected through several methods, including a household survey using questionnaire interviews, focus group discussions, key informant interviews with individual traders, direct observations, and literature review. The quantitative data were analysed statistically using SPPS version 16.0 while the qualitative data were analysed thematically. NTFP trade was the third important source of cash income for 15% of the households, although the level of use, buying and selling of NTFPs varied across the four study villages. All households in all the study villages used firewood (100%), and most used thatch grass (94%), bamboo (96%), wood for building (92%), largely as construction materials. However, the percentage of households buying NTFPs was lower, with the maximum percentage of households being 50%. The percent of households engaged in selling at least one NTFP was lower still at 39%. Substantial cash incomes were generated from firewood and edible orchids sales which provided up to a maximum of Mk180,000, equivalent to US$456, per year. Households joined the trade mostly for an alternative source of cash income due to poverty and to meet basic needs when other options were not available or feasible. Cash income generated from NTFP trade acted as a safety net and a coping strategy when other avenues supporting livelihoods were not accessible. The socio-economic benefits derived from NTFP trade were associated with the quantities collected, sold, market forces influenced by the law of demand and supply. The small amounts of cash income generated by most households were important as they supplemented household cash needs. There was a strong association between NTFP trade as one of the important sources of cash income and the number of months a household had food from their own garden in a year. There was a significant relationship though weak between ranking of NTFP trade and livestock ownership by households. Value chain analysis was used as an analytical tool to understand the processes involved in NTFP trade. The value chains for the products under study were short, dominated by traders and some intermediaries. Most of the products were sold in local markets with little value addition. This study recommends that policy makers should integrate NTFPs into their development plans, emphasizing the establishment of management strategies that will enhance availability and sustainability of the resource. NTFPs contributed to the livelihoods of the households socially and economically through provision of food, cash income, energy for cooking, medicine and construction materials.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Appropriate integration of workers with physical limitations into a manual workplace – development of an assessment tool
- Authors: Pearson, Jessie T
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/8209 , vital:21368
- Description: Background: People with physical limitations can contribute significantly to society and the economy, however, barriers to full and effective participation in the labour market often hinder decent employment. In light of this, placement decisions of impaired workers should be based on detailed information of the nature of the jobs available, as well as individual capabilities of the worker. An ergonomics approach to design attempts to achieve an appropriate balance between the capabilities of the worker and the requirements of the task and uses this balance to improve productivity and encourage physical and mental well-being, job satisfaction and safety. A specific analysis tool which can be applied to various workplaces and jobs, and provide information for decisions regarding placement of physically limited workers, will help to increase the percentage of correct placement in an appropriate workplace, resulting in optimum productivity and worker safety. Methods: An assessment tool which allows matching of job requirements and worker capabilities was developed based on a theoretical framework from Mattison and Goebel (2007), as well as principles defined by Almgren and Schaurig (2012) and Demura and Nakada (2010). The tool assesses range of motion, force and time components of the physical requirements of different tasks involved in the job, as well as movement capabilities and limitations of the worker. The tool was pilot tested in a case study with an above the knee amputee working at a research facility. Results: The tool successfully provided information regarding the matching of the work to the identified job. The output of the tool highlighted two tasks which would place the worker at risk due to physical requirements of the tasks being greater than movement capabilities of the worker. These tasks need to be further investigated to determine if accommodations can be made to assist the worker in safely performing the task, or if the job is not suitable for the worker. Conclusions: The tool developed was useful in providing information to inform appropriate placement of the physically limited worker. Further research needs to be done to validate and determine reliability of the tool.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Pearson, Jessie T
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/8209 , vital:21368
- Description: Background: People with physical limitations can contribute significantly to society and the economy, however, barriers to full and effective participation in the labour market often hinder decent employment. In light of this, placement decisions of impaired workers should be based on detailed information of the nature of the jobs available, as well as individual capabilities of the worker. An ergonomics approach to design attempts to achieve an appropriate balance between the capabilities of the worker and the requirements of the task and uses this balance to improve productivity and encourage physical and mental well-being, job satisfaction and safety. A specific analysis tool which can be applied to various workplaces and jobs, and provide information for decisions regarding placement of physically limited workers, will help to increase the percentage of correct placement in an appropriate workplace, resulting in optimum productivity and worker safety. Methods: An assessment tool which allows matching of job requirements and worker capabilities was developed based on a theoretical framework from Mattison and Goebel (2007), as well as principles defined by Almgren and Schaurig (2012) and Demura and Nakada (2010). The tool assesses range of motion, force and time components of the physical requirements of different tasks involved in the job, as well as movement capabilities and limitations of the worker. The tool was pilot tested in a case study with an above the knee amputee working at a research facility. Results: The tool successfully provided information regarding the matching of the work to the identified job. The output of the tool highlighted two tasks which would place the worker at risk due to physical requirements of the tasks being greater than movement capabilities of the worker. These tasks need to be further investigated to determine if accommodations can be made to assist the worker in safely performing the task, or if the job is not suitable for the worker. Conclusions: The tool developed was useful in providing information to inform appropriate placement of the physically limited worker. Further research needs to be done to validate and determine reliability of the tool.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
The sedimentology and depositional model of VS5 reef at Beatrix mine and surrounding areas of the Freestate Goldfield, South Africa
- Authors: Shivambu, Steven
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4942 , vital:20745
- Description: Historically, placers of economic importance at Sibanye Gold's Beatrix No. 3 Shaft were Beatrix Reef, Aandenk Reef and Composite of the two reefs. Recently, the VS5 placer has emerged to be a significant contributor of ore tonnages mined on the Shaft as mining advances into deeper levels towards the northern portion of the mine lease area. Gold concentration in the VS5 Reef is highly variable from uneconomic, through marginal to economic gold values. A good knowledge of the sedimentological framework of the VS5 Reef was considered necessary in order to interpret the variable distribution of the gold within the VS5 placer. The aim of this study was to determine the depositional environments that played a major role during the formation of the VS5 placer by means of investigating the macroscopic sedimentological parameters of this particular reef. These sedimentological parameters were used as the basis for the subdivision of VS5 Reef into different facies recognized in the mine and surrounding areas. It was recognized that the VS5 placer was formed in a distal, braided fluvial environment by the reworking of the pre-existing Aandenk Reef by new materials containing significant amount of nondurable materials (see definition on page xii) such as shale detritus. Where there is no evidence of reworking of the older Aandenk Reef, the VS5 Reef occurs as poorly sorted, polymictic conglomerate with abundance of non-durable detritus. This is referred to as the Immature (IV) VS5 facies and occurs in the northern portion of the study area. The degree of reworking of the gravel bars by waves and current action resulted in the formation of well sorted, oligomictic conglomerates of the Beatrix facies in the southern portion of the mine. At the boundaries between the Immature VS5 and Beatrix facies occurs the Transitional (Sub-mature) VS5 facies, characterized by reef comprising a polymictic upper portion and a basal more mature oligomictic unit. The Transitional VS5 facies extends across the current central northern mining faces of Beatrix No. 3 Shaft with a northwest-southeast trend. There is a strong correlation between the VS5 lithofacies and distribution of gold mineralization. The Immature VS5 facies is poorly mineralized, with gold values averaging 200 c.m.g/t and lower. The Transitional (Sub-mature) VS5 facies has elevated gold values, ranging from 300 c.m.g/t to 1500 cm.g/t. Mineralization in this unit tend to be bottom loaded as well as at the base of each cyclic unit. The Beatrix facies records the highest grades averaging >1500 cmg/t. The improved understanding of the VS5 lithofacies made it possible to predict gold mineralization and aid planning to mine into viable VS5 areas.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Shivambu, Steven
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4942 , vital:20745
- Description: Historically, placers of economic importance at Sibanye Gold's Beatrix No. 3 Shaft were Beatrix Reef, Aandenk Reef and Composite of the two reefs. Recently, the VS5 placer has emerged to be a significant contributor of ore tonnages mined on the Shaft as mining advances into deeper levels towards the northern portion of the mine lease area. Gold concentration in the VS5 Reef is highly variable from uneconomic, through marginal to economic gold values. A good knowledge of the sedimentological framework of the VS5 Reef was considered necessary in order to interpret the variable distribution of the gold within the VS5 placer. The aim of this study was to determine the depositional environments that played a major role during the formation of the VS5 placer by means of investigating the macroscopic sedimentological parameters of this particular reef. These sedimentological parameters were used as the basis for the subdivision of VS5 Reef into different facies recognized in the mine and surrounding areas. It was recognized that the VS5 placer was formed in a distal, braided fluvial environment by the reworking of the pre-existing Aandenk Reef by new materials containing significant amount of nondurable materials (see definition on page xii) such as shale detritus. Where there is no evidence of reworking of the older Aandenk Reef, the VS5 Reef occurs as poorly sorted, polymictic conglomerate with abundance of non-durable detritus. This is referred to as the Immature (IV) VS5 facies and occurs in the northern portion of the study area. The degree of reworking of the gravel bars by waves and current action resulted in the formation of well sorted, oligomictic conglomerates of the Beatrix facies in the southern portion of the mine. At the boundaries between the Immature VS5 and Beatrix facies occurs the Transitional (Sub-mature) VS5 facies, characterized by reef comprising a polymictic upper portion and a basal more mature oligomictic unit. The Transitional VS5 facies extends across the current central northern mining faces of Beatrix No. 3 Shaft with a northwest-southeast trend. There is a strong correlation between the VS5 lithofacies and distribution of gold mineralization. The Immature VS5 facies is poorly mineralized, with gold values averaging 200 c.m.g/t and lower. The Transitional (Sub-mature) VS5 facies has elevated gold values, ranging from 300 c.m.g/t to 1500 cm.g/t. Mineralization in this unit tend to be bottom loaded as well as at the base of each cyclic unit. The Beatrix facies records the highest grades averaging >1500 cmg/t. The improved understanding of the VS5 lithofacies made it possible to predict gold mineralization and aid planning to mine into viable VS5 areas.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Thermoluminescence of synthetic quartz annealed beyond its second phase inversion temperature
- Authors: Mthwesi, Zuko
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/46077 , vital:25577
- Description: Thermoluminescence of synthetic quartz annealed at 1000 ºC for 10 minutes has been studied. The aim was to study mechanisms of thermoluminescence in annealed synthetic quartz and to discuss the results in terms of the physics of point defects. The sample was irradiated with a beta dose of 10 Gy of beta radiation and then heated at a linear heating rate of 1 ºC.s-1 up to 500 ºC. The thermoluminescence (TL) glow curve consists of three glow peaks. Peak I at 74 0C (main peak) with high intensity as compared to the other two peaks. Peak II at 144 ºC is more intense than peak III at 180 ºC. This study was on the main peak (MP) at 74 ºC and peak III at 180 ºC. Kinetic analysis was carried out to determine the trap depth E, frequency factor s and the order of kinetics b of both peaks using the initial rise, peak shape, variable heating rate, glow curve deconvolution and isothermal TL methods. The values of kinetic parameters obtained were around 0.7 to 1.0 eV for trap depth and in the interval of 108 to 1015 s-¹ for frequency factor for both peaks. The effect of heating rate from 0.5 to 5 ºC.s-¹ on the TL peak intensity and peak temperature was observed. Also the effect of thermal quenching was observed at high heating rates. Since the TL glow curve has overlapping TL peaks, the Tm-Tstop method from 54 ºC up to 64 ºC and E -Tstop methods were introduced where a first order single peak was observed. Phototransfered thermoluminescence (PTTL) was investigated and characterized by three peaks. First PTTL peak I at 72 ºC, peak II at 134 ºC and peak III at 176 ºC. Analysis was carried out on peaks I and III for the effect of dose dependence from 20-200 Gy. Thermal fading was observed on PTTL peaks I and III, after storage time of 30 minutes.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mthwesi, Zuko
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/46077 , vital:25577
- Description: Thermoluminescence of synthetic quartz annealed at 1000 ºC for 10 minutes has been studied. The aim was to study mechanisms of thermoluminescence in annealed synthetic quartz and to discuss the results in terms of the physics of point defects. The sample was irradiated with a beta dose of 10 Gy of beta radiation and then heated at a linear heating rate of 1 ºC.s-1 up to 500 ºC. The thermoluminescence (TL) glow curve consists of three glow peaks. Peak I at 74 0C (main peak) with high intensity as compared to the other two peaks. Peak II at 144 ºC is more intense than peak III at 180 ºC. This study was on the main peak (MP) at 74 ºC and peak III at 180 ºC. Kinetic analysis was carried out to determine the trap depth E, frequency factor s and the order of kinetics b of both peaks using the initial rise, peak shape, variable heating rate, glow curve deconvolution and isothermal TL methods. The values of kinetic parameters obtained were around 0.7 to 1.0 eV for trap depth and in the interval of 108 to 1015 s-¹ for frequency factor for both peaks. The effect of heating rate from 0.5 to 5 ºC.s-¹ on the TL peak intensity and peak temperature was observed. Also the effect of thermal quenching was observed at high heating rates. Since the TL glow curve has overlapping TL peaks, the Tm-Tstop method from 54 ºC up to 64 ºC and E -Tstop methods were introduced where a first order single peak was observed. Phototransfered thermoluminescence (PTTL) was investigated and characterized by three peaks. First PTTL peak I at 72 ºC, peak II at 134 ºC and peak III at 176 ºC. Analysis was carried out on peaks I and III for the effect of dose dependence from 20-200 Gy. Thermal fading was observed on PTTL peaks I and III, after storage time of 30 minutes.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Treatment of anaerobically digested brewery effluent in high rate algal ponds: an understanding of the microbial community structure in the ponds and the underlying mechanisms responsible for nutrient removal from the effluent
- Authors: Mogane, Mmathabo Lucretia
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Brewing industry -- Waste disposal -- South Africa , Breweries -- Waste displosal -- South Africa , Algae culture -- South Africa , Water -- Purification -- South Africa , Sewage lagoons -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/5026 , vital:20754
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mogane, Mmathabo Lucretia
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Brewing industry -- Waste disposal -- South Africa , Breweries -- Waste displosal -- South Africa , Algae culture -- South Africa , Water -- Purification -- South Africa , Sewage lagoons -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/5026 , vital:20754
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Mineralogy and geochemistry of structurally-controlled metasomatic alteration of carbonate-rich manganese ore at Mamatwan Mine, Kalahari Manganese Field
- Authors: Harawa, Esau Tonderai
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Metasomatism (Mineralogy) , Manganese ores -- Geology -- South Africa , Geology -- South Africa , Mamatwan Mine (South Africa)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4717 , vital:20715
- Description: The Kalahari Manganese Field (KMF) located in the Northern Cape Province about 700km south west of Johannesburg contains 80% of the world manganese ore reserves. Mamatwan Mine is hosted within the low grade Mamatwan type ore and is located in the southernmost tip of the KMF. This mine is an open pit mine which is divided into three benches namely the top cut, middle cut and bottom cut. These three benches are structurally controlled by faults which influence the overall grade of the manganese ore. This study is a follow up work to the previous two studies carried out at Wessels Mine and Mamatwan Mine by (Gutzmer and Beukes) in 1995 and 1996 respectively with regards to alteration processes around fault controlled systems in which they concluded that epithermal fluids caused local reduction and bleaching of ore followed by oxidation and carbonate leaching of manganese ore through ascending oxidized groundwater. Metasomatic activity around fault controlled systems is controlled by three main processes namely redistribution, enrichment and depletion. These processes are determined by mobility/immobility of elements from the fault which are introduced into the pre-existing braunite carbonate rich ore. Elements such as Ca, Mg, Si, Fe, C and Mn interact with pre-existing ore due to temperature, fluid pressure, physico-chemical property of fluid gradient. Structurally, faulting and folding contribute to the movement of elements as one end of the system gets depleted the other end of the system gets enriched and vice versa. To better understand this metasomatic activity, it is crucial to conduct mass balance studies of these elements. Grant (1986) introduced the isocon diagram which is a modification of Gresen’s equation (1967) to ascertain which elements are directly or indirectly related to alteration through enrichment and depletion of Ca, Mg, Si, Fe, C and Mn. As the section approaches from altered to less altered manganese ore the mineral chemistry gradually changes from a manganese rich matrix composed of manganomelane and todorokite to a carbonate rich matrix composed of braunite, dolomite, kutnohorite and Mn-rich calcites.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Harawa, Esau Tonderai
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Metasomatism (Mineralogy) , Manganese ores -- Geology -- South Africa , Geology -- South Africa , Mamatwan Mine (South Africa)
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4717 , vital:20715
- Description: The Kalahari Manganese Field (KMF) located in the Northern Cape Province about 700km south west of Johannesburg contains 80% of the world manganese ore reserves. Mamatwan Mine is hosted within the low grade Mamatwan type ore and is located in the southernmost tip of the KMF. This mine is an open pit mine which is divided into three benches namely the top cut, middle cut and bottom cut. These three benches are structurally controlled by faults which influence the overall grade of the manganese ore. This study is a follow up work to the previous two studies carried out at Wessels Mine and Mamatwan Mine by (Gutzmer and Beukes) in 1995 and 1996 respectively with regards to alteration processes around fault controlled systems in which they concluded that epithermal fluids caused local reduction and bleaching of ore followed by oxidation and carbonate leaching of manganese ore through ascending oxidized groundwater. Metasomatic activity around fault controlled systems is controlled by three main processes namely redistribution, enrichment and depletion. These processes are determined by mobility/immobility of elements from the fault which are introduced into the pre-existing braunite carbonate rich ore. Elements such as Ca, Mg, Si, Fe, C and Mn interact with pre-existing ore due to temperature, fluid pressure, physico-chemical property of fluid gradient. Structurally, faulting and folding contribute to the movement of elements as one end of the system gets depleted the other end of the system gets enriched and vice versa. To better understand this metasomatic activity, it is crucial to conduct mass balance studies of these elements. Grant (1986) introduced the isocon diagram which is a modification of Gresen’s equation (1967) to ascertain which elements are directly or indirectly related to alteration through enrichment and depletion of Ca, Mg, Si, Fe, C and Mn. As the section approaches from altered to less altered manganese ore the mineral chemistry gradually changes from a manganese rich matrix composed of manganomelane and todorokite to a carbonate rich matrix composed of braunite, dolomite, kutnohorite and Mn-rich calcites.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Population genomics analysis of yellowfin tuna Thunnus albacares off South Africa reveals need for a shifted management boundary
- Authors: Mullins, Rachel Brenna
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Yellowfin tuna fisheries -- South Africa -- Western Cape , Genomics , Tuna fisheries -- South Africa , Fishery management -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/57819 , vital:26992
- Description: Yellowfin tuna Thunnus albacares is a commercially and economically important fisheries species, which comprises the second largest component of South Africa’s catch of tuna and tuna-like species. Catches of the species off South Africa are treated as two discrete stocks by the two tuna Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (tRFMOs) under whose jurisdictions they fall. Individuals caught off the Western Cape, west of the boundary between the tRFMOs at 20°E, are included in assessment and management of the Atlantic Ocean yellowfin tuna stock by the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT), and those caught east of this boundary are assessed and managed as part of the Indian Ocean stock by the Indian Ocean Tuna Commission (IOTC). The boundary between these stocks is based on the confluence of the two oceans in this region and does not incorporate the population structure of species. For sustainable exploitation of fisheries resources, it is important that the definition of management stocks reflects species’ biological population structure; the fine-scale stock structure of yellowfin tuna off South Africa is therefore a research priority which this study aimed to address by means of population genomics analyses. Yellowfin tuna exhibit shallow genetic differentiation over wide geographic areas, and as such traditional population genetic approaches have limited power in resolving fishery significant population structure in the species. Herein, a population genomic approach was employed, specifically, genome-wide analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) discovered using a next-generation DNA sequencing approach, to confer (i) increased statistical power to detect neutral structuring reflecting population connectivity patterns and (ii) signatures of local adaptation. The mitochondrial Control Region (mtDNA CR) was also sequenced to compare the resolving power of different approaches and to permit coalescent based analyses of the species evolutionary history in the region. Neutral SNP loci revealed significant structure within the dataset (Fst=0.0043; P<0.0001); partitioning of this differentiation within the dataset indicated significant differentiation between yellowfin tuna from the Western Cape and the Gulf of Guinea in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, with no significant differentiation between individuals from the Western Cape and Western Indian Ocean regions. This indicates two population units wherein there is a separation of the Gulf of Guinea from the remaining samples (Indian Ocean including Western Cape) that are largely derived from a single genetic population. This pattern was also supported by assignment tests. Positive outlier SNPs, exhibiting signatures of diversifying selection, suggest that individuals from these regions may be locally adapted, as well as demographically isolated. The mtDNA CR did not reveal any significant genetic structure among samples (Fst=0.0030; P=0.309), demonstrating the increased resolving power provided by population genomics approaches, but revealed signatures of historical demographic fluctuations associated with glacial cycles. Based on the findings of this study, it is suggested that yellowfin tuna caught off the Western Cape of South Africa are migrants from the Indian Ocean population, exhibiting significant genetic differentiation from the Atlantic Ocean Gulf of Guinea individuals, and should thus be included in the assessment and management of the Indian Ocean stock. It is therefore recommended that the boundary between the Atlantic and Indian Ocean yellowfin tuna stocks, under the mandates of ICCAT and the IOTC respectively, should be shifted to approximately 13.35°E to include all individuals caught in South African waters in the Indian Ocean stock.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mullins, Rachel Brenna
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Yellowfin tuna fisheries -- South Africa -- Western Cape , Genomics , Tuna fisheries -- South Africa , Fishery management -- South Africa
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/57819 , vital:26992
- Description: Yellowfin tuna Thunnus albacares is a commercially and economically important fisheries species, which comprises the second largest component of South Africa’s catch of tuna and tuna-like species. Catches of the species off South Africa are treated as two discrete stocks by the two tuna Regional Fisheries Management Organisations (tRFMOs) under whose jurisdictions they fall. Individuals caught off the Western Cape, west of the boundary between the tRFMOs at 20°E, are included in assessment and management of the Atlantic Ocean yellowfin tuna stock by the International Commission for the Conservation of Atlantic Tunas (ICCAT), and those caught east of this boundary are assessed and managed as part of the Indian Ocean stock by the Indian Ocean Tuna Commission (IOTC). The boundary between these stocks is based on the confluence of the two oceans in this region and does not incorporate the population structure of species. For sustainable exploitation of fisheries resources, it is important that the definition of management stocks reflects species’ biological population structure; the fine-scale stock structure of yellowfin tuna off South Africa is therefore a research priority which this study aimed to address by means of population genomics analyses. Yellowfin tuna exhibit shallow genetic differentiation over wide geographic areas, and as such traditional population genetic approaches have limited power in resolving fishery significant population structure in the species. Herein, a population genomic approach was employed, specifically, genome-wide analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) discovered using a next-generation DNA sequencing approach, to confer (i) increased statistical power to detect neutral structuring reflecting population connectivity patterns and (ii) signatures of local adaptation. The mitochondrial Control Region (mtDNA CR) was also sequenced to compare the resolving power of different approaches and to permit coalescent based analyses of the species evolutionary history in the region. Neutral SNP loci revealed significant structure within the dataset (Fst=0.0043; P<0.0001); partitioning of this differentiation within the dataset indicated significant differentiation between yellowfin tuna from the Western Cape and the Gulf of Guinea in the eastern Atlantic Ocean, with no significant differentiation between individuals from the Western Cape and Western Indian Ocean regions. This indicates two population units wherein there is a separation of the Gulf of Guinea from the remaining samples (Indian Ocean including Western Cape) that are largely derived from a single genetic population. This pattern was also supported by assignment tests. Positive outlier SNPs, exhibiting signatures of diversifying selection, suggest that individuals from these regions may be locally adapted, as well as demographically isolated. The mtDNA CR did not reveal any significant genetic structure among samples (Fst=0.0030; P=0.309), demonstrating the increased resolving power provided by population genomics approaches, but revealed signatures of historical demographic fluctuations associated with glacial cycles. Based on the findings of this study, it is suggested that yellowfin tuna caught off the Western Cape of South Africa are migrants from the Indian Ocean population, exhibiting significant genetic differentiation from the Atlantic Ocean Gulf of Guinea individuals, and should thus be included in the assessment and management of the Indian Ocean stock. It is therefore recommended that the boundary between the Atlantic and Indian Ocean yellowfin tuna stocks, under the mandates of ICCAT and the IOTC respectively, should be shifted to approximately 13.35°E to include all individuals caught in South African waters in the Indian Ocean stock.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Exploring the suitability of causal loop diagrams to assess the value chains of aquatic ecosystem services: a case study of the Baviaanskloof, South Africa
- Authors: Rawlins, Jonathan Mark
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4909 , vital:20742
- Description: Healthy, functioning aquatic ecosystems are fundamental to the survival and development of any nation, particularly so for water-stressed countries like South Africa. Aquatic ecosystem services (AESs) are becoming increasingly recognised for their importance to society with regards to the ecological goods and services they provide in terms of health, social, cultural and economic benefits. The development of markets for AESs begins with a clear understanding of the nature and extent of the goods and services provided by aquatic ecosystems. However, an inclusive understanding of AESs and their associated values is currently lacking in South Africa. Although flows of ecosystem services provide a nearly limitless set of valuable properties, a large proportion of their services remain unpriced or inaccurately priced through traditional neo-classical markets. This often results in market failure, as these markets do not reflect the full social costs and/or benefits of ecosystem services. This provides incentive to identify and develop a tool to bridge the gap between ecosystem service valuation and practical, sustainable management recommendations for improving the provision of ecosystem services and their associated markets. This study explores the suitability of causal loop diagrams (CLDs) to assess the value chains of AESs in South Africa within the context of a case study. AESs do not usually have finite market values nor are they traded in formal markets, thus, a traditional approach to value chain analysis is unsuitable. A professional workshop environment was utilised to facilitate a transdisciplinary approach towards identifying relevant AESs and their complex inputs, interactions and trade-offs. Numerous CLDs were developed in an effort to map the complex relationships between these AESs and their associated inputs, which formed the basis to attempt subsequent scenario analyses and 'alternative' value chain analyses. The findings of this study show that CLDs have the potential to qualitatively identify challenges and opportunities within the value chains of AESs. Thus, the use of such 'alternative' value chain analyses can directly contribute towards the development of recommendations for improving sustainable management of aquatic ecosystems.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Rawlins, Jonathan Mark
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4909 , vital:20742
- Description: Healthy, functioning aquatic ecosystems are fundamental to the survival and development of any nation, particularly so for water-stressed countries like South Africa. Aquatic ecosystem services (AESs) are becoming increasingly recognised for their importance to society with regards to the ecological goods and services they provide in terms of health, social, cultural and economic benefits. The development of markets for AESs begins with a clear understanding of the nature and extent of the goods and services provided by aquatic ecosystems. However, an inclusive understanding of AESs and their associated values is currently lacking in South Africa. Although flows of ecosystem services provide a nearly limitless set of valuable properties, a large proportion of their services remain unpriced or inaccurately priced through traditional neo-classical markets. This often results in market failure, as these markets do not reflect the full social costs and/or benefits of ecosystem services. This provides incentive to identify and develop a tool to bridge the gap between ecosystem service valuation and practical, sustainable management recommendations for improving the provision of ecosystem services and their associated markets. This study explores the suitability of causal loop diagrams (CLDs) to assess the value chains of AESs in South Africa within the context of a case study. AESs do not usually have finite market values nor are they traded in formal markets, thus, a traditional approach to value chain analysis is unsuitable. A professional workshop environment was utilised to facilitate a transdisciplinary approach towards identifying relevant AESs and their complex inputs, interactions and trade-offs. Numerous CLDs were developed in an effort to map the complex relationships between these AESs and their associated inputs, which formed the basis to attempt subsequent scenario analyses and 'alternative' value chain analyses. The findings of this study show that CLDs have the potential to qualitatively identify challenges and opportunities within the value chains of AESs. Thus, the use of such 'alternative' value chain analyses can directly contribute towards the development of recommendations for improving sustainable management of aquatic ecosystems.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Density-dependent effects on body size, Philopatry, and dispersal in the Damaraland mole-rat (Fukomys damarensis)
- Authors: Finn, Kyle T
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fukomys damarensis , Fukomys damarensis -- Reproduction , Fukomys damarensis -- Growth , Rodents -- Reproduction -- South Africa -- Northern Cape , Rodents -- Growth -- South Africa -- Northern Cape , Rodent populations -- South Africa -- Northern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/50495 , vital:25993
- Description: Population density may exert changes in a variety of behavioural and physiological characters in animals. However, the effects of density-dependence and dispersal are poorly studied in subterranean rodents due to the difficulties involved in observing such effects in wild populations. Using the cooperative breeding Damaraland mole-rat (Fukomys damarensis) as a model species, the effects of population density on body size, growth rates, group size, recruitment, philopatry and dispersal were investigated at two sites (one with low density and one with high density) in the Northern Cape of South Africa. Group size, litter size and the probability of recapture were independent of population density. However, individual body size, recruitment, dispersal rate and dispersal distance were density-dependent. Individuals were significantly larger, juveniles exhibited a significantly higher growth rate, and juvenile recruitment was significantly greater when population density was low. At higher densities, significantly more individuals were lost between capture events which may be indicative of increased rates of dispersal. Mean dispersal distances in mole-rats were reduced at higher densities and increased at lower densities. While both sexes dispersed equally, males were significantly more likely to join an established colony and females created new burrow systems. In addition, four times as many single females were found when population density was low. The apparent differences in the study populations may be attributed to variable annual rainfall or food availability. The greater annual rainfall at the high-density site may provide better habitat conditions and therefore result in an increase in the population density and an increased dispersal rate due to the relaxed ecological constraints such as reduced energetic costs to burrowing. However, the larger body size found at the low-density site may indicate that the available food at that location is of better quality. This study revealed that mole-rats were able to disperse over 1km and therefore a much larger study area would be required in capture-mark-recapture studies to ensure the recapture of the majority of dispersers. Lastly, a surprising find of this study was that females may survive a solitary existence for over two years while awaiting the arrival of a mate.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Finn, Kyle T
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fukomys damarensis , Fukomys damarensis -- Reproduction , Fukomys damarensis -- Growth , Rodents -- Reproduction -- South Africa -- Northern Cape , Rodents -- Growth -- South Africa -- Northern Cape , Rodent populations -- South Africa -- Northern Cape
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/50495 , vital:25993
- Description: Population density may exert changes in a variety of behavioural and physiological characters in animals. However, the effects of density-dependence and dispersal are poorly studied in subterranean rodents due to the difficulties involved in observing such effects in wild populations. Using the cooperative breeding Damaraland mole-rat (Fukomys damarensis) as a model species, the effects of population density on body size, growth rates, group size, recruitment, philopatry and dispersal were investigated at two sites (one with low density and one with high density) in the Northern Cape of South Africa. Group size, litter size and the probability of recapture were independent of population density. However, individual body size, recruitment, dispersal rate and dispersal distance were density-dependent. Individuals were significantly larger, juveniles exhibited a significantly higher growth rate, and juvenile recruitment was significantly greater when population density was low. At higher densities, significantly more individuals were lost between capture events which may be indicative of increased rates of dispersal. Mean dispersal distances in mole-rats were reduced at higher densities and increased at lower densities. While both sexes dispersed equally, males were significantly more likely to join an established colony and females created new burrow systems. In addition, four times as many single females were found when population density was low. The apparent differences in the study populations may be attributed to variable annual rainfall or food availability. The greater annual rainfall at the high-density site may provide better habitat conditions and therefore result in an increase in the population density and an increased dispersal rate due to the relaxed ecological constraints such as reduced energetic costs to burrowing. However, the larger body size found at the low-density site may indicate that the available food at that location is of better quality. This study revealed that mole-rats were able to disperse over 1km and therefore a much larger study area would be required in capture-mark-recapture studies to ensure the recapture of the majority of dispersers. Lastly, a surprising find of this study was that females may survive a solitary existence for over two years while awaiting the arrival of a mate.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
The effects of the type of rest breaks on return-to-task performance in semi-automated tasks with varying complexities
- Authors: Hoyi, Zandile
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Rest periods , Rest periods -- Physiological effect , Human-robot interaction , Aeronautics -- Human factors , Human engineering , Drowsiness
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/44490 , vital:25412
- Description: Automation in the aviation industry is acknowledged as a useful tool in reducing pilot workload (Hoh, Smith & Hinton, 1987; Beringer & Harris Jr., 1999). Typically, the role of the pilot (operator) shifts from active participation in a process to a task of monitoring the system with the resumption of control should the automation ‘fail’ (Byrne & Parasuraman, 1996). Unfortunately, the skills necessary to do so would likely degrade from non-use, during this process (Landry, 2012). This project investigates the “attentional demands” for the human operator during interaction with semi-automated operations of the flight. According to Dr Abbott (1996), FAA human factors specialist, one of the problems causing disharmony between crews and their automated systems is the incorrect upset recovery, owing to the human being out-of-the-loop (OOTL) from the system. Recovery, or rather return to task, is the ability of the pilot to loop back into control, once situational awareness has been decreased due to lack of alertness and a decrease in arousal. Different types of rest tasks are commonly prescribed fatigue countermeasures in the industrial setting and have been showed to elicit beneficial effects on prolonged human performance. Understanding the effects of different rest break activity and time out-of-the-loop during semi-automated flying on return to task performance has been adequately studied, thus highlighting its importance in the context of flight safety. The present study requested participants to perform a tracking task in a laboratory where they changed from activity (30 minutes) to a break (2 vs. 30 minutes) and back to the activity (20 minutes). The task varied in the complexity of the activity (pure tracking vs. tracking plus memory plus rule-based decision making), the type of break (passive rest vs. actively supervising) and the duration of the break (2 minutes vs. 30 minutes). Performance was measured as effective response time in the tracking task and number of correct responses to secondary cognitive tasks. Physiological measures included heart rate (HR), heart rate variability (HRV- time and frequency-domain), eye blink frequency and duration. The Karolinska Sleepiness Scale was used as a subjective measure. With regards to the most appropriate rest break tasks, the study concluded that active, administrative tasks, which allowed the operator to maintain some form of situational awareness by monitoring the automated system, achieved favourable effects of being more alert than the passive rest break of being disengaged from the system. In terms of the most appropriate rest break durations, the shorter duration of being out-of-the-loop from controlling the system proved to be more advantageous than the longer out-of-the-loop duration. In looking at the workload levels of arousal, the results suggest that the higher workload level is better at maintaining the alertness of operators. This study functions as a foundational framework for future investigations around the topic of human-automation interaction, looking specifically at return-to-task performance.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Hoyi, Zandile
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Rest periods , Rest periods -- Physiological effect , Human-robot interaction , Aeronautics -- Human factors , Human engineering , Drowsiness
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/44490 , vital:25412
- Description: Automation in the aviation industry is acknowledged as a useful tool in reducing pilot workload (Hoh, Smith & Hinton, 1987; Beringer & Harris Jr., 1999). Typically, the role of the pilot (operator) shifts from active participation in a process to a task of monitoring the system with the resumption of control should the automation ‘fail’ (Byrne & Parasuraman, 1996). Unfortunately, the skills necessary to do so would likely degrade from non-use, during this process (Landry, 2012). This project investigates the “attentional demands” for the human operator during interaction with semi-automated operations of the flight. According to Dr Abbott (1996), FAA human factors specialist, one of the problems causing disharmony between crews and their automated systems is the incorrect upset recovery, owing to the human being out-of-the-loop (OOTL) from the system. Recovery, or rather return to task, is the ability of the pilot to loop back into control, once situational awareness has been decreased due to lack of alertness and a decrease in arousal. Different types of rest tasks are commonly prescribed fatigue countermeasures in the industrial setting and have been showed to elicit beneficial effects on prolonged human performance. Understanding the effects of different rest break activity and time out-of-the-loop during semi-automated flying on return to task performance has been adequately studied, thus highlighting its importance in the context of flight safety. The present study requested participants to perform a tracking task in a laboratory where they changed from activity (30 minutes) to a break (2 vs. 30 minutes) and back to the activity (20 minutes). The task varied in the complexity of the activity (pure tracking vs. tracking plus memory plus rule-based decision making), the type of break (passive rest vs. actively supervising) and the duration of the break (2 minutes vs. 30 minutes). Performance was measured as effective response time in the tracking task and number of correct responses to secondary cognitive tasks. Physiological measures included heart rate (HR), heart rate variability (HRV- time and frequency-domain), eye blink frequency and duration. The Karolinska Sleepiness Scale was used as a subjective measure. With regards to the most appropriate rest break tasks, the study concluded that active, administrative tasks, which allowed the operator to maintain some form of situational awareness by monitoring the automated system, achieved favourable effects of being more alert than the passive rest break of being disengaged from the system. In terms of the most appropriate rest break durations, the shorter duration of being out-of-the-loop from controlling the system proved to be more advantageous than the longer out-of-the-loop duration. In looking at the workload levels of arousal, the results suggest that the higher workload level is better at maintaining the alertness of operators. This study functions as a foundational framework for future investigations around the topic of human-automation interaction, looking specifically at return-to-task performance.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Oxygen limitation and thermal tolerance: a comparison of pulmonate and patellogastropod limpets
- Authors: Kankondi, Sebbi
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Thermal tolerance (Physiology) , Limpets -- Physiology , Limpets -- Effect of temperature on , Oxygen consumption (Physiology)
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/7570 , vital:21274
- Description: Since the scientific community anticipates a general change in the global climate, it has become increasingly important to develop predictive models which encompass mechanisms to generate reliable forecasts of the effects this change on ecological communities and processes. To this end, the oxygen- and capacity- limited thermal tolerance (OCLTT) theory has been developed as a link between various physiological processes, the thermal aspect of climate change and the associated shifts at different levels of biological organization. This study set out to assess the general applicability of the OCLTT theory in eurythermal pulmonate and patellogastropod limpets, whose distributions overlap on the high shore rocks of the warm temperate, south-east coast of South Africa.This was done by determining their microhabitat use, median lethal temperatures and cardiac, Arrhenius breakpoint temperatures as measures of their upper thermal tolerance limits, in both air and water. The main hypotheses of the study were that the pulmonate limpets would be more common than the patellogastropods in warmer microhabitats during low tide and would have higher thermal limits than the patellogastropods in air and vice versa in water. This was based on the assumption that the two limpet groups have different capabilities of oxygen consumption in air and water, due to differences in their respiratory organs and that this would be reflected in their thermal tolerances based on predictions made by the OCLTT. This assumption was important because oxygen consumption was not measured in this study. Previous research (e.g. Garrity, 1984), showed that a thermal stress gradient exists among rocky intertidal microhabitats. From most to least thermally stressful the gradient is horizontal surfaces> slopes> vertical surfaces> tide pools> crevices. The current study found that, while the pulmonate limpets, Siphonaria capensis and S. serrata, preferred rock pools, sloped, vertical and horizontal rock surfaces, the patellogastropod limpets, Cellana capensis and Scutellastra granularis, preferred rock pools and vertical rock surfaces. Furthermore, the pulmonate limpets were only common on horizontal rock surfaces where specific ameliorating conditions would have mitigated thermal stress there. In addition, C. capensis had similar thermal tolerance limits to the pulmonate limpets in air and the pulmonate limpets had similar and/or higher thermal tolerance limits compared to S. granularis in water. This indicates that the pulmonate limpets did not necessarily prefer warmer microhabitats than the patellogastropod limpets and that there were no differences in the collective upper thermal tolerance limits between the two limpet groups in either medium.Consequently, there was no indication from this study that an assumed superior capacity for oxygen supply translates into greater thermal tolerance and that the hypotheses based on the OCLTT were not supported. Although this was an indirect test of the OCLTT theory, I conclude that this study does not support the notion of its general applicability and that mechanisms other than those outlined by the OCLTT theory may help explain the patterns of thermal limitation observed in the current study.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Kankondi, Sebbi
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Thermal tolerance (Physiology) , Limpets -- Physiology , Limpets -- Effect of temperature on , Oxygen consumption (Physiology)
- Language: English
- Type: text , Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/7570 , vital:21274
- Description: Since the scientific community anticipates a general change in the global climate, it has become increasingly important to develop predictive models which encompass mechanisms to generate reliable forecasts of the effects this change on ecological communities and processes. To this end, the oxygen- and capacity- limited thermal tolerance (OCLTT) theory has been developed as a link between various physiological processes, the thermal aspect of climate change and the associated shifts at different levels of biological organization. This study set out to assess the general applicability of the OCLTT theory in eurythermal pulmonate and patellogastropod limpets, whose distributions overlap on the high shore rocks of the warm temperate, south-east coast of South Africa.This was done by determining their microhabitat use, median lethal temperatures and cardiac, Arrhenius breakpoint temperatures as measures of their upper thermal tolerance limits, in both air and water. The main hypotheses of the study were that the pulmonate limpets would be more common than the patellogastropods in warmer microhabitats during low tide and would have higher thermal limits than the patellogastropods in air and vice versa in water. This was based on the assumption that the two limpet groups have different capabilities of oxygen consumption in air and water, due to differences in their respiratory organs and that this would be reflected in their thermal tolerances based on predictions made by the OCLTT. This assumption was important because oxygen consumption was not measured in this study. Previous research (e.g. Garrity, 1984), showed that a thermal stress gradient exists among rocky intertidal microhabitats. From most to least thermally stressful the gradient is horizontal surfaces> slopes> vertical surfaces> tide pools> crevices. The current study found that, while the pulmonate limpets, Siphonaria capensis and S. serrata, preferred rock pools, sloped, vertical and horizontal rock surfaces, the patellogastropod limpets, Cellana capensis and Scutellastra granularis, preferred rock pools and vertical rock surfaces. Furthermore, the pulmonate limpets were only common on horizontal rock surfaces where specific ameliorating conditions would have mitigated thermal stress there. In addition, C. capensis had similar thermal tolerance limits to the pulmonate limpets in air and the pulmonate limpets had similar and/or higher thermal tolerance limits compared to S. granularis in water. This indicates that the pulmonate limpets did not necessarily prefer warmer microhabitats than the patellogastropod limpets and that there were no differences in the collective upper thermal tolerance limits between the two limpet groups in either medium.Consequently, there was no indication from this study that an assumed superior capacity for oxygen supply translates into greater thermal tolerance and that the hypotheses based on the OCLTT were not supported. Although this was an indirect test of the OCLTT theory, I conclude that this study does not support the notion of its general applicability and that mechanisms other than those outlined by the OCLTT theory may help explain the patterns of thermal limitation observed in the current study.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
A unified data repository for rich communication services
- Authors: Sogunle, Oluwasegun Francis
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/5777 , vital:20974
- Description: Rich Communication Services (RCS) is a framework that defines a set of IP-based services for the delivery of multimedia communications to mobile network subscribers. The framework unifies a set of pre-existing communication services under a single name, and permits network operators to re-use investments in existing network infrastructure, especially the IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), which is a core part of a mobile network and also acts as a docking station for RCS services. RCS generates and utilises disparate subscriber data sets during execution, however, it lacks a harmonised repository for the management of such data sets, thus making it difficult to obtain a unified view of heterogeneous subscriber data. This thesis proposes the creation of a unified data repository for RCS which is based on the User Data Convergence (UDC) standard. The standard was proposed by the 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP), a major telecommunications standardisation group. UDC provides an approach for consolidating subscriber data into a single logical repository without adversely affecting existing network infrastructure, such as the IMS. Thus, this thesis details the design and development of a prototypical implementation of a unified repository, named Converged Subscriber Data Repository (CSDR). It adopts a polyglot persistence model for the underlying data store and exposes heterogeneous data through the Open Data Protocol (OData), which is a candidate implementation of the Ud interface defined in the UDC architecture. With the introduction of polyglot persistence, multiple data stores can be used within the CSDR and disparate network data sources can access heterogeneous data sets using OData as a standard communications protocol. As the CSDR persistence model becomes more complex due to the inclusion of more storage technologies, polyglot persistence ensures a consistent conceptual view of these data sets through OData. Importantly, the CSDR prototype was integrated into a popular open-source implementation of the core part of an IMS network known as the Open IMS Core. The successful integration of the prototype demonstrates its ability to manage and expose a consolidated view of heterogeneous subscriber data, which are generated and used by different RCS services deployed within IMS.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Sogunle, Oluwasegun Francis
- Date: 2017
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/5777 , vital:20974
- Description: Rich Communication Services (RCS) is a framework that defines a set of IP-based services for the delivery of multimedia communications to mobile network subscribers. The framework unifies a set of pre-existing communication services under a single name, and permits network operators to re-use investments in existing network infrastructure, especially the IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS), which is a core part of a mobile network and also acts as a docking station for RCS services. RCS generates and utilises disparate subscriber data sets during execution, however, it lacks a harmonised repository for the management of such data sets, thus making it difficult to obtain a unified view of heterogeneous subscriber data. This thesis proposes the creation of a unified data repository for RCS which is based on the User Data Convergence (UDC) standard. The standard was proposed by the 3rd Generation Partnership Project (3GPP), a major telecommunications standardisation group. UDC provides an approach for consolidating subscriber data into a single logical repository without adversely affecting existing network infrastructure, such as the IMS. Thus, this thesis details the design and development of a prototypical implementation of a unified repository, named Converged Subscriber Data Repository (CSDR). It adopts a polyglot persistence model for the underlying data store and exposes heterogeneous data through the Open Data Protocol (OData), which is a candidate implementation of the Ud interface defined in the UDC architecture. With the introduction of polyglot persistence, multiple data stores can be used within the CSDR and disparate network data sources can access heterogeneous data sets using OData as a standard communications protocol. As the CSDR persistence model becomes more complex due to the inclusion of more storage technologies, polyglot persistence ensures a consistent conceptual view of these data sets through OData. Importantly, the CSDR prototype was integrated into a popular open-source implementation of the core part of an IMS network known as the Open IMS Core. The successful integration of the prototype demonstrates its ability to manage and expose a consolidated view of heterogeneous subscriber data, which are generated and used by different RCS services deployed within IMS.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Reliability analysis: assessment of hardware and human reliability
- Authors: Mafu, Masakheke
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory , Reliability (Engineering) , Human machine systems , Probabilities , Markov processes
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/6280 , vital:21077
- Description: Most reliability analyses involve the analysis of binary data. Practitioners in the field of reliability place great emphasis on analysing the time periods over which items or systems function (failure time analyses), which make use of different statistical models. This study intends to introduce, review and investigate four statistical models for modeling failure times of non-repairable items, and to utilise a Bayesian methodology to achieve this. The exponential, Rayleigh, gamma and Weibull distributions will be considered. The performance of the two non-informative priors will be investigated. An application of two failure time distributions will be carried out. To meet these objectives, the failure rate and the reliability functions of failure time distributions are calculated. Two non-informative priors, the Jeffreys prior and the general divergence prior, and the corresponding posteriors are derived for each distribution. Simulation studies for each distribution are carried out, where the coverage rates and credible intervals lengths are calculated and the results of these are discussed. The gamma distribution and the Weibull distribution are applied to failure time data.The Jeffreys prior is found to have better coverage rate than the general divergence prior. The general divergence shows undercoverage when used with the Rayleigh distribution. The Jeffreys prior produces coverage rates that are conservative when used with the exponential distribution. These priors give, on average, the same average interval lengths and increase as the value of the parameter increases. Both priors perform similar when used with the gamma distribution and the Weibull distribution. A thorough discussion and review of human reliability analysis (HRA) techniques will be considered. Twenty human reliability analysis (HRA) techniques are discussed; providing a background, description and advantages and disadvantages for each. Case studies in the nuclear industry, railway industry, and aviation industry are presented to show the importance and applications of HRA. Human error has been shown to be the major contributor to system failure.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Mafu, Masakheke
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Bayesian statistical decision theory , Reliability (Engineering) , Human machine systems , Probabilities , Markov processes
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/6280 , vital:21077
- Description: Most reliability analyses involve the analysis of binary data. Practitioners in the field of reliability place great emphasis on analysing the time periods over which items or systems function (failure time analyses), which make use of different statistical models. This study intends to introduce, review and investigate four statistical models for modeling failure times of non-repairable items, and to utilise a Bayesian methodology to achieve this. The exponential, Rayleigh, gamma and Weibull distributions will be considered. The performance of the two non-informative priors will be investigated. An application of two failure time distributions will be carried out. To meet these objectives, the failure rate and the reliability functions of failure time distributions are calculated. Two non-informative priors, the Jeffreys prior and the general divergence prior, and the corresponding posteriors are derived for each distribution. Simulation studies for each distribution are carried out, where the coverage rates and credible intervals lengths are calculated and the results of these are discussed. The gamma distribution and the Weibull distribution are applied to failure time data.The Jeffreys prior is found to have better coverage rate than the general divergence prior. The general divergence shows undercoverage when used with the Rayleigh distribution. The Jeffreys prior produces coverage rates that are conservative when used with the exponential distribution. These priors give, on average, the same average interval lengths and increase as the value of the parameter increases. Both priors perform similar when used with the gamma distribution and the Weibull distribution. A thorough discussion and review of human reliability analysis (HRA) techniques will be considered. Twenty human reliability analysis (HRA) techniques are discussed; providing a background, description and advantages and disadvantages for each. Case studies in the nuclear industry, railway industry, and aviation industry are presented to show the importance and applications of HRA. Human error has been shown to be the major contributor to system failure.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Linking livelihood and ecosystem change in two dryland sites in Southern Africa over a period of 30 years
- Authors: Masunungure, Current
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Marwendo Village (Zimbabwe) -- Social conditions , Tshivhulani Village (South Africa) -- Social conditions , Marwendo Village (Zimbabwe) -- Environmental conditions , Tshivhulani Village (South Africa) -- Environmental conditions , Climatic changes -- South Africa -- Tshivhulani Village , Climatic changes -- Zimbabwe -- Marwendo Village
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4819 , vital:20732
- Description: The ongoing and rapid change (from global to local level) in climate, populations, governments, cultures, environment, land use and economies are critical issues, especially for poor rural communities found in the dryland parts of southern Africa. The manifestations of change can combine to increase rural livelihood vulnerability, through the erosion of assets and insecurity, but can at the same time create new opportunities. Studies that consider the complex nature of change across scales and how it affects changes in livelihoods, ecosystems and responses at local level, are increasingly needed. This study, carried out in two purposefully selected study sites in the communal drylands of south-eastern Zimbabwe (Marwendo village) and Limpopo province in South Africa (Tshivhulani village), examined the complex nature of change across scales by assessing the way in which change at the global scale results in localised trends, shocks and stressors, and its impacts on livelihoods and ecosystems and responses over the past 30 years. The study applies social-ecological system thinking in understanding human-environment change. Particular emphasis was put on the role of social protection and natural resources in responding to change, shocks and stressors. The study employed a mixed method approach to gather data which included a household survey, life history interviews, transect walks, focus group discussions as well as secondary sources of information. The results of the study illustrate that shocks and stressors are common in both villages and are likely to increase in severity and frequency with ongoing and rapid human-environmental change, especially climate change. The local responses to change, shocks and stressors are primarily reactive and mainly intensify exploitation of existing natural resources and social protection as safety-nets. In Marwendo village, the villagers relied more on the use and sale of natural resource products readily available to them, whereas in Tshivhulani village they mainly tend to rely on social grants. Thus, in the future, households’ vulnerability might increase, and may be worse in Marwendo village, since important components of current livelihoods remain natural resource-based and climate sensitive. In Tshivhulani village, livelihoods characterised by high dependence on social grants can have severe consequences for households as children get older or elderly members die and grants cease to be available. Social grants therefore only really offer a temporary relief. This coupled with environmentally destructive practices such as brick-moulding in Marwendo village and uncontrolled settlements in Tshivhulani village may reinforce the negative impacts of change and thus undermine sustainable adaptation. The study concludes that multiple lenses for understanding the links between livelihood and ecosystem vulnerability in the context of the ongoing and rapid change are essential, and these provide insights into how different policy options for livelihood improvement and social protection might be appropriate for reducing household and ecosystem vulnerabilities in the future.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Masunungure, Current
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Marwendo Village (Zimbabwe) -- Social conditions , Tshivhulani Village (South Africa) -- Social conditions , Marwendo Village (Zimbabwe) -- Environmental conditions , Tshivhulani Village (South Africa) -- Environmental conditions , Climatic changes -- South Africa -- Tshivhulani Village , Climatic changes -- Zimbabwe -- Marwendo Village
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/4819 , vital:20732
- Description: The ongoing and rapid change (from global to local level) in climate, populations, governments, cultures, environment, land use and economies are critical issues, especially for poor rural communities found in the dryland parts of southern Africa. The manifestations of change can combine to increase rural livelihood vulnerability, through the erosion of assets and insecurity, but can at the same time create new opportunities. Studies that consider the complex nature of change across scales and how it affects changes in livelihoods, ecosystems and responses at local level, are increasingly needed. This study, carried out in two purposefully selected study sites in the communal drylands of south-eastern Zimbabwe (Marwendo village) and Limpopo province in South Africa (Tshivhulani village), examined the complex nature of change across scales by assessing the way in which change at the global scale results in localised trends, shocks and stressors, and its impacts on livelihoods and ecosystems and responses over the past 30 years. The study applies social-ecological system thinking in understanding human-environment change. Particular emphasis was put on the role of social protection and natural resources in responding to change, shocks and stressors. The study employed a mixed method approach to gather data which included a household survey, life history interviews, transect walks, focus group discussions as well as secondary sources of information. The results of the study illustrate that shocks and stressors are common in both villages and are likely to increase in severity and frequency with ongoing and rapid human-environmental change, especially climate change. The local responses to change, shocks and stressors are primarily reactive and mainly intensify exploitation of existing natural resources and social protection as safety-nets. In Marwendo village, the villagers relied more on the use and sale of natural resource products readily available to them, whereas in Tshivhulani village they mainly tend to rely on social grants. Thus, in the future, households’ vulnerability might increase, and may be worse in Marwendo village, since important components of current livelihoods remain natural resource-based and climate sensitive. In Tshivhulani village, livelihoods characterised by high dependence on social grants can have severe consequences for households as children get older or elderly members die and grants cease to be available. Social grants therefore only really offer a temporary relief. This coupled with environmentally destructive practices such as brick-moulding in Marwendo village and uncontrolled settlements in Tshivhulani village may reinforce the negative impacts of change and thus undermine sustainable adaptation. The study concludes that multiple lenses for understanding the links between livelihood and ecosystem vulnerability in the context of the ongoing and rapid change are essential, and these provide insights into how different policy options for livelihood improvement and social protection might be appropriate for reducing household and ecosystem vulnerabilities in the future.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
Understanding social-ecological changes in Fairbairn village, Eastern Cape
- Authors: Falayi, Menelisi
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fairbairn Village (Eastern Cape, South Africa) , Rural development -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape -- Fairbairn Village , Land tenure -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape -- Fairbairn Village
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/7408 , vital:21257
- Description: The world is becoming increasingly complex and uncertain due to increasing levels of social- ecological change. Rural communities in sub-Saharan Africa are faced with multiple interconnected challenges such as population growth, environmental change, economic recession and climatic changes, amongst others. Such challenges can play a key role in determining vulnerability and food security, particularly for natural resource product- dependent societies that have limited livelihood sources. Studies that consider understanding how society and ecosystems simultaneously interact and respond to new and exacerbated drivers are increasingly needed. Therefore, this study was conducted in Fairbairn village, Eastern Cape, South Africa with the purpose of exploring multi-scale historical processes and current related trends in livelihood and environmental change, and the implications for future trajectories under a changing climate. This study applied social-ecological thinking and several conceptual approaches were combined to provide a lens for exploring the changes taking place. These included, inter alia, complexity theory, social-ecological systems, the sustainable livelihoods approach and the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services framework and principles. The study employed a mixed method approach to gather data, which included a household survey, aerial photography, historical records as well as Participatory Learning and Action, focus group discussions, and Participatory Scenario techniques. Quantitative data were analysed using Excel and Statistica version 13, whilst coding was used for thematic analysis of qualitative data. The main objective of this study was to explore multi-scale historical processes and current related trends of livelihood and environmental change, and the implications of these for future trajectories under a changing climate. Livelihood and landscape changes in Fairbairn village are embedded within a history of direct state intervention and more recently, improvements in basic service delivery. The findings show that natural resource products still form an important part of people’s livelihoods despite many other changes over the last fifteen years. A high proportion of households continue to utilise different products to meet household needs. The most widely used products are fuelwood, wild herbs and wild fruits. More so, my results revealed a significant increase in the number of people commercialising natural resource products over the past fifteen years. Furthermore, I found that rural livelihoods in Fairbairn are heavily dependent on external income and consumption and have become increasingly divorced from local production patterns. My results depict a steady decline of cultivated fields with a corresponding increase of home gardens since the 1960s. Therefore, the results demonstrate that current livelihood strategies are an expression of historical processes interacting with current contextual complexities. Given the complex and multidimensional issues at play in Fairbairn, the study highlights that there is no straightforward answer regarding future livelihood strategies. However, participatory scenario deliberations revealed that the youth were much more open to diversified and even very different forms of livelihood strategies in the future, whilst community leaders and elders remained firmly attached to farming activities. Understanding the diversity of past livelihood changes, together with current trends, can help to better contextualise future livelihood trajectories and this can therefore help rural communities identify and avoid undesirable futures under a changing climate.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017
- Authors: Falayi, Menelisi
- Date: 2017
- Subjects: Fairbairn Village (Eastern Cape, South Africa) , Rural development -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape -- Fairbairn Village , Land tenure -- South Africa -- Eastern Cape -- Fairbairn Village
- Language: English
- Type: Thesis , Masters , MSc
- Identifier: http://hdl.handle.net/10962/7408 , vital:21257
- Description: The world is becoming increasingly complex and uncertain due to increasing levels of social- ecological change. Rural communities in sub-Saharan Africa are faced with multiple interconnected challenges such as population growth, environmental change, economic recession and climatic changes, amongst others. Such challenges can play a key role in determining vulnerability and food security, particularly for natural resource product- dependent societies that have limited livelihood sources. Studies that consider understanding how society and ecosystems simultaneously interact and respond to new and exacerbated drivers are increasingly needed. Therefore, this study was conducted in Fairbairn village, Eastern Cape, South Africa with the purpose of exploring multi-scale historical processes and current related trends in livelihood and environmental change, and the implications for future trajectories under a changing climate. This study applied social-ecological thinking and several conceptual approaches were combined to provide a lens for exploring the changes taking place. These included, inter alia, complexity theory, social-ecological systems, the sustainable livelihoods approach and the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services framework and principles. The study employed a mixed method approach to gather data, which included a household survey, aerial photography, historical records as well as Participatory Learning and Action, focus group discussions, and Participatory Scenario techniques. Quantitative data were analysed using Excel and Statistica version 13, whilst coding was used for thematic analysis of qualitative data. The main objective of this study was to explore multi-scale historical processes and current related trends of livelihood and environmental change, and the implications of these for future trajectories under a changing climate. Livelihood and landscape changes in Fairbairn village are embedded within a history of direct state intervention and more recently, improvements in basic service delivery. The findings show that natural resource products still form an important part of people’s livelihoods despite many other changes over the last fifteen years. A high proportion of households continue to utilise different products to meet household needs. The most widely used products are fuelwood, wild herbs and wild fruits. More so, my results revealed a significant increase in the number of people commercialising natural resource products over the past fifteen years. Furthermore, I found that rural livelihoods in Fairbairn are heavily dependent on external income and consumption and have become increasingly divorced from local production patterns. My results depict a steady decline of cultivated fields with a corresponding increase of home gardens since the 1960s. Therefore, the results demonstrate that current livelihood strategies are an expression of historical processes interacting with current contextual complexities. Given the complex and multidimensional issues at play in Fairbairn, the study highlights that there is no straightforward answer regarding future livelihood strategies. However, participatory scenario deliberations revealed that the youth were much more open to diversified and even very different forms of livelihood strategies in the future, whilst community leaders and elders remained firmly attached to farming activities. Understanding the diversity of past livelihood changes, together with current trends, can help to better contextualise future livelihood trajectories and this can therefore help rural communities identify and avoid undesirable futures under a changing climate.
- Full Text:
- Date Issued: 2017